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Tanzania Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q3 2015

  • May 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 84 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

The introduction of compulsory health insurance in Tanzania will increase uptake of thescheme among some sectors of the population.
Despite the impressive employment rate, contributions fromthose employed in the informal and agriculture sectors will be less likely, limiting its uptake.

Headline Expenditure Projections

Pharmaceuticals: TZS797bn (USD479mn) in 2014 to an expected TZS909bn (USD496mn) in 2015;+14.0% growth in local currency terms and +3.5% in US dollar terms.
Forecast downgraded slightly inboth local currency and US dollar terms from Q215.

Healthcare: TZS4,403bn (USD2.65bn) in 2014 to TZ4,845bn (USD2.65bn) in 2015; +10.1% growth inlocal currency terms, and 0.0% in US dollar terms.
Forecast upgraded from Q215 following the releaseof new healthcare expenditure data from the World Health Organization.

Table Of Contents

Tanzania Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View ....... 7
SWOT .... 9
Political . 10
Economic ....... 11
Operational Risk ..... 13
Industry Forecast ...... 15
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 15
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2011-2019) 17
Healthcare Market Forecast ...... 18
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2011-2019) . . . . . . 19
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2011-2019) 19
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2011-2019) . . . . . . 20
Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast . 21
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast - Tanzania . . . . 23
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario . 24
Macroeconomic Forecasts ....... 28
Economic Analysis ... 28
Table: Economic Activity (Tanzania 2010-2019) . . . . . . . 33
Industry Risk Reward Indicies . 34
Middle East And Africa Risk/Reward Index .. 34
Tanzania Risk/Reward Ratings ... 42
Rewards ....... 42
Risks .... 43
Market Overview ....... 44
Industry Trends And Developments 46
Epidemiology 46
Table: Healthcare Millennium Development Goals Progress . . 51
Healthcare Sector .. 51
Table: Number Of Health Facilities By Type And Ownership In Tanzania 2011 . . . . . . 52
Healthcare Sector Developments ....... 55
Regulatory Development .. 63
Regulatory Regime . 63
Intellectual Property Issues ...... 64
Competitive Landscape .... 70
Demographic Forecast ..... 73
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Tanzania 1990-2025) 74
Table: Key Population Ratios (Tanzania 1990-2025) . . 74
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (Tanzania 1990-2025) . 75
Table: Population By Age Group (Tanzania 1990-2025) . . . . . . 75
Table: Population By Age Group % (Tanzania 1990-2025) . . . 76
Glossary ..... 78
Methodology ...... 80
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model ...... 80
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model ..... 80
Notes On Methodology .... 81
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ....... 82
Index Overview ...... 83
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 83
Indicator Weightings ...... 84

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