M2M: The Machine-to-Machine Market, 2012-2016

• Publication date: November 2012
• Report size: 138 pages

This report analyses the overriding trends and changes taking place in the M2M market around the globe. . It explores the driving forces behind the market’s growth and transformation, including an examination of the chief market trends, plus volume and value forecasts up to 2016 by geographical area, by country (China, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, UK and USA). . It also presents the quantitative evolution of the cellular modules, by appli...

This report analyses the overriding trends and changes taking place in the M2M market around the globe. . It explores the driving forces behind the market’s growth and transformation, including an examination of the chief market trends, plus volume and value forecasts up to 2016 by geographical area, by country (China, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, UK and USA). . It also presents the quantitative evolution of the cellular modules, by application and by networking technology.

• What is the size of M2M markets in Europe, North America and Asia and is there room for growth?
• What are the key drivers for M2M market?
• What are the main vertical markets of M2M - today and in the coming years?
• What are the leading market players - Module vendors, Mobile network operators, MVNE, Integrators - and how are they positioning themselves?
• What will be the impact of the embedded SIM cards?

> The report ships with its own database (Excel):
Data & Forecasts 2008 to 2016
- Geographical scope
- Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America, World
- China, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Spain, UK and USA
- Cellular M2M Modules/SIMs (country /region), worldwide
by vertical (Automotive, Electronics, Utilities, Security,
Transport, Others)
- Cellular M2M Modules/SIMs (breakdown by 2G, 3G & 4G)
- M2M revenues (Hardware, Software, Communication)

Electronic Component And Semiconductor Industry

Contents

1. Executive Summary 9
1.1. Continuous growth in M2M market 10
1.2. Automotive, consumer electronics and utilities verticals will drive M2M market 11
1.3. eSIM card: danger for MNOs? . 12
1.4. Telcos still seeking business opportunity beyond connectivity 12
2. Methodology 14
3. Market structure and key factors . 16
3.1. Market overview . 16
3.1.1. Report coverage 16
3.1.2. Market segmentation . 16
3.2. Current market estimates . 18
3.2.1. Market by segment/ platform . 18
3.2.2. Market by geographical zone . 20
3.2.3. Market by countries . 20
3.3. M2M architecture 22
3.3.1. Triggering technologies . 24
3.3.2. (Mobile) Networking technologies 24
3.3.3. Service platform . 25
3.3.4. Other key technologies 25
3.4. Consumption / Usages . 27
4. Impacts on verticals 28
4.1. Vertical development 28
4.2. Automotive . 29
4.2.1. Main challenges . 29
4.2.2. Value chain description . 29
4.2.3. Main applications (current and future) . 30
4.2.4. Regulatory environment and public policies as driver 33
4.2.5. Major deployments 35
4.2.6. Drivers and barriers for telematics and infotainment development 36
4.2.7. Market trends . 37
4.2.8. Market estimates and forecasts . 39
4.2.9. Networking solutions: towards non-licenced mobile networks? . 40
4.3. Consumer electronics . 40
4.3.1. Digital e-readers: the most consumer M2M devices 40
4.3.2. Personal navigation devices: connectivity to offset the decline? . 44
4.3.3. 3G connectivity: latest feature for handheld consoles . 45
4.3.4. Market estimates and forecasts . 46
4.4. Energy: smart metering becoming a reality 47
4.4.1. Key points 48
4.4.2. The value chain . 48
4.4.3. Regulation . 54
4.4.4. Business model . 56
4.4.5. Key factors for market development 57
4.4.6. Level of deployments . 58
4.4.7. Market estimates and forecasts . 62
4.5. Other verticals 62
4.5.1. Security . 62
4.5.2. Fleet management . 65
4.5.3. Vending machines . 67
4.5.4. Maintenance 68
4.5.5. Smart cities 70
4.5.6. Healthcare . 71
5. eSIM and its impacts . 75
5.1. Scope and interests 75
5.2. Technology description 76
5.3. Key factors for eSIM development . 77
5.3.1. Drivers . 77
5.3.2. Barriers 77
5.4. Evolution of EUICC 78
5.4.1. Short term 78
5.4.2. Medium and long term . 78
6. Market structure and player strategies 83
6.1. Industry structure 83
6.1.1. Value chain 83
6.1.2. Competition structure / landscape / environment . 85
6.1.3. Business models . 86
6.2. Company profiles . 87
6.2.1. SIM card vendors 87
6.2.2. Module vendors . 90
6.2.3. Mobile network operators 95
6.2.4. MVNE 107
6.2.5. Integrators, service providers and software players 109
6.3. Strategic analysis . 111
6.3.1. General aspects 111
6.3.2. Hardware segment 113
6.3.3. Connectivity segment 117
6.3.4. IT segment . 126
6.3.5. Vertical adoption 129
7. Markets and forecasts . 132
7.1. Market development factors . 132
7.1.1. Analysis of growth drivers 132
7.1.2. Forecast hypotheses . 133M2M
7.2. Market forecasts . 134
7.2.1. Forecasts 2012-2016 . 134
7.2.2. Forecasts by country . 135
7.2.3. Forecasts by technology 135
7.2.4. Forecasts by applications 136
7.2.5. Forecasts by market segment, by platform 136

Tables

Table 1: M2M market segmentation . 17
Table 2: Comparison of features of leading cellular M2M solutions 24
Table 3: Comparison of key elements in standard and M2M operator business models 27
Table 4: M2M developments, by vertical market . 28
Table 5: Key Figures in the automotive industry in Europe 29
Table 6: Main applications in the automotive industry 30
Table 7: Major deployments, by car manufacturer 35
Table 8: Summary of key elements for telematics development . 37
Table 9: Main recent M&A in telematics market in Europe . 39
Table 10: Top-selling content on PlayStation Store as of October 2011 . 45
Table 11: Summary of current national policies, regulation and targets for smart grids and meters,
and main activities of major utilities 54
Table 12: Key M2M deployments in security industry . 64
Table 13: Key M2M deployments in fleet management industry 65
Table 14: Key M2M deployments in maintenance market 69
Table 15: Healthcare expenditure per capita in selected countries, 2007 . 72
Table 16: Key M2M deployments in healthcare industry 72
Table 17: Main acquisitions in M2M space . 85
Table 18: Market landscape for module vendors 90
Table 19: Market landscape for mobile network operators . 95
Table 20: Vodafone product offering . 106
Table 21: Market landscape for MVNE . 107
Table 22: Market landscape for integrators, service providers and software players 109
Table 23: M2M revenues of largest M2M module makers, 2011 114
Table 24: Main acquisitions in M2M module space 115
Table 25: Modules price by technology used 116
Table 26: Module maker positioning . 116
Table 27: Main features of competing technologies 117
Table 28: Application features including usage and ARPU . 118
Table 29: Key advantages of SigFox technology (expressed by SigFox) . 120
Table 30: List of carriers with single point of contact 124
Table 31: Carrier positioning . 125
Table 32: Global ranking estimates, in terms of M2M subscribers (lines) . 125
Table 33: Bandwidth required by M2M application . 130

Figures

Figure 1: World M2M markets 10
Figure 2: Cellular M2M modules or SIM cards, by region 19
Figure 3: Connectivity revenues in Europe, North America and Asia-Pacific . 19
Figure 4: Overall cellular M2M market, by region . 20
Figure 5: Cellular M2M modules or SIM cards, by country 20
Figure 6: Connectivity revenues, by country 21
Figure 7: Cellular M2M modules or SIM cards, in Top EU5 countries 21
Figure 8: Connectivity revenues for the Top 5 countries in EU 22M2M
Figure 9: Architecture of a M2M solution . 22
Figure 10: Jasper Wireless global platform 25
Figure 11: Location API methods . 26
Figure 12: Location API pricing, Orange 26
Figure 13: Automotive supply chain . 30
Figure 14: Charging station at McDonald’s 31
Figure 15: Map of the ChargePoint network 31
Figure 16: Connected charging monitoring principle for Renault Z.E. electric car . 32
Figure 17: EV sales forecasts, 2011-2017 . 33
Figure 18: Description of the ITS system . 38
Figure 19: Evolution of cellular modules market in automotive, worldwide, in million units 39
Figure 20: Proportion of American owning e-book reader and tablet . 41
Figure 21: Ads opt out option on Kindle . 42
Figure 22: Cellular-connected Kindle coverage map in the United States . 43
Figure 23: Weather forecasts (up to 5 days) on a Garmin nüLink! 1695 44
Figure 24: Gas prices comparison on a Garmin nüLink! 1695 . 44
Figure 25: The PS Vita, Sony handheld console . 46
Figure 26: Evolution of cellular modules market for consumer M2M, worldwide 47
Figure 27: The value chain of M2M 48
Figure 28: Example of smart meter: Tokyo Electric Power Company 50
Figure 29: Example of in-home energy display device . 51
Figure 30: Demand response programming options on Web interface 52
Figure 31: Data management products from eMeter . 53
Figure 32: Examples of clean energies and other applications connected to smart home . 54
Figure 33: Estimated smart meters rollout by 2020 59
Figure 34: Linky deployment schedule . 61
Figure 35: The Linky System, by ERDF . 61
Figure 36: Evolution of cellular modules in utilities, worldwide . 62
Figure 37: Evolution of market of cellular modules in security, worldwide . 65
Figure 38: Evolution of market of cellular modules in transport, worldwide 67
Figure 39: Bombardier maintenance application 69
Figure 40: Healthcare M2M market, 2017 74
Figure 41: eUICC concept architecture for Vodafone 75
Figure 42: Provisioning flows for operator change . 76
Figure 43: Role of the subscription Manager . 80
Figure 44: eUICC definition by Gemalto 81
Figure 45: Smart machines value chain . 83
Figure 46: StarService . 86
Figure 47: PAYG package . 87
Figure 48: Android-based car rear-view mirror 91
Figure 49: AirVantage product description . 92
Figure 50: AT&T (end of year) connected devices, in millions . 96
Figure 51: 2Q12 net add summary (in thousands) . 96
Figure 52: AT&T M2M offering . 96
Figure 53: NTT DOCOMO approach to M2M, providing device, network and service . 100
Figure 54: Telenor value proposition 104
Figure 55: Verizon spectrum of sales models 107
Figure 56: Jasper positioning . 110
Figure 57: Average wholesale price per data MB for inbound roaming: EU/EEA, non-group
companies (based on billed megabytes) . 111
Figure 58: M2M platform by ZTE . 113
Figure 59: Coverage roadmap of SigFox . 121M2M
Figure 60: QoS strategy at Telenor 122
Figure 61: Map of the Jasper presence . 127
Figure 62: M2M development by vertical industry . . 129
Figure 63: World Cellular M2M markets . 134
Figure 64: World Cellular M2M markets . 134
Figure 65: Cellular module evolution, by country . 135
Figure 66: Cellular module evolution, by technology 135
Figure 67: Cellular modules evolution, by vertical 136
Figure 68: Worldwide cellular connectivity revenues . 137
Figure 69: Share of cellular M2M revenues in mobile data revenues in Europe 137
Figure 70: Worldwide Software and IT services revenues . 138
Figure 71: Cellular M2M module market 138