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  5. > Uganda Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

Uganda Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 57 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Key Forecasts

- Coffee production growth to 2019/20: 16.7% to 4.2mn 60kg bags. The Uganda Coffee DevelopmentAuthority's production campaign has developed new disease-resistant coffee trees, which are expected toboost yields over our forecast period. However, lower average coffee prices over the medium term willact as a constraint on production growth.

- Corn consumption growth to 2020: 15.9% to 3.1mn tonnes. Growth in demand will come from thecountry's livestock sector, which is growing in response to higher demand. Overall, however, cornconsumption will largely be guided by changes in population.

- 2016 real GDP growth: 5.0% (down from 5.4% in 2015; predicted to average 5.9% from 2016 to 2020).

- 2016 consumer price inflation average: 7.3% (up from 4.7% in 2015).

Table Of Contents

Uganda Agribusiness Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Table: Uganda - Corn Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Uganda 2012-2020) 15
Coffee Outlook 16
Table: Uganda - Coffee Production and Consumption Outlook 16
Table: Risks To Outlook 16
Table: Coffee Production and Consumption (Uganda 2012-2020) 18
Commodity Price Analysis 19
Global Commodities Strategy 19
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 19
Upstream Analysis 21
Africa Machinery Outlook 21
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions 21
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012) 26
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 27
Africa GM Outlook 34
Table: Farm Size By Region 38
Downstream Analysis 40
Food 40
Food Consumption 40
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Uganda 2012-2019) 43
Confectionery 43
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Uganda 2012-2019) 43
Dairy 44
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Uganda 2012-2019) 44
Regional Overview 45
Middle East and Africa Regional Overview 45
Demographic Forecast 51
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Uganda 1990-2025) 52
Table: Key Population Ratios (Uganda 1990-2025) 52
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Uganda 1990-2025) 53
Table: Population By Age Group (Uganda 1990-2025) 53
Table: Population By Age Group % (Uganda 1990-2025) 54
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sector-Specific Methodology 57

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