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Botswana Power Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 48 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Botswana will experience electricity generation growth towards 2019 onwards. Growth willcome from the initially underperforming thermal power sector through new coal-fired capacity, which willeventually allow Botswana to be less reliant on electricity imports from its neighbours.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Japanese company Marubeni has formed a joint venture with South Korean firm Posco Energy, whichhas been named as the preferred bidder for the 300 megawatts (MW) expansion of the Morupule B PowerStation. This will be the first Independent Power Producer (IPP) operated plant in Botswana.

- Shumba Energy has stated that it is awaiting the finalisation of the power purchase agreement (PPA)before construction will start on its Sechaba Coal Power Plant, which it currently expects to startoperations between 2018 and 2019.

- Shumba Energy has submitted an Expression of Interest (EOI) for the 100MW solar power tender inJwaneng, and has secured partners for the tender, namely Mulilo, SunPower and Total.

- The Botswana Power Corporation (BPC) has been experiencing unplanned outages in the capital,Gaborone, due to equipment failures at substations. A power outage in late January has affected localradio and telecoms stations, causing them to be cut.

- The BPC has announced that the first phase of construction for the North West Transmission Grid is dueto be commenced by March 2016, with the expected completion date in 2018.

- We currently forecast that total generation will grow from 0.42TWh in 2016 to 3.2TWh in 2025.

Table Of Contents

Botswana Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Botswana 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Botswana Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Botswana 2015-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Botswana 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Botswana Power Forecast Scenario 11
Thermal Generation and Capacity Forecast 11
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 15
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 15
Electricity Consumption 16
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 16
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 17
Transmission and Distribution 17
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 18
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 18
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2014-2019) 18
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Botswana 2020-2025) 18
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 19
Africa Power Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: SSA Power RRI (Scores Out Of 100) 25
Botswana Power Risk/Reward Index 26
Rewards 26
Risks 26
Market Overview 28
Key Policies And Market Structure 28
Regulation And Competition 28
Pricing 28
SSA Key Policies/Market Structure 28
Competitive Landscape 32
Competitive Landscape 32
Regional Overview 36
Glossary 42
Table: Glossary Of Terms 42
Methodology 43
Methodology And Sources 43
Industry Forecast Methodology 43
Sources 46
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 46
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 47
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 48

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