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Zambia Autos Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 27 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: A struggling economy and downbeat outlook for the Zambian consumer will continue tonegatively impact the autos market, which will see another year of contraction in vehicle sales in 2016.

Key Views

-Vehicle sales will contract by 5.2% in 2016.

-Elevated inflation will continue to erode consumer purchasing power and raise living costs.

-An expected interest rate hike will further dampen credit growth and negatively impact privateconsumption.

-High customs duties on vehicle imports will place downward pressure on vehicle sales growth.

-A slowing construction industry and uncertainty in the mining sector will slow growth in commercialvehicle sales.

Table Of Contents

Zambia Autos Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Key Views 5
SWOT 6
Industry Forecast 7
Industry Forecast Scenario 7
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Zambia 2014-2020) 7
Latest Developments 7
Structural Trends 7
Industry Risk Reward Index 13
Sub-Saharan Africa - Risk/Reward Index 13
Average Scores Show Room For Improvement 13
Manufacturers Among Outperformers 14
Middle Ground Shows Potential Movers 14
Regional Overview 16
Sub-Saharan Africa Overview 16
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Production Investment 16
Export Potential Lures Investment 17
Kenya Becoming CV Hub 17
Nigeria Still Unlikely As A Hub 18
Demographic Forecast 19
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Zambia 1990-2025) 20
Table: Key Population Ratios (Zambia 1990-2025) 20
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Zambia 1990-2025) 21
Table: Population By Age Group (Zambia 1990-2025) 21
Table: Population By Age Group % (Zambia 1990-2025) 22
Methodology 24
Industry Forecasts 24
Sector-Specific Methodology 25
Sources 25
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 26
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 27

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