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Zimbabwe Autos Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 26 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We maintain our view that 2016 will see another year of contraction in the autos market due tothe poor economic outlook for the country, caused by low commodity prices, weak domestic demand andsubdued levels of foreign investment.

Key Views

-We maintain our view that vehicle sales will contract by 22.9% in 2016.

-We expect deflationary conditions to persist in 2016, which will discourage savings and borrowing aswell as leading to a fall in real wages. These factors will negatively impact private consumption andtherefore demand for vehicles.

-Weak domestic demand will put downward pressure on vehicle sales growth.

-Muted growth in the infrastructure sector and an uncertain mining environment will continue to constraincommercial vehicle sales growth.

Table Of Contents

Zimbabwe Autos Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Key Views 5
SWOT 6
Industry Forecast 7
Industry Forecast Scenario 7
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2014-2020) 7
Latest Developments 7
Structural Trends 7
Autos Risk/Reward Index 12
Sub-Saharan Africa - Risk/Reward Index 12
Average Scores Show Room For Improvement 12
Manufacturers Among Outperformers 13
Middle Ground Shows Potential Movers 13
Regional Overview 15
Sub-Saharan Africa Overview 15
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Production Investment 15
Export Potential Lures Investment 16
Kenya Becoming CV Hub 16
Nigeria Still Unlikely As A Hub 17
Demographic Forecast 18
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 19
Table: Key Population Ratios (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 19
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 20
Table: Population By Age Group (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 20
Table: Population By Age Group % (Zimbabwe 1990-2025) 21
Methodology 23
Industry Forecasts 23
Sector-Specific Methodology 24
Sources 24
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 25
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 26

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