East Africa Telecommunications Report Q2 2014

  • March 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 131 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Our Q214 East Africa report analyses latest industry, regulatory and macroeconomic
developments in the telecoms markets of Burundi, Ethiopia, Malawi, Rwanda, South Sudan and Sudan.
Analysis of market data provided by telecoms regulators and network operators show slightly slower
subscriptions growth across the six countries in 2013 compared to 2012. ARPUs continued to drop in
countries with competitive markets and are now firmly in low single digits, a situation affecting operators'
profitability. We expect operators to introduce high-value services targeted at wealthy segments of the
population to drive revenue growth, while also implementing efficiency improvement solutions to reduce
operating expenses.

Key Data

- Average mobile market growth in the six countries in 2013 was 19.5%. Ethiopia recorded the highest
growth rate, estimated at 29.1%, while the lowest was Sudan at 2.8%.
- Average mobile penetration among the six countries rose to 41% at the end of December 2013, up from
36.6% at the end of 2012.
- Average monthly ARPU fell below US$3 in 2013. Only South Sudan recorded ARPU of more than US
$5, while Burundi, Malawi and Rwanda reported sub-US$3.5 ARPUs.

Table Of Contents

East Africa Telecommunications Report Q2 2014
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
SWOT 11
Industry Forecast .. 13
Burundi . 13
Table: Burundi Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecast . 13
Ethiopia . 16
Table: Ethiopia Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecast 16
Malawi .. 19
Table: Malawi Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecast . 19
Rwanda . 21
Table: Rwanda Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecast . 21
South Sudan . 24
Table: South Sudan Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecast . . 24
Sudan . 26
Table: Sudan Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecast 26
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings .. 30
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Risks/rewards ratings Q214 . . 33
Market Overview 35
Burundi . 35
Mobile . 35
Table: Burundi Mobile Regional Comparison, 2013 35
Fixed Line And Internet 39
Ethiopia . 41
Mobile . 41
Table: Ethiopia Mobile Regional Comparison, 2013 . . 41
Fixed Line and Internet 46
Malawi .. 48
Mobile . 48
Table: Malawi Mobile Regional Comparison, 2013 . 48
Fixed Line And Internet 52
Rwanda . 55
Mobile . 55
Table: Rwanda Mobile Regional Comparison, 2013 55
Fixed Line And Internet 60
South Sudan . 63
Mobile . 63
Table: Sudan Mobile Regional Comparison 2013 63
Fixed Line And Internet 67
Sudan . 70
Mobile . 70
Table: Sudan Mobile Regional Comparison, 2013 . . 70
Fixed Line And Internet 76
Africa Mobile Content 78
Table: Selected Non-Voice Service Deployments In 2013 . 81
Regulatory Development .. 83
Regulatory Overview .. 83
Table: East Africa Regulatory Environment . . 83
Burundi . 83
Ethiopia . 84
Malawi .. 85
Rwanda . 86
South Sudan . 87
Sudan .. 88
Company Profile . 89
Zain Sudan 89
Sudatel .. 92
MTN .. 96
Table: MTN Operational Indicators . . 99
Regional Overview . 101
Huawei 101
Table: Huawei's Major Contract Wins In Sub-Saharan Africa, 2013 103
Demographic Forecast 105
Burundi .. 105
Table: Burundi's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 106
Table: Burundi's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 107
Table: Burundi's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . 108
Table: Burundi's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 108
Demographic Outlook . 109
Table: Ethiopia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 110
Table: Ethiopia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 111
Table: Ethiopia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . 112
Table: Ethiopia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 112
Malawi 113
Table: Malawi's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . 114
Table: Malawi's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . 115
Table: Malawi's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . . 116
Table: Malawi's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 116
Rwanda .. 117
Table: Rwanda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 118
Table: Rwanda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 119
Table: Rwanda's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . 120
Table: Rwanda's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . 120
Demographic Outlook . 121
Table: Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . . 122
Table: Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . . 123
Table: Sudan's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 124
Table: Sudan's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 124
Glossary 125
Table: Glossary Of Terms . . 125
Methodology .. 127
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 127
Sources . 128
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology . 129
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators . 130
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 131

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