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Spain Power Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View:

Investment into new capacity for the Spanish power sector will be muted over our 10-year forecast period due to the lack of policy direction, as no government has been formed yet after two elections. Increases in thermal power generation will come from mothballed gas-fired capacity coming back online, while coal power will decline due to stringent EU emissions targets and a declining coalmining sector.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- Due to increased generation from both hydropower and non-hydropower renewables, we have revised our forecasts for thermal power generation since last quarter. We now expect thermal generation to amount to 108.4TWh in 2016, as opposed to our previous forecasts of 120.3TWh. We expect this to increase slightly to 110.2TWh in 2025.

- Our lowered forecasts for thermal power generation are due to our upgraded forecasts that coal-fired power generation will decrease by an annual average of 3.8% over our 10-year forecast period. This is due to more stringent emission targets in the European Union (EU) and a declining domestic coal-mining sector.

- We have slightly revised our hydropower generation forecasts to indicate a 1.5% annual average growth over our 10-year forecast period, although we expect capacity additions to remain stagnant. We do not forecast any new projects to come online, though we do expect some increased output from existing plants.

Table Of Contents

Spain Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Spain 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Spain Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Spain 2014-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Spain 2020-2025) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
Spain Power Forecast Scenario 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 12
Table: Nuclear Power Reactors Operating In Spain (July 2016) 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Spain 2014-2019) 21
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Spain 2020-2025) 22
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Spain 2014-2019) 23
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Spain 2020-2025) 24
Electricity Consumption 24
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Spain 2014-2019) 25
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Spain 2020-2025) 25
Transmission And Distribution 25
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Spain 2014-2019) 27
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Spain 2020-2025) 27
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Spain 2014-2019) 28
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Spain 2020-2025) 28
Industry Risk/Reward Index 29
NAWE Power Risk/Reward Index 29
Spain Power Risk/Reward Index 35
Rewards 35
Risks 36
Market Overview 37
Key Policies And Market Structure 37
Regulation And Competition 37
Sustainable Energy Policies 38
Pricing 39
Spain Power Projects Database 40
Competitive Landscape 42
Endesa 42
Iberdrola 43
Red Electrica (REE) 43
Unión Fenosa 43
Company Profile 45
Endesa 45
Iberdrola 48
Regional Overview 52
NAWE Power Key Themes 52
Glossary 60
Table: Glossary Of Terms 60
Methodology 61
Methodology And Sources 61
Industry Forecast Methodology 61
Sources 64
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 66

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