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Netherlands Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 55 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
The European Commission (EC) has approved the joint venture between Liberty Global, owner of Ziggo, and Vodafone in the Netherlands. The only condition is that Vodafone must divest its consumer fixed-line business, the only strong area of overlap between the two companies. The joint-venture between Liberty Global's Ziggo and Vodafone creates a stronger competitor to incumbent KPN in the converged and quad-play market. While we are still sceptical that the deal can be replicated by the two operators in other European markets, the biggest issue domestically is whether regulators have the right tools and framework to ensure competition in an increasingly bundled market. Latest Updates And Industry Developments

- Mobile subscriptions declined as KPN changed its reporting methodology at the end of 2015 but showed slight growth over Q216, in line with expectations. We forecast 18.1mn subscriptions by end-2016, falling to 17.6mn in 2020. 3G/4G migration will see high-speed subscriptions rise from 12.3mn in 2015 to 14.9mn in 2020.

- Muted demand for low-capacity wireline broadband will impede broadband market growth, but fibre connections will facilitate uptake of high-value triple- and quad-play services. Subscriptions will stand at 7.7mn in 2020, but will yield higher average revenue per user.

Table Of Contents

Netherlands Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Netherlands 2013-2020) 13
Industry Risk Reward Index 14
Western Europe Risk/Reward Index 14
Table: Western Europe Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 16
Netherlands Risk/Reward Index 17
Market Overview 19
Market Drivers and Trends 19
Mobile 19
Table: Retail Mobile Traffic Indicators ('000) 23
Wireline Voice and Broadband 24
Table: Wireline Broadband Subscriptions By Type ('000) 24
Pay-TV/Convergence 25
Regulatory Development 28
Industry Risk 28
Main Development: Spectrum 29
Additional Developments 30
Competitive Landscape 31
Table: Key Players: Netherlands Telecoms Sector 31
Table: Mobile Market Overview 32
Mobile Operator Data 32
Table: KPN 32
Table: T-Mobile 33
Table: Vodafone 35
Table: Tele2 36
Wireline Operator Data 37
Table: KPN 37
Table: Ziggo 38
Table: Tele2 39
Company Profile 40
Royal KPN NV 40
Demographic Forecast 44
Demographic Outlook 44
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Netherlands 1990-2025) 45
Table: Key Population Ratios (Netherlands 1990-2025) 45
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Netherlands 1990-2025) 46
Table: Population By Age Group (Netherlands 1990-2025) 46
Table: Population By Age Group % (Netherlands 1990-2025) 47
Glossary 49
Table: Glossary Of Terms 49
Methodology 51
Industry Forecast Methodology 51
Sources 53
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 53
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 54
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 55

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