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South Africa Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 71 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

We maintain our tepid growth outlook the South African construction market between 2016 and 2025 as political and economic headwinds take hold. Business confidence in the economy remains low, hampering the outlay of much-need private investment into infrastructure, while budgetary pressures are hindering the government's ability to deploy the capital earmarked for the sector.


Forecast & Industry Developments

- We continue to forecast real growth of 1.6% and 2.1% in 2016 and 2017 respectively as the government struggles to deploy the capital it has earmarked for the sector and investor caution towards the South African economy grows.

- Growth opportunities will primarily stem from upgrades to freight logistics capacity, with commodities exports key to economic growth even in a low price environment; and improvements to utilities infrastructure as power and water shortages persist.

- The real estate market in Gauteng remains central to supporting non-residential building over our 10-year forecast period. Risk/Reward Indices

- South Africa remains in third place out of 18 markets in our Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index for Sub- Saharan Africa, though its overall score has dropped this quarter, to 49.9 from 50.4 previously.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Five-Year Forecast Scenario (South Africa 2016-2020) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (South Africa 2016) 6
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (South Africa 2016-2025) 9
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 14
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Transport Infrastructure 2016-2025) 14
Table: South Africa - Major Transport Projects By Value, USDmn 26
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 27
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Energy and Utilities Infrastructure 2016-2025) 27
Table: South Africa - Major Energy and Utilities Projects By Value, USDmn 35
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 36
Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (South Africa 2016-2025) 36
Table: South Africa - Residential and Non-Residential Building Major Projects By Value, USDmn 43
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 44
South Africa - Risk/Reward Index 44
SSA Infrastructure RRI: Volatile Markets Highlight Regional Risks 46
Table: SSA RRI 54
Market Overview 55
Competitive Landscape 55
Table: EQS Data 56
Company Profile 57
Eskom 57
Transnet 60
Murray and Roberts Group (MandR) 62
Methodology 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Sector-Specific Methodology 65
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 69
Sector-Specific Methodology 70
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 70
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 71

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