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West Africa Mining Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 98 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: West Africa's growth outlook will remain weak due to both low mineral prices and countries'inadequate infrastructure over the coming quarters. The region's long-term growth outlook remainspromising due to countries' vast untapped mineral reserves, positive foreign investment outlook andinfrastructure developments.

Latest Developments & Structural Trends

-Political risk in Sierra Leone will increase over the next 18 months as allegations over themisappropriation and misuse of funds for combating Ebola reflect badly on President Ernest Bai Koromaas he seemingly looks for an unconstitutional extension to his time in office (see: 'Corruption Will DentPresident's Ambitions', March 3).

-In 2015, Rusal announced the signing of a Multi-User Operation Agreement on existing railwayinfrastructure at the Company's Dian-Dian project in Guinea. The Agreement allows the transportation ofbauxite, including that mined at Dian-Dian, using the existing railway infrastructure in the Boke provinceand creates an environment for the further development of project transport infrastructure.

-Guinea's iron ore production will be supported by Rio Tinto's partnership with the Guinean governmentto construct a maritime terminal and the 'Trans-Guinean Railway'. The railway will link south-eastGuinea with the coast along the Southern Growth Corridor and will be essential for iron ore transportfrom the Simandou mine.

Table Of Contents

West Africa Mining Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Select Countries - Mining Industry Forecast 7
Latest Developments and Structural Trends 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Guinea Bauxite: Set For Solid Growth 11
Latest Developments 11
Table: Guinea - Bauxite Production and Growth 11
Table: Guinea - New Projects 12
Structural Trends 13
Political Risks To Outlook 15
Guinea Iron Ore: Recovery To Pick Up By 2017 16
Latest Developments 16
Table: Guinea - Iron Ore Production and Growth 16
Table: Guinea - New Iron Ore Projects 17
Structural Trends 18
Sierra Leone: Growth To Recover In The Long Term 22
Latest Developments 22
Table: Sierra Leone - Iron Ore Mine Production 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Sierra Leone - Key Infrastructure Projects 25
Mauritania: Gold To Contract, Iron Ore To Be Weak 27
Latest Developments 27
Table: Mauritania - Mine Production and Growth 27
Table: Mauritania - New Iron Ore Mining Projects 28
Structural Trends 29
Price Weakness To Subdue Investment Outlook 30
Infrastructure Weakness To Dampen Growth Outlook 31
Côte d'Ivoire Gold: New Projects To Support Growth 33
Latest Developments 33
Table: Cote d'Ivoire - Gold Production Forecast 33
Table: Côte d'Ivoire - Largest Gold Projects 33
Structural Trends 34
Liberia Iron Ore: Low Prices And Inadequate Infrastructure To Curb Growth 37
Latest Developments 37
Table: Liberia - Iron Ore Production Forecast and Growth 37
Table: Liberia - New Iron Ore Projects 38
Structural Trends 39
Business Environment To Remain Relatively Stable 41
Mali Gold: Growth To Pick Up By 2019 42
Latest Developments 42
Table: Mali - Gold Production Forecast 42
Structural Trends 43
Ghana Gold: Growth To Be Modest 46
Latest Developments 46
Table: Ghana - Gold Production and Growth 46
Structural Trends 47
Government Shows No Sign of Easing Taxes 50
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 53
Guinea - Mining Risk/Reward Index 53
Rewards 53
Industry Rewards 53
Country Rewards 53
Risks 53
Industry Risks 53
Country Risks 53
Liberia Risk/Reward Index 54
Rewards 54
Industry Rewards 54
Country Rewards 54
Risks 54
Industry Risks 54
Country Risks 55
Africa - Risk/Reward Index 55
Key Takeaways 55
Latest Revisions 56
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index 57
Regulatory Development 58
Commodities Forecast 62
Commodities Outlook 62
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 62
Competitive Landscape 63
Table: West Africa: Key Mining Companies' Financial Metrics 64
Structural Trends: 64
Company Profile 65
Global Company Strategy - Randgold Resources - Q3 2016 65
Table: Select Commodities Forecasts 67
Company Analysis 67
Latest Financial Results 69
Table: Randgold Resources - Key Financial Data 71
Global Company Strategy - Rio Tinto 72
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 74
Company Analysis 74
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Projects 80
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data 81
Global Company Strategy - AngloGold Ashanti - Q3 2016 82
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 84
Company Strategy 86
Table: AngloGold Ashanti - Key Financial Data 87
Regional Overview 88
Table: SSA - Government Involvement In Mining Sector 93
Methodology 95
Industry Forecast Methodology 95
Sources 96
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 97
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 98

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