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Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan Petrochemicals Report 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

Low oil prices have had a deleterious effect on Central Asia's petrochemicals potential. With ethane the main feedstock, petrochemicals production looks less attractive. The region is therefore set to remain a net importer of polymers and other derivatives. Uzbekistan began commercial operations at the new Surgil petrochemicals complex in 2016 with capacities of 400,000 tonnes per annum (tpa) tpa ethylene, 400,000tpa high density polyethylene and 100,000tpa polypropylene (PP). This raised regional petrochemicals capacities to 640,000tpa ethylene, 525,000tpa polyethylene and 220,000tpa PP. In global terms, Central Asian producers remain minnows in the industry, in spite of the region's considerable energy resources. Petrochemicals consumption is also low, making the region a poorly developed market.

- In 2016, South Korea's LG Chem cancelled its plans to build a USD4.2bn petrochemical complex in a joint venture with Kazakhstan Petrochemical Industries. It was to produce 840,000tpa of ethylene, 400,000tpa of low density polyethylene (LDPE) and 400,000tpa of linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE). As a result, the complex has been removed from our forecasts.

Table Of Contents

Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan Petrochemicals Report 2017
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Table: Combined Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan Petrochemicals Industry - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2013-2021 (000tpa) 14
Macroeconomic Forecasts 15
Economic Analysis 15
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 19
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 25
Market Overview 26
Uzbekistan 26
Kazakhstan 28
Table: Central Asia Petrochemicals Facilities 29
Industry Trends And Developments 30
Company Profile 33
KazMunaiGaz 33
Uzbekneftegaz 36
Regional Overview 39
Europe Overview 39
Global Industry Overview 48
Demographic Forecast 57
Demographic Outlook 57
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 58
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 58
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kazakhstan 1990-2025) 60
Demographic Forecast 61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Uzbekistan 1990-2025) 63
Table: Key Population Ratios (Uzbekistan 1990-2025) 63
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Uzbekistan 1990-2025) 64
Table: Population By Age Group (Uzbekistan 1990-2025) 64
Table: Population By Age Group % (Uzbekistan 1990-2025) 65
Glossary 67
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 67
Methodology 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 70
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 71
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 72

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