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  4. > Canada Power Report Q4 2016

Canada Power Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 67 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Growth in the Canadian power sector will be driven by the implementation of a vast pipeline of hydropower projects, as well as political commitment to increasing the role of renewables and natural gas in the electricity mix. Weak growth in power consumption and overcapacity in most Canadian provinces, coupled with the high costs of developing large hydropower plants, represent the main downside risks to our power forecasts, while renewables plans in Alberta and Saskatchewan create upside potential.


Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- In September, the Albertan government announced a firm target of 30% of electricity to be sourced from renewables by 2030, as part of its Climate Leadership plan. However, the government did not release details on how this goal will be achieved in practice, and has yet to announce a timeline for the retirement of the province's coal-fired power plants in order to make room for new renewables capacity. In light of these factors, we are waiting for more clarity on the government's plan before including it in our forecasts for the Canadian thermal and renewables power sector. The Alberta Electric System Operator has submitted a plan to the provincial government for the implementation of the Climate Leadership plan, and has announced it plans to hold a first procurement auction before the end of 2016.

Table Of Contents

Canada Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Canada 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Canada Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Canada 2015-2020) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Canada 2020-2025) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Canada Power Forecast Scenario 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 12
Table: Planned And Proposed New Reactors 19
Table: Completed Or Scheduled Hydropower Capacity Additions 21
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019) 24
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Canada 2020-2025) 25
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019) 26
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Canada 2020-2025) 27
Electricity Consumption 27
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019) 29
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Canada 2020-2025) 29
Transmission and Distribution, Imports and Exports 29
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019) 30
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Canada 2020-2025) 31
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019) 31
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Canada 2020-2025) 31
Industry Risk/Reward Index 32
NAWE Power Risk/Reward Index 32
Canada Power Risk/Reward Index 38
Rewards 38
Risks 38
Market Overview 40
Key Policies And Market Structure 40
Regulation And Competition 40
Table: Canadian Power Industry - Structural Models 40
Table: Canadian Power Industry - Regulation 41
Sustainable Energy Policies 42
Pricing 44
Canada Power Projects Database 45
Competitive Landscape 47
Canada Utilities Competitive Landscape 47
Canada Power Report Q4 2016$$
BC Hydro 47
EPCOR 47
Hydro One 48
Hydro Quebec 49
Ontario Power Generation 49
Newfoundland Power 49
Nova Scotia Power 50
SaskPower 50
Enmax 51
Energie NB Power 51
ATCO 51
TransCanada 52
TransAlta 52
Regional Overview 53
NAWE Power Key Themes 53
Glossary 61
Table: Glossary Of Terms 61
Methodology 62
Methodology And Sources 62
Industry Forecast Methodology 62
Sources 65
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 65
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 66
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 67

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