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Intellinews - Croatia Country Report - February 2013

  • March 2013
  • -
  • Emerging Markets Direct Media Holdings
  • -
  • 21 pages

Croatia’s government is preparing to revise its 2013 budget after all major international players including the IMF, the World Bank, the EC and the rating agencies urged the country to tighten the fiscal consolidation and secure macroeconomic stability. What is more, the 2013 GDP is now expected to rise only 0.7% compared to the previous 1.8% forecast included in the current budget bill, while the EC says the economy might even loose more ground, contracting 0.4%.
The economy shrank by a real 2% in 2012 – contracting for a fourth consecutive year, a flash estimate of the statistics office showed.

Croatia’s EU entry is expected to attract higher volumes of private investments but in order to benefit from its accession in mid-2013, the country should quickly improve its labour market and business climate. The infrastructure and energy sector will also benefit from EU grants and loans that will aim to help the new member state raise its competitiveness.

Consumer price inflation slowed down to 4.9% in February from 5.2% in January. Retail sales fell by a real 5.3% on the year in January after declining 6.1% a month earlier. Industrial production shrank 3.4% on the year in January after dropping 5.6% in December.

The number of registered unemployed rose 9.5% y/y to 375,400 at end-February. Labour productivity went up 11.3% in the first month of 2013 after dropping 1.3% in 2012. Average net wages fell by a real 4.6% y/y in December after shrinking 5% a month earlier.

Table Of Contents

Intellinews - Croatia Country Report - February 2013
Table of Contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
MACROECONOMIC OVERVIEW
REAL SECTOR
1. GDP, Inflation
2. Industry and Trade
3. Labour Market
4. Tourism
FISCAL SECTOR, MONETARY POLICY
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION
EXTERNAL SECTOR
STRUCTURAL REFORMS, USAGE STATISTICS
POLITICS



List of Tables

Table 1 - Croatia CPI
Table 2 - Croatia PPI inflation



List of Figures

Figure 1 - Croatia's GDP and exports
Figure 2 - Annual CPI, PPI inflation
Figure 3 - Croatia jobless rate
Figure 4 - Croatia net wage
Figure 5 - Croatia tourist arrivals
Figure 7 - Croatia bank loans
Figure 8 - Croatia bank deposits
Figure 9 - Croatia lending rate
Figure 10 - Croatia average deposits rate
Figure 11 - Croatia foreign debt

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