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Ghana Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 32 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We maintain our forecast of 2.1% real growth in 2016 and average annual growth of 5.3% over the nextfive years and 6.2% over our full ten-year forecast period up to 2025. We estimate the industry contracted2% in 2015 as macroeconomic and operational headwinds weighed heavily on growth.

- In line with the International Monetary Fund's Emergency Credit Facility programme, the governmentis reining in recurrent spending. This is positive for the construction industry - while the government islargely responsible for infrastructure financing, much of its expenditure has typically been focused onpublic sector wages.

- Efforts are underway to address the power deficit and the subsequent supply chain disruptions, with anoverall improvement in electricity generation expected between 2016 and 2017. Harnessing renewableenergy is critical to plug the gap in the short term, but gas-fired capacity will remain the core focus ofenergy infrastructure development.

- Investment into upgrading port and airport infrastructure, as Ghana works to position itself as thegateway to West Africa, underpins our positive forecasts. Expansion and upgrades are in the pipeline forthe Tema and Takoradi ports, as well as the country's various airports.

Table Of Contents

Ghana Infrastructure Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Ghana 2015-2021) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Ghana) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: 10 Year Forecast Scenario (Ghana 2015-2025) 9
Structural Trends 9
Table: Major Projects - Energy Infrastructure 12
Energy Infrastructure Boosting Short-Term Growth 12
Freight Logistics Capacity Receives A Boost 13
Table: Key Projects - Airport Infrastructure 16
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 17
Ghana - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 17
Rewards 17
Risks 17
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index - Stabilisation, But Tough Year In 2016 18
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index, Q216 24
Methodology 25
Industry Forecast Methodology 25
Sector-Specific Methodology 26
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 30
Sector-Specific Methodology 31
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 31
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 32

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