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Uzbekistan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 88 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Our outlook for Uzbekistan's gas sector remains positive as we expect gas production and export figures to remain strong across our forecast period to 2024. However, the country's oil sector will continue on a downward slope leaving the country increasingly more dependent on refined fuels imports and subjecting it to potential fuel shortages.


Latest Updates
and

Key Forecasts
- According to Yonhap news agency, South Korea's KOGAS was expected to commence operations at Surgil gas field in Uzbekistan in October 2015.
- In November 2015, a consortium of Uzbekneftegaz, Lukoil, Petronas, Korean KNOC and Chinese CNPC started drilling an exploratory well Meros EX-1 in the Aral Sea.
- Due to the start-up of a number of new gas fields, 2015 gas production volumes in Uzbekistan are estimated to have grown by 7.9% y-o-y, reaching 70bn cubic metres (bcm). We keep our longer-term
production forecasts unchanged and expect a further 3.5% growth in the overall output between 2015 and 2024.

Table Of Contents

Uzbekistan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2013-2019) . 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast .. 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends .. 10
Upstream Projects .. 14
Table: Uzbekistan - Major Projects . . 14
Upstream Production - Oil 15
Latest Updates 15
Structural Trends .. 15
Table: Oil Production (Uzbekistan 2013-2018) . . 17
Table: Oil Production (Uzbekistan 2019-2024) . . 17
Upstream Production - Gas .. 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends .. 18
Table: Gas Production (Uzbekistan 2013-2018) . 20
Table: Gas Production (Uzbekistan 2019-2024) . 20
Refining . 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends .. 21
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Uzbekistan 2013-2018) . 23
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Uzbekistan 2019-2024) . 24
Refined Fuels Consumption .. 25
Latest Updates 25
Structural Trends .. 25
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Uzbekistan 2013-2018) 26
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Uzbekistan 2019-2024) 27
Gas Consumption 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends .. 28
Table: Gas Consumption (Uzbekistan 2013-2018) . . 28
Table: Gas Consumption (Uzbekistan 2019-2024) . . 29
Trade - Oil 30
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts . 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends .. 30
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Uzbekistan 2013-2019) 31
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Uzbekistan 2019-2024) 31
Fuels Trade Forecasts . 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends .. 31
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Uzbekistan 2013-2018) . . 32
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Uzbekistan 2019-2024) . . 33
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) . 34
Latest Updates 34
Structural Trends .. 34
Table: Gas Net Exports (Uzbekistan 2013-2018) . 36
Table: Gas Net Exports (Uzbekistan 2019-2024) . 36
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 37
Central And Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index .. 37
Table: CEE: High Risk, Low Reward . 37
Table: CEE Upstream, Downstream And Overall Risk/Reward Index 38
Upstream: China Still The Target Market 38
Table: CEE Upstream Risk/Reward Index . . 41
Downstream: Turkish STAR Only Bright Spot In Weak Market .. 41
Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Index . 43
Uzbekistan - Risk/Reward Index .. 44
Uzbekistan Upstream Index - Overview 44
Uzbekistan Upstream Index- Rewards .. 44
Uzbekistan Upstream Index- Risks . 45
Uzbekistan Downstream Index - Overview .. 45
Uzbekistan Downstream Index - Rewards 45
Uzbekistan Downstream Index- Risks 46
Market Overview 47
Uzbekistan Energy Market Overview .. 47
Regulatory Structure . 47
Fiscal Regime . 48
Table: Uzbekistan - Upstream Tax Regime . 48
Licensing Regime .. 48
Licensing Rounds .. 48
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 49
Oil Refineries . 49
Table: Refineries In Uzbekistan 49
Oil Shale Plant .. 51
Oil Pipelines .. 52
Gas Processing Plants . 52
Gas Storage Facilities .. 54
Gas Pipelines . 54
Gas Filling Stations .. 57
Competitive Landscape . 58
Competitive Landscape Summary .. 58
Table: Key Domestic And Foreign Companies 59
Table: Key Upstream Players . . 59
Table: Key Downstream Players . . 59
Company Profile . 60
Uzbekneftegaz .. 60
Lukoil . 66
Other Summaries . 70
Regional Overview 73
Central And Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Regional Overview .. 73
Oil Production: Caspian Remains Centre Of Growth 73
Oil Consumption: Fuels Demand Gradually Strengthening . 74
Refining Capacity: Modernisation Over Capacity Additions 75
Natural Gas Production: Gas Ramp-Up To Feed Red Dragon 76
Table: Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Expansions . . 77
Gas Consumption: Demand Falters On Struggling Economies 78
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Oil and Gas Production and Consumption, Refining Capacity and Trade . 79
Glossary .. 81
Table: Glossary Of Terms 81
Methodology . 83
Industry Forecast Methodology . 83
Source . 85
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 85
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index . 87
Table: Weighting 88

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