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East Africa Telecommunications Report Q2 2015

  • April 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 139 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Our Q215 East Africa report analyses latest industry, regulatory and macroeconomic developments in the telecoms markets of Burundi, Ethiopia, Malawi, Rwanda, South Sudan and Sudan. The five markets present challenging business environments, including low spending power of majority of consumers, high cost of network deployment in rural areas and political instability in some countries. However, the relatively low voice and data penetration rates assures long-term subscriptions growth and, potentially, value growth should the economic situation in these markets improve in the coming years.

Key Data

- Average mobile market growth in the six countries in FY14 was 9.2%. Malawi recorded the highest growth rate, estimated at 17.6%, while Sudan recorded the largest contraction of 1.7%.
- Average mobile penetration among the six countries was 41.8% at the end of December 2014. Sudan had the highest penetration rate at 71.5% and Ethiopia the lowest, at 24%.
- Average monthly ARPU remained below USD3 in 2014. Only South Sudan recorded ARPU of more than USD5, while Burundi, Malawi and Rwanda reported sub-USD3.5 ARPUs.

Table Of Contents

East Africa Telecommunications Report Q2 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
SWOT 11
Industry Forecast 13
Burundi 13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Burundi 2012-2019) 13
Ethiopia 16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ethiopia 2012-2019) 16
Malawi 19
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Malawi 2012-2019) 19
Rwanda 21
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Rwanda 2012-2019) 21
South Sudan 24
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (South Sudan 2012-2019) 24
Sudan 26
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sudan 2012-2019) 26
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 29
Industry Risk/Reward Index 29
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q215 32
Market Overview 34
Burundi 34
Mobile 34
Table: Burundi Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 34
Fixed Line And Internet 39
Ethiopia 40
Mobile 40
Table: Ethiopia Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 40
Fixed Line and Internet 45
Malawi 47
Mobile 47
Table: Malawi Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 47
Fixed Line And Internet 52
Rwanda 54
Mobile 54
Table: Rwanda Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 54
Fixed Line And Internet 62
South Sudan 66
Mobile 66
Table: Sudan Mobile Regional Comparison 2014 66
Fixed Line And Internet 70
Sudan 73
Mobile 73
Table: Sudan Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 73
Fixed-Line And Internet 78
Mobile Content 80
Table: Selected Value-Added Services Developments, October 2014-January 2015 83
Regulatory Development 85
Regulatory Overview 85
Table: East Africa Regulatory Environment 85
Burundi 85
Ethiopia 86
Malawi 87
Rwanda 88
South Sudan 89
Sudan 90
Company Profile 91
Zain Sudan 91
Sudatel 95
MTN 99
Table: MTN Indicators, 2013-2014 102
Airtel Africa 104
Table: Selected Key Developments 107
Regional Overview 110
Table: Selected Contracts In Africa, 2014 112
Demographic Forecast 113
Burundi 113
Table: Burundi's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 114
Table: Burundi's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 115
Table: Burundi's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 116
Table: Burundi's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 116
Ethiopia 117
Table: Ethiopia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 118
Table: Ethiopia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 119
Table: Ethiopia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 120
Table: Ethiopia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 120
Malawi 121
Table: Malawi's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 122
Table: Malawi's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 123
Table: Malawi's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 124
Table: Malawi's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 124
Rwanda 125
Table: Rwanda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 126
Table: Rwanda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 127
Table: Rwanda's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 128
Table: Rwanda's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 128
Demographic Forecast - Sudan 129
Table: Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 130
Table: Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 131
Table: Sudan's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 132
Table: Sudan's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 132
Glossary 133
Table: Glossary Of Terms 133
Methodology 135
Industry Forecast Methodology 135
Sources 137
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 137
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 138
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 139

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