Kazakhstan and Central Asia Defence and Security Industry Update Quarter 2 2012

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$ 1 088 - February 2013 - by Business Monitor International - 96

Summary

Table of Contents

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Industry

Aerospace and Defense

Country

Kazakhstan

Keywords

Defence
Arms Trade
Aircraft
Defense Industry
Weapon

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI's Kazakhstan And Central Asia Defence & Security Report for Q213 outlines the security challenges
faced by these countries; the status of their armed forces and their defence posture; and their current and
anticipated future defence equipment procurement plans The report examines each country's defence
decision-making process, the orders of battle of its armed forces and their condition, and procurement plans
for new military equipment
The report's general conclusion is that, while internal and external security challenges are faced by all of the
nations in this volatile region, the armed forces of the five countries surveyed in this report remain underequipped
with Cold War-era materiel

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Kazakhstan And Central Asia Defence SWOT 8
Kazakhstan And Central Asia Security SWOT 10
Central Asia SWOT 12
Industry Forecast 13
Kazakhstan - Armed Forces 13
Table: Kazakhstan's Armed Forces, 2002-2008 ('000 personnel, unless stated otherwise) 13
Table: Kazakhstan's Manpower Available For Military Services, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated) 13
Defence Expenditure 14
Table: Kazakhstan's Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017 14
Table: Kazakhstan's Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 14
Kyrgyzstan - Armed Forces 15
Table: Kyrgyzstan's Armed Forces, 2002-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) 15
Table: Kyrgyzstan's Manpower Available For Military Services, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated) 15
Defence Expenditure 15
Table: Kyrgyzstan's Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017 15
Table: Kyrgyzstan's Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 16
Tajikistan - Armed Forces 17
Table: Tajikistan's Armed Forces, 2000-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) 17
Table: Tajikistan's Manpower Available For Military Services, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated) 17
Defence Expenditure 17
Table: Tajikistan's Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017 17
Table: Tajikistan's Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 18
Turkmenistan - Armed Forces 19
Table: Turkmenistan's Armed Forces, 2002-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) 19
Table: Turkmenistan's Manpower Available For Military Services, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated) 19
Defence Expenditure 19
Table: Turkmenistan's Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017 19
Table: Turkmenistan's Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 20
Uzbekistan - Armed Forces 21
Table: Uzbekistan's Armed Forces, 2002-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) 21
Table: Uzbekistan's Manpower Available For Military Services, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated) 21
Defence Expenditure 21
Table: Uzbekistan's Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017 21
Table: Uzbekistan's Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 22
Macroeconomic Forecasts 23
Kazakhstan: Economic Analysis 23
Risks To Outlook 28
Table: Kazakhstan - Economic Activity 29
Kyrgyzstan:Industry Trend Analysis 29
Table: Kyrgyzstan - Economic Activity 32
Tajikistan: Economic Analysis 32
Eurasian Union Membership A Long Way Off 35
Table: Tajikistan - Economic Activity 35
Turkmenistan: Economic Analysis 36
Table: Turkmenistan - Economic Activity 39
Uzbekistan: Economic Analysis 39
Table: Uzbekistan - Economic Activity 42
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 43
Security Risk Analysis 43
Table: Europe Security Risk Ratings 43
Table: Europe State Terrorism Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 44
Market Overview 46
Kazakhstan And Central Asia Market Overview 46
Arms Trade Overview 46
Armed Forces and Government Spending 46
Industry Trends and Developments 56
Market Overview 57
Industry Trends And Developments 62
Kazakhstan: Political Outlook 62
Table: Kazakhstan Political Overview 64
Kyrgyzstan: Political Outlook 65
Tajikistan: Political Outlook 68
Turkmenistan: Political Outlook 70
Table: Turkmenistan Political Table 72
Uzbekistan: Political Outlook 73
Company Profile 76
Chkalov Tashkent Industrial Aircraft Association (TAPiCH) 76
GE International Operations 77
Regional Overview 78
Europe Security Overview 78
Global Industry Overview 86
Global Political Outlook 86
Eurozone 86
Iran War Risks Rising In 2013 87
Syrian Conflict To Continue, Post-Assad 88
Caucasus At Risk Of Armenia-Azerbaijan War 88
Korean Peninsula Facing Mixed Outlook 89
Asia's Maritime Island Disputes 89
Table: Election Timetable, 2013 90
Methodology 94
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 94
Defence Industry 95
Sources 95

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