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  4. > France Power Report Q4 2016

France Power Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 62 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Non-hydropower renewable electricity will be the fastest growing power source in France over our 10-year forecast period, owing to stringent emission targets and government efforts to increase investment into the sector. Overall power generation will continue to be dominated by nuclear power, while gas-fired generation will be the only viable form of thermal power as coal-fired power plants are set to be taxed on emissions from 2017.


Latest Updates and Structural Trends

- A joint venture (JV) has been set up between Amec Foster Wheeler, Assystem and Kepco E&C to act as the construction management-as-agent contractor for the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER). The Momentum JV will operate under a 10-year contract worth EUR174mn with option of extending for a further three years. We do not currently factor the ITER into our forecasts due to constant delays and high cost overruns, and we note that if the reactor should come online it will be outside of our 10-year forecast period.

- EDF will reportedly receive EUR400mn from the French government in compensation for closing the Fessenheim nuclear power plant, almost four times the initial offered price. We expect that Fessenheim will be decommissioned in 2019, when we forecast Flamanville to come online.

Table Of Contents

France Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (France 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
France Snapshot 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (France 2014-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Demographic And Economic Data (France 2020-2025) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 11
France Power Forecast Scenario 12
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast 12
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 15
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 16
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 18
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 19
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 19
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 21
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 21
Electricity Consumption 22
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 22
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 23
Transmission And Distribution 23
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 25
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 25
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019) 25
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025) 25
Industry Risk/Reward Index 26
NAWE Power Risk/Reward Index 26
France Power Risk/Reward Index 31
Rewards 31
Risks 31
Market Overview 33
Key Policies And Market Structure 33
Regulation And Competition 33
Sustainable Energy Policies 33
Pricing 34
France Power Projects Database 36
Competitive Landscape 38
France Power Report Q4 2016$$
Electricite de France (EDF) 38
Engie 39
Endesa 39
Poweo Direct Energie 39
Areva 40
Company Profile 42
Electricite de France (EDF) 42
Table: Edf Key Financial Results 2015 47
Regional Overview 48
NAWE Power Key Themes 48
Glossary 56
Table: Glossary Of Terms 56
Methodology 57
Methodology And Sources 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sources 60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 62

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