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Mozambique Power Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 48 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Mozambican power generation growth is forecast to be subdued throughout our forecast periodas delays to power plants are occurring across the board. Further gas exploration still provides ampleopportunities for increase in gas-fired generation and German investment into power infrastructure willprovide the opportunity for an increase in electrification and quality of electricity supply.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- British and Chinese companies, Ncondezi Energy and Shanghai Electric Power (SEP), have enteredinto a joint development agreement (JDA) for the development of the Ncondezi coal mine and powerplant in the Tete province. Due to a change in generation technology, the companies will reportedly haveto reapply for environmental approval for the planned 300MW coal-fired plant.

- We have cut our thermal generation forecasts down from almost 7TWh to an of 1.92TWh for our forecastperiod, due to currently predicted delays for coal-fired generation coming online, slower development ofgas-fired plants as well as more moderate growth expectations in thermal generation for commissionedpower plants.

- The Cahora Bassa hydropower dam has recorded its highest level of output yet, generating up to16.9TWh in 2015.

- All of Mozambique's hydropower projects are reportedly delayed, with the expectation from theMozambique being that further investment into thermal power will provide a renewed boost tohydropower projects as well. We therefore do not currently forecast any new hydropower capacitycoming online within our forecast period.

Table Of Contents

Mozambique Power Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Mozambique 2015-2021) 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Mozambique Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Mozambique 2015-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Mozambique 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Mozambique Power Forecast Scenario 11
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 11
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecasts 13
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 14
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2019) 14
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020-2025) 15
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2019) 15
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020-2025) 16
Electricity Consumption 16
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014 - 2019) 17
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020-2025) 17
Transmission and Distribution 17
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014 - 2019) 18
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020 - 2025) 18
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2019) 19
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020 - 2025) 19
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 20
Africa Power Risk/Reward Index 20
Table: SSA Power RRI (Scores Out Of 100) 26
Mozambique Power Risk/Reward Index 27
Risks 27
Market Overview 29
Key Policies And Market Structure 29
Regulation And Competition 29
Pricing 29
SSA Key Policies/Market Structure 30
Competitive Landscape 33
Competitive Landscape 33
Competitive Landscape 33
Regional Overview 36
Glossary 42
Table: Glossary Of Terms 42
Methodology 43
Methodology And Sources 43
Industry Forecast Methodology 43
Sources 46
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 46
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 47
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 48

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