Keywords : Smart meter, Electricity meter
Smart Electric Meters, Advanced Metering Infrastructure, and Meter Communications: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts Smart electric meters have emerged as the most visible technology of the major modernization of the global electricity infrastructure known as the smart grid. Smart meters and advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), terms often used synonymously, integrate embedded computing and two-way communications to transform ...
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Smart Electric Meters, Advanced Metering Infrastructure, and Meter Communications: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts
Smart electric meters have emerged as the most visible technology of the major modernization of the global electricity infrastructure known as the smart grid. Smart meters and advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), terms often used synonymously, integrate embedded computing and two-way communications to transform meters from simple manual recording instruments into highly intelligent devices serving increasingly broad roles within the electricity infrastructure. Smart meters have transformed a placid, 140-year old, low-innovation electricity metering market into a high-tech, high-growth juggernaut. In 2008, less than 4% of the global installed base of 1.5 billion electricity meters could be considered “smart” but 4 years later this penetration will have grown to over 18%, and is forecast to exceed 55% by 2020.
Such ongoing growth continues to offer unprecedented opportunities for a broad spectrum of suppliers. However, the smart meter market is exceptionally local, with different drivers, regulatory environments, favored technologies, standards, value and supply chains, and especially, market timing. Most importantly, the smart meter boom is a limited-time opportunity within each region. As anticipated in earlier Pike Research smart meter forecasts, the North American market has already peaked, and faces dramatic near-term contraction, just as the European market begins a similarly dramatic growth period. The Asia Pacific region will continue to outpace all other regions driven by major deployments in China, utilizing a different breed of smart meter technology. The global smart meter market is forecast to experience a modest 4.9% CAGR between 2010 and 2010, but hidden beneath seemingly steady growth are significant regional peaks and valleys, each with their own opportunities and risks. Suppliers seeking to profit from the unique smart meter upgrade cycle must understand the associated technology, standards, and market dynamics behind this regional diversity.
This Pike Research report examines global and regional smart meter market trends, details neighborhood-area and home-area communications technologies and standards, defines and segments various smart meter capabilities, and provides detailed market sizing and forecasts by technology, utility type, and world region for the period from 2010 through 2020. Key vendors, standards, and deployments are profiled, offering a comprehensive window into the dynamic market for smart metering.
Key Questions Addressed:
-Where and when have smart meter unit shipments peaked, or will peak in the future?
-What are the key smart meter communications technologies, and how will they evolve?
-How do smart meter and AMI technologies differ around the world?
-Which AMI communications technologies (public and private) will lead in each region?
-How, when, and which home area networking technologies be deployed in smart meters?
-What are the key policy, technology, and economic risks impacting the smart meter market evolution?
Key needs this report?
-Smart meter manufacturers and component suppliers
-Networking and communications companies
-Energy management and automation vendors
-Smart grid software, tools, integration, and installation suppliers
-Industry associations and standards organizations
-Utilities
-Government agencies and energy policymakers
-Investor community
Global Electrical Equipment Industry
Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Smart Meter Market Forecast
1.3 Evolution of Smart Meters
2. Market Issues
2.1 Metering Market Overview
2.1.1 Meter Types
2.1.2 Common Terms
2.1.3 Business Structures of Market Participants
2.2 Overview of Electricity Market Issues
2.3 Smart Meter Business Case
2.3.1 Improved Utility Operations
2.3.2 Broader Smart Grid-Related Benefits
2.3.2.1 Energy Use Reduction
2.3.2.2 Demand Response and Peak Shifting
2.3.2.3 Net Metering and Local Generation
2.3.2.4 Support for Electric Vehicles
2.4 Industry Dynamics
2.4.1 Meter and Communications “Co-opetition”
2.4.2 Vendor Consolidation
2.4.3 Emergence of Low-Cost Solutions via Asia Pacific Partners
2.4.4 Non-Traditional Market Entrants
2.5 Smart Meter Market Drivers
2.5.1 Economic Drivers
2.5.2 Energy Policy Drivers
2.5.2.1 North America
2.5.2.2 Europe
2.5.2.3 Asia Pacific
2.5.2.4 Latin America
2.5.2.5 Africa
2.6 Market Challenges
3. Technology Issues
3.1 Smart Meter Components Overview
3.1.1 Smart Meter Requirements
3.2 Meter Technology
3.3 Neighborhood Area Network (NAN) Communications Technologies
3.3.1 NAN Purpose and Function
3.3.2 RF Mesh Networks
3.3.2.1 Physical and Link Layer Protocols
3.3.2.2 Network Layer Protocols
3.3.2.3 Performance Characteristics
3.3.3 RF Point-to-Multipoint Networks
3.3.3.1 Private RF Point-to-Multipoint Systems
3.3.3.1 Cellular-Based Systems
3.3.3.2 Performance Characteristics
3.3.4 Power Line Communication (PLC)
3.3.4.1 Low-Speed Power Line Communication
3.3.4.2 Narrowband Power Line Communication (N-PLC)
3.3.4.3 Broadband over Power Line (BPL)
3.3.4.3 Performance Characteristics
3.4 Home Area Network (HAN) Interface
3.4.1 RF HANs
3.4.1.1 ZigBee
3.4.1.2 Other RF HAN Technologies
3.4.2 Power Line Communication (PLC) HANs
3.4.2.1 HomePlug
3.4.2.2 HomeGrid/ITU G.hn
3.5 Other Smart Meter Communications Configurations
3.6 Key Technical Issues
3.6.1 Smart Metering Communications Requirements
3.6.2 Interoperability and the Move to IP-Based Networks
3.6.3 Integrated System Security
3.6.4 Future-Proofing
3.7 Standards Issues
3.7.1 Who Sets Metering Standards?
3.7.2 “Standard Set of Standards” Efforts
3.7.2.1 National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)
3.7.2.2 European OPEN meter Project
3.7.2.3 Utility-Driven Standardization
3.7.3 Standards Evolution Implications
4. Deployment Issues and Experiences
4.1 Representative Global Deployments
4.1.1 North America
4.1.1.1 Southern California Edison – Edison SmartConnect
4.1.1.2 Duke Energy
4.1.1.3 Hydro One
4.1.2 Europe
4.1.2.1 Sweden
4.1.2.1.1. Vattenfall
4.1.2.1.2. Gutenberg Energi
4.1.3 Asia Pacific
4.1.3.1 China
4.2 Consumer Response
4.2.1 Meter Accuracy
4.2.2 Data Security and Privacy
4.2.3 Health and Safety
4.2.4 The Opt-Out Option
5. Key Industry Players
5.1 Smart Meter and Communications Vendors
5.1.1 Aclara (ESCO Technologies Inc.)
5.1.2 Ambient Corp.
5.1.3 Echelon Corp.
5.1.4 Elster Group
5.1.5 GE Digital Energy
5.1.6 Glen Canyon Corp.
5.1.7 Grid Net, Inc.
5.1.8 Holley Metering Ltd.
5.1.9 Iskraemeco
5.1.10 Itron Inc.
5.1.11 Landis+Gyr
5.1.12 Nuri Telecom
5.1.13 Sagemcom
5.1.14 Secure Meters Ltd. (formerly PRI Ltd.)
5.1.15 Sensus
5.1.16 Silver Spring Networks
5.1.17 SmartSynch, Inc.
5.1.18 Trilliant Inc.
6. Market Forecasts
6.1 Forecast Introduction
6.2 Global Electrical Meter Installed Base
6.3 Global Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Region
6.3.1 North American Smart Meter Shipments
6.3.2 European Smart Meter Shipments
6.3.3 Asia Pacific Smart Meter Shipments
6.3.4 Latin American Smart Meter Shipments
6.3.5 Middle East/Africa Smart Meter Shipments
6.4 Global Smart Meter Installed Base
6.5 Global Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Meter Type
6.6 Global Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology
6.7 Global Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments by HAN Technology
6.8 Global Smart Meter Revenue and Average Selling Prices
6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes
List of Charts and Figures
Electrical Meter Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Electrical Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Utility Type, United States: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments and Installed Base Penetration, United States: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments and Installed Base Penetration, Canada: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Penetration (of All Electric Meters) by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Electrical Meter Unit Shipments with Percentage Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Meter Type, World Markets: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments as a Percentage of All Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Penetration (of All Smart Meters) by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology, World Markets: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology, North America: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology, Europe: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology, World Markets: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments by HAN Technology, World Markets: 2010-2020
Basic and Advanced Smart Meter Revenue and ASPs, World Markets: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Revenue and ASPs, World Markets: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Revenue Percentage by Component, World Markets: 2010-2020
Typical Smart Meter Network Architecture
Selected Smart Meter Business Cases – Operational Benefits
Example Smart Meter Form Factors
Mesh Network Configurations
Star Network Configuration
Example ZigBee Mesh Network Topology
British Gas/Centrica Smart Meter and AMI Configuration
Example SGCC Smart Meter Configurations
Example of Select Standards and Standards Bodies for Revenue Metering
NIST Conceptual Reference Diagram for Smart Grid Information Networks
OPEN meter Architecture
SCE HAN Connectivity Concept
SCE Technology Vendor Map
Duke Energy’s Utility of the Future Concepts
Duke Energy’s Communications Network Concept
Hydro One AMI Configuration
Hydro One’s Smart Grid Concept
List of Tables
Smart Meter Mergers and Acquisitions
Example RF Mesh NAN Systems
Categories of Power Line Communication
Smart Metering NAN, HAN, and AMI-WAN Communications Requirements
All Electrical Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Electrical Meter Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Installed Base and Penetration Rates by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Installed Base and Penetration Rates by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments, Average Selling Price, and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments as a Percentage of All Electrical Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Basic Smart Meter Unit Shipments, Average Selling Price, and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Basic Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments, Average Selling Price, and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Component Shipments, Average Selling Price, and Revenue, World Markets: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments by HAN Technology by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Electrical Meter Unit Shipments, North America: 2010-2020
Electrical Meter Installed Base, North America: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Installed Base and Penetration Rate, North America: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments, Average Selling Price, and Revenue, North America: 2010-2020
Basic Smart Meter Unit Shipments and Revenue, North America: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments and Revenue, North America: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Installed Base and Penetration Rate by Utility Type, United States: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Utility Type, United States: 2010-2020
Electrical Meter Installed Base, World Markets: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments as a Percentage of Total Smart Meter Unit Shipments, World Markets: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology, World Markets: 2010-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology, North America and Europe: 2010-2020
Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology, World Markets: 2010-2020
Basic and Advanced Smart Meter Revenue and Average Selling Price, World Markets: 2010-2020