Saudi Arabia Defence and Security Industry Update Quarter 2 2012

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Saudi Arabia Defence SWOT 8
Saudi Arabia Security SWOT 10
Political 13
Economic 15
Business Environment 16
Industry Forecast 17
Defence Trade 17
Table: Saudi Arabia's Defence Exports (US$mn), 2010-2017 17
Table: Saudi Arabia's Defence Imports (US$mn), 2010-2017 17
Table: Saudi Arabia's Defence Trade Balance (US$mn), 2010-2017 18
Defence Expenditure 19
Table: Saudi Arabia's Government Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017 19
Table: Saudi Arabia's Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP (US$mn), 2010-2017 20
Armed Forces 20
Table: Saudi Arabia's Armed Forces, 2002-2009 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) 20
Table: Saudi Arabia's Available Manpower For Military Services, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated) 21
Macroeconomic Forecasts 24
Macroeconomic Forecast 24
Table: Saudi Arabia - Economic Activity 33
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 34
Security Risk Analysis 34
Table: Middle East And Africa Defence & Security Ratings 35
Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 35
Market Overview 37
Saudi Arabia Market Overview 37
Arms Trade Overview 37
Armed Forces and Government Spending 37
Industry Trends and Developments 47
Industry Trends And Developments 50
Security Overview 50
External Security 50
Internal Security 57
Table: Insurgent Groups 58
Political Overview 60
Domestic Politics 60
Long-Term Political Outlook 63
Company Profile 67
BAE Systems 67
Thales International 69
Regional Overview 71
Middle East and Africa Security Overview 71
Scenario Analysis 90
External Security 90
Internal Security 93
Global Industry Overview 98
Global Political Outlook 98
Eurozone 98
Iran War Risks Rising In 2013 99
Syrian Conflict To Continue, Post-Assad 100
Caucasus At Risk Of Armenia-Azerbaijan War 100
Korean Peninsula Facing Mixed Outlook 101
Asia's Maritime Island Disputes 101
Table: Election Timetable, 2013 102
Methodology 106
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 106
Defence Industry 107
Sources 107