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Namibia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 50 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: While Namibia's business environment is receptive to foreign investment, the country'srelatively small pharmaceutical market and below average per capita spending on medicines means thatmultinationals are instead drawn to other, more lucrative South African countries. As a result, Namibia isheavily reliant on imports for the majority of its pharmaceuticals needs and we expect this to remain thecase over the long term.

Headline Expenditure Forecasts

- Pharmaceuticals: NAD2.34bn (USD180mn) in 2015 to NAD2.56bn (USD160mn) in 2016; +9.4% inlocal currency and -12.7% in US dollar terms. Forecast unchanged from last quarter in local currencyterms and revised downwards in USD terms.

- Healthcare: NAD14.3bn (USD1.12bn) in 2015 to NAD15.7bn (USD980mn) in 2016; +9.9% in localcurrency and -12.3% in US dollar terms. Forecast revised upwards from last quarter.

Table Of Contents

Namibia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Forecasts (Namibia 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 10
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020) 12
Healthcare Market Forecast 13
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020) 14
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020) 15
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020) 15
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Middle East and Africa Risk/Reward Index - Q3 2016 16
Namibia Risk/Reward Index 24
Rewards 24
Risks 24
Regulatory Review 26
Pharmaceutical Distribution 28
Market Overview 29
Healthcare Sector 30
Research and Development 33
Epidemiology 34
Competitive Landscape 36
Demographic Forecast 39
Demographic Outlook 39
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Namibia 1990-2025) 40
Table: Key Population Ratios (Namibia 1990-2025) 40
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Namibia 1990-2025) 41
Table: Population By Age Group (Namibia 1990-2025) 41
Table: Population By Age Group % (Namibia 1990-2025) 42
Glossary 44
Methodology 46
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model 46
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model 46
Notes On Methodology 47
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 48
Index Overview 49
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators 49
Indicator Weightings 50

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