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Zimbabwe Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 32 pages

BMI View

: The country's construction industry remains high risk, poorly financed and subject to theunattractive investment policies of President Robert Mugabe, with average annual real growth between2015-2024 expected to be a mediocre 2.6%. Zimbabwe is keen to encourage foreign investment, with Chinaso far leading inroads into the country's power and mining sectors. However, even Chinese investment islower than expected and Mugabe's rhetoric strongly points to continued restraints on foreign investment.

Latest Updates

- We expect continued weak growth in the Zimbabwe construction industry as high risks, little financingavailability and poor growth prospects ward off investors. As such, we forecast 1.4% real growth for2015, and an annual average growth of 2.6% over the next 10 years.

- We highlight upside potential for the power sector as Sable Mining Africa signed a memorandum ofunderstanding with Chinese firm CITIC Construction to build a 600MW coal-fired power plant at its192.36sq km Lubu coal mine in Zimbabwe. The mine will supply coal to the commercial power station.The project is part of the Zimbabwean government and Ministry of Energy and Power Development'splans to promote the development of energy and power generation.

Table Of Contents

Zimbabwe Infrastructure Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2014-2020) 5
Table: Zimbabwe Infrastructure Risk/Reward 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Zimbabwe 2014-2024) 9
Table: Energy and Utilities Projects Involving Chinese Companies 15
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 18
Zimbabwe - Risk/Reward Index 18
Rewards 18
Risks 19
Africa - SSA Infrastructure RRI: Capital Constraints Biting 20
Table: SSA Infrastructure Risk/Rewards Index Table, Q116 24
Methodology 25
Industry Forecast Methodology 25
Sector-Specific Methodology 26
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 30
Sector-Specific Methodology 31
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 31
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 32

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