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  5. > Botswana Power Report Q1 2017

Botswana Power Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 53 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

Botswana’s electricity consumption will continue to outweigh electricity generation over our forecast period to 2025 despite forecast increases in thermal power capacity. Water shortages and problems at existing power plants will contribute to electricity supply problems. Plans to liberalise the power sector through the Energy Regulatory Bill will attract more private investment, which will lead to increased power capacity and improve the efficiency of the electricity grid.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends



- Our forecasts for Botswana’ thermal power generation remain mostly unchanged from last quarter. We expect that thermal generation will total 2.8 terawatt hours (TWh) by 2025 on the back of coal-fired power projects coming online from 2019 onwards.

- At the beginning of October 2016, Tlou Energy Limited received initial reserve certification for the Lesedi coal bed methane (CBM) project. This indicates that the Lesedi CBM is commercially viable. Once more detail surrounding the power plant emerges, we will include it in our forecasts. This will be Botswana’s first gas-fired power plant if it comes online.

- We are maintaining our forecasts for Botswana’s transmission and distribution losses. We expect that transmission and distribution losses will remain at an average level of 77% over our forecast period to 2025 due to electricity imports outweighing domestic generation.

Table Of Contents

Botswana Power Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Botswana 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Botswana Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Botswana 2015-2020) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Botswana 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Botswana Power Forecast Scenario 11
Thermal Generation and Capacity Forecast 11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 14
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 15
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 15
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 16
Electricity Consumption 16
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 17
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 17
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 19
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 19
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 19
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 19
Industry Risk/Reward Index 20
SSA Power Risk/Reward Index 20
Botswana Power Risk/Reward Index 27
Rewards 27
Risks 27
Market Overview 29
Botswana Key Policies And Market Structure 29
Regulation And Competition 29
Pricing 29
SSA Key Policies And Market Structure 30
Competitive Landscape 33
Botswana Competitive Landscape 33
SSA Competitive Landscape 34
Regional Overview 39
MEA Power Regional Overview 39
Glossary 47
Table: Glossary Of Terms 47
Methodology 48
Methodology And Sources 48
Industry Forecast Methodology 48
Sources 51
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 51
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 52
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 53

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