Zimbabwe Autos Report Q3 2014

  • May 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

After an estimated 2.9% year-on-year (y-o-y) decline in new vehicle sales in 2013, we forecast robust average growth of 15.9% y-o-y between 2014 and 2018 in Zimbabwe. Although it appears that private consumption in Zimbabwe slowed in 2013, we believe that this component of GDP will accelerate in 2014. Although private consumption will remain relatively robust and will be the main driver of headline real GDP growth in 2014 and in the years thereafter, the vehicles market will continue to rely on businesses for much of its growth. Such is the price differential between new cars and imported used cars that private consumers are likely to continue to opt for imported used cars.

Our view for the commercial vehicles segment played out in July 2013, when Babcock, the importer and distributor of DAF trucks in Southern Africa, delivered seven DAF trucks to Mutare Bottling, the Manicaland Coca-Cola and Schweppes franchise holder in Mutare, Zimbabwe. For DAF, this is the single biggest order coming from Babcock in Zimbabwe.

Table Of Contents

BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 8
Economic 9
Business Environment 11
Industry Forecast 12
Sales 12
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2012-2018) 12
Macroeconomic Forecast 15
Table: Zimbabwe - Economic Activity 18
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 19
Table: Autos Risk/Reward Ratings - Sub-Saharan Africa 22
Competitive Landscape 23
Flex-Fuel Vehicles 23
Used Cars 24
Suppliers 26
Company Profile 28
Company Monitor 28
Regional Overview 31
Global Industry Overview 39
Table: Passenger Car Sales March 2014 39
European Growth Gathers Momentum 39
Japan Prepares For Tax Fallout 41
China Wobble Adds To BRIC Weakness 42
Demographic Forecast 45
Table: Zimbabwe's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 46
Table: Zimbabwe's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 47
Table: Zimbabwe's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 48
Table: Zimbabwe's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 48
Methodology 49
Industry Forecasts 49
Sector-Specific Methodology 50
Sources 50
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 51
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 52

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