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IntelliNews - Polish Automotive Sector Report - February 2013

  • March 2013
  • -
  • Emerging Markets Direct Media Holdings
  • -
  • 24 pages

The Polish automotive market did not remain resilient to the global economic crisis in 2012, when falling external and domestic demand impacted downward on output, domestic sales and exports.

The production of passenger cars and light commercial vehicles dropped by 23% y/y in 2012, according to market data. The decline sharpened towards yearend, as major producers downsized output in order to adjust to shrinking external demand. Passenger car and LCV production further declined by over 22.7% y/y in January 2013 and is expected to follow the same tendency this year, as demand in the Western Europe continues shrinking.

The sales of new vehicles dropped on an annual comparison last year, as the economic crisis drove individual customers away from new car showrooms, while sales to corporate customers did not manage to offset the decline of the market. On the other hand, the imports of used cars inched up marginally by 0.3% y/y in 2012, as many Poles prefer to buy used cars, encouraged by a system of value-added and excise taxes. Notably, the number of new cars imported was more than double the number of new passenger cars registered last year.

Automotive exports also recorded y/y decline in value terms last year. The automotive parts segment managed to report positive y/y performance, yet exports started shrinking in Q3/2012 for the first time since 2010 and maintained on the same downward path in the following months.

The situation of the Polish automotive sector follows the same downward tendency in the region and prospects for the future are linked to developments on the European markets, considering that the automotive production is export-oriented. On the upside, as the demand from the main partners, Germany and UK, is less vulnerable to abrupt changes, the Polish market remains stable and continues to attract investments in the sector.

Table Of Contents

IntelliNews - Polish Automotive Sector Report - February 2013
Market overview
Motor vehicle production drops 21.7% y/y in 2012, as external demand keeps shrinking
Automotive exports drop 7.3% y/y in Jan-Nov 2012, car parts segment performs better
New passenger car, LCV registrations fall 2.5% y/y in 2012
while imports of used cars inch up marginally y/y in 2012
New car registration, output expected to maintain downward path in 2013
Production of buses hits five-year low in 2012, on falling external, domestic demand
Truck output records double-digit y/y growth, yet new registrations drop 3.9% y/y in 2012

Corporate news
Fiat Auto Poland announces massive layoffs on moving Panda model production to Italy
Fiat reportedly mulls switching new Fiat 500 output to Poland as of 2015
VW Poznan remains cautious on forecasting production for 2013
VW Motor Polska is granted award for quality management system
Automotive parts distributor InterCars to set up new logistics, warehousing firm
Goodyear increases stake in Polish tyre maker Debica
Spare parts distributor Fota implements new strategy, shifts focus on domestic operations
AB Volvo to relocate bus production from Sweden to Poland

Statistical appendix



List of Tables and Figures

Table 1 Production of passenger cars in 2009-2012 (y/y, monthly, annually)
Table 2 First registrations of new passenger cars and LCVs up to 3.5t in 2011-2012 (number, y/y)
Table 3 Imports of used passenger cars in 2010-2012 (number, y/y)
Table 4 Bus production in 2008-2012 (number, annual)
Table 5 First registrations of new commercial vehicles by producer GVW>3.5T in 2011-2012 (number, y/y)
Table 6 Production of trucks, tractors in 2008-2012 (number, monthly, annually)
Table 7 Fiat Auto Poland SA- Selected financials in 2008-2011 (PLN thou, annual)
Table 8 VW Poznan Sp. z o.o- Selected financials in 2008-2011 (PLN thou, annual)
9 VOLKSWAGEN MOTOR Polska Sp. z o.o.- Selected financials in 2008-2011 (PLN thou, annual)
Table 10 Inter Cars SA- Selected financials in 2011-2012 (PLN thou)
Table 11 Debica SA- Selected financials in 2011-2012 (PLN thou)
Table 12 Fota SA- Selected financials in 2011-2012 (PLN thou)
Table 13 Top automotive companies in Poland by revenues in 2011 (PLN thou)
Table 14 Motor vehicle production in 2002-2012 (thou units, annually)
Table 15 Production of passenger cars in 2008-2012 (thou units, monthly, annually)
Table 16 First registrations of new passenger cars in 2011-2012 (number, y/y)
Table 17 First registrations of new light commercial vehicles up to 3.5t in 2011-2012 (number, y/y)
Table 18 Motor vehicles exports in 2005-2011 (units, y/y, annual)
Table 19 EU countries- First registrations of new light commercial vehicles up to 3.5t in 2011-2012 (number, y/y)
Table 20 EU countries- First registrations of passenger cars in 2011-2012 (number, y/y)

Figure 1 Motor vehicle production in 2002-2012 (thou units, annually)
Figure 2 Production of passenger cars in 2008-2012 (thou pieces, annually)
Figure 3 Motor vehicles exports in 2005-2011 (units, y/y, annual)
Figure 4 Major export destinations for car parts and accessories in 2011, by volume (% of total, tons)
Figure 5 Major export destinations for motor vehicles for the transport of persons in 2011, by volume (% of total, pieces)
Figure 6 Major export destinations for motor vehicles for the transport of goods in 2011, by volume (% of total, pieces)
Figure 7 First registrations of new passenger cars and LCVs up to 3.5t in 2011-2012 (number, annual)
Figure 8 First registrations of new passenger cars and LCVs up to 3.5t in 2011-2012 (number, y/y)
Figure 9 Best selling new car brands by market share in 2011-2012 (%)
Figure 10 Imports of used cars by age structure in 2012 (%)
Figure 11 Imports of used passenger cars in 2010-2012 (number, monthly)
Figure 12 EU countries- First registrations of passenger cars in 2011-2012 (number, annual)
Figure 13 Major bus producers in 2012 by market share (% of total)
Figure 14 Bus production in 2008-2012 (number, y/y)
Figure 15 Age structure of buses in 2011 (in %)
Figure 16 Production and export of buses in 2007-2012 (number, annual)
Figure 17 Production of trucks and truck tractors in 2008-2012 (number, annual)
Figure 18 First registrations of new commercial vehicles with GVW>3.5T in 2007-2012 (number, y/y)
Figure 19 Fiat Auto Poland S.A.- Domestic sales by car brand in 2012 ( % of total)
Figure 20 Fiat Auto Poland S.A.- Major export destinations for Fiat, Abarth, Lancia in 2012 (units)
Figure 21 Major export destinations for tractors in 2011, by volume (% of total, units)
Figure 22 Major export destinations for buses and minibuses in 2011, by volume (% of total, pieces)
Figure 23 Tyre production in 2001-2012 (annual, thousands units)
Figure 24 EU countries- First registrations of new light commercial vehicles up to 3.5t in 2011-2012 (number, annual)

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