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Zimbabwe Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 62 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We expect Zimbabwe to remain a net corn importer over the longer term. Over the next fiveyears, we expect production of the grain to demonstrate moderate growth, although production will remainwell below the totals seen in the early 2000s. We are more optimistic regarding the sugar sector, whereaccess to key markets and potential for productivity improvements will drive production over the longterm. Although we forecast a domestic sugar market surplus, the sector remains below potential and ourforecasts are relatively subdued despite our expectations for higher average prices than current levels inthe coming years.

Key Forecasts

-Corn production to 2018/19: 43.3% on the 2014/15 level to 1.06mn tonnes. We project relativelystrong growth over the long term, but the country will remain a net importer, as most of this growth isdue to base effects.

-Sugar production to 2018/19: 14.6% on the 2013/14 level to 561,800 tonnes. An overall improvementin sugarcane yields, greater efficiency of mills and long-term access to export markets will be key driversof production growth.

Table Of Contents

Zimbabwe Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Agribusiness 8
Industry Forecast 10
Grains Outlook 10
Table: Zimbabwe - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 10
Table: Risks To Outlook 11
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Zimbabwe 2011-2019) 12
Sugar Outlook 13
Table: Zimbabwe - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Risks To Outlook 14
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Zimbabwe 2011-2019) 15
Commodity Price Analysis 16
Global Commodities Strategy 16
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 16
Featured Analysis 18
African Agriculture: Lower Growth Over Coming Years 18
Table: African Union CAADP Objectives To 2025 19
Table: Indonesia - Select Inward Cocoa Investment Projects 24
Table: Most Popular Brands Are Foreign - New Tractor Sales Current Market Share In South Africa In 2014 (%) 27
Upstream Analysis 30
Africa GM Outlook 30
Table: Farm Size By Region 34
Africa Machinery Outlook 36
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions 36
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012) 41
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 42
Regional Overview 48
Middle East and Africa Regional Overview 48
Competitive Landscape 55
Table: Main Agribusiness Companies 55
Demographic Forecast 56
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 57
Table: Key Population Ratios (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 57
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 58
Table: Population By Age Group (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 58
Table: Population By Age Group % (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 59
Methodology 61
Industry Forecast Methodology 61
Sector-Specific Methodology 62

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