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Zambia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 50 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Real GDP growth in Zambia will remain subdued in 2016 at 3.4% due to a struggling copperindustry and persistent power shortages. Private consumption will be restrained by higher interest ratesand food costs stemming from a weak currency. Government expenditure maintains a focus on unproductiveareas of the economy, such as public sector wages, while capital spending remains well below the amountnecessary to improve the country's underdeveloped energy, infrastructure and healthcare sectors.

Headline Expenditure Forecast

- Pharmaceuticals: ZMW1.67bn (USD194mn) in 2015 to ZMW1.89bn (USD151mn) in 2016; +12.6% inlocal currency terms and -22.2% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms decreased compared tothe previous quarter.

- Healthcare: ZMW9.44bn (USD1.09bn) in 2015 to ZMW10.71bn (USD857mn) in 2016; +13.4% in localcurrency terms and -21.6% in US dollar terms. Forecast increased in local currency terms, but decreasedin US dollar terms compared to the previous quarter.

Table Of Contents

Zambia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Forecasts (Zambia 2014-2020) 5
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 8
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 8
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2012-2020) 11
Healthcare Market Forecast 12
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2012-2020) 15
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2012-2020) 15
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2012-2020) 15
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Middle East and Africa Risk/Reward Index - Q2 2016 16
Zambia Risk/Reward Index 23
Rewards 23
Risks 23
Regulatory Review 25
Market Overview 30
Healthcare Sector 33
Epidemiology 36
Demographic Forecast 39
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Zambia 1990-2025) 40
Table: Key Population Ratios (Zambia 1990-2025) 40
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Zambia 1990-2025) 41
Table: Population By Age Group (Zambia 1990-2025) 41
Table: Population By Age Group % (Zambia 1990-2025) 42
Glossary 44
Methodology 46
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model 46
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model 46
Notes On Methodology 47
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 48
Index Overview 49
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators 49
Indicator Weightings 50

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