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Uganda Agribusiness Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 58 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


>BMI View:
We see potential for output growth in corn and coffee, two of the main crops in Uganda. For coffee, we see Uganda as an East African leader in terms of exports, largely owing to government support for the sector and new disease-resistant trees. We expect Uganda to remain a net corn exporter in the coming years, although most of its corn will be shipped regionally. The country is unlikely to compete with South Africa and Zambia to become one of Sub-Saharan Africa's largest corn exporters. Food security will be a concern in the short term owing to droughts affecting regional neighbours, leading to more corn exports and reduced domestic supply. Key Forecasts

- Coffee production growth to 2019/20: 7% to 4.8mn 60kg bags. The Uganda Coffee Development Authority's production campaign has developed new disease-resistant coffee trees, which are expected to boost yields over our forecast period. However, part of this growth will stem from a rebound in production in 2015/16.

- Corn consumption growth to 2020: 13% to 3.1mn tonnes. Growth in demand will come from the country's livestock sector, which is growing in response to higher demand. Overall, however, corn consumption will largely be guided by changes in population.

Table Of Contents

Uganda Agribusiness Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Uganda - Corn Production And Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Uganda 2012-2020) 15
Coffee Outlook 15
Latest Updates 15
Table: Uganda - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook 15
Table: Risks To Outlook 16
Structural Trends 17
Table: Coffee Production and Consumption (Uganda 2012-2020) 19
Commodity Price Analysis 20
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 20
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 20
Upstream Analysis 22
Africa GM Outlook 22
Africa Machinery Outlook 30
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions 30
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 36
Downstream Analysis 41
Food 41
Latest Updates 41
Structural Trends 42
Table: Food Sales (Uganda 2013-2020) 43
Regional Overview 46
Middle East and Africa Regional Overview 46
Demographic Forecast 52
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Uganda 1990-2025) 53
Table: Key Population Ratios (Uganda 1990-2025) 53
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Uganda 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group (Uganda 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group % (Uganda 1990-2025) 55
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sector-Specific Methodology 58

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Related Market Segments :

Coffee
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ref:plp2016

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