INTRODUCTION

STUDY BACKGROUND

According to an article in Nature Nanotechnology, “traditional [electronic] materials have been pushed to their limits, which means that entirely new materials…and new device structures are required. These materials and structures will probably allow MOS devices to remain competitive for at least another 10 years. Beyond this time frame, entirely new device structures (such as nanowire or molecular devices) and computational paradigms will almost certainly be needed to improve performance” (Vogel, 2007).

The 2011 edition of the International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors (ITRS) identifies a set of applications that will require new materials with significantly improved properties to meet future technology requirements, enable increased density of devices and increase energy efficiency for computing and reliability. Based on these requirements, the ITRS identifies a number of emerging materials that have properties that could potentially meet these requirements, including III-V compounds, Ge, low-dimensional materials (e.g., carbon nanotubes [CNTs], nanowires, graphitic systems, nanoparticles), macromolecules, self-directed assembled materials, spin materials, complex metal oxides and selected interfaces.

STUDY GOALS AND OBJECTIVES

The goal of this report is to survey emerging electronic materials technologies and applications, identify those that are most likely to achieve significant commercial sales in the next five to 10 years and develop quantitative estimates of potential sales. The report generally avoids futuristic speculation about technology applications that might be possible more than 10 years into the future, focusing instead on applications that are expected make it to market by 2021.

The report’s specific objectives support this broad goal. These objectives include identifying the new electronics materials with the greatest commercial potential in the 2011 to 2021 time frame, identifying market drivers, evaluating obstacles to their successful commercialization and projecting their future sales.

INTENDED AUDIENCE

This report is intended for marketing executives, entrepreneurs, investors, venture capitalists and other readers with a need to know where the electronic materials field is headed over the next five to 10 years

SCOPE AND FORMAT

The report addresses the global market for new electronic materials during the period from 2011 through 2021. Electronic materials are those that are used to affect the electrons or their associated fields in a desired manner consistent with the intended function of the electronic system. Other materials used in electronic devices, such as thermal management or packaging materials, are not covered in this report. New electronic materials are those that are not yet in widespread commercial use or are still under development, such as:

Graphene.
Quantum dots.
Photonic crystals.
Carbon nanotubes.
Superconductors.
Nanowires.
Conducting and semiconducting polymers.
Phase change materials.
Molybdenite.

The report format includes the following major elements:

Executive summary.
Definitions and key concepts.
New materials.
Major applications.
Market drivers.
Global trends in the market for new electronic materials by type of material and application (2010–2021).
Patent analysis.
Company profiles.

INFORMATION SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY

The findings and conclusions of this report are based on information gathered from industry sources, including manufacturers and users of new electronic materials. Interview data were combined with information gathered through an extensive review of secondary sources such as trade publications, trade associations, company literature and on-line databases.

BCC chose 2010 as the base year because at the time the report was prepared (i.e., in early 2012), complete year-end data for 2011 were not available from all sources. With 2010 as a baseline, market projections were developed for the years 2011 to 2016. These projections are based on a combination of a consensus among the primary contacts combined with an understanding of the key market drivers and their impact from a historical and analytical perspective. The analytical methodologies used to generate the market estimates are described in detail in along with the market projections.

ANALYST CREDENTIALS

Andrew McWilliams, the author of this report, is a partner at 43rd Parallel, LLC, a Boston-based international technology and marketing consulting firm. He is the author of a number of other BCC Research market opportunity reports on advanced electronics materials and technologies, including IFT066A Printed Electronics: The Global Market; NAN017F Nanostructured Materials: Electronic/Magnetic/ Optoelectronic; NAN036B Nanotechnology for Photonics: Global Markets; AVM075A Graphene: Technologies, Applications, and Markets; AVM066B Superconductors: Technologies and Global Markets; AVM067B Metamaterials: Technologies and Global Markets; AVM023D Smart Materials and Their Applications: Technologies and Global Markets; IAS029A Terahertz Radiation Systems: Technologies and Global Markets; SMC048A Semiconductor Microlithography: Materials and Markets; AVM025G Diamond, Diamond-Like and CBN Films and Coating Products; CHM045A Global Markets for Lithographic Chemicals; and SMC043B Electronic Chemicals and Materials: The Global Market.

Table Of Contents

TABLE OF CONTENTS

CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION 1
STUDY BACKGROUND 1
STUDY GOALS AND OBJECTIVES 1
INTENDED AUDIENCE 2
SCOPE AND FORMAT 2
INFORMATION SOURCES AND METHODOLOGY 3
ANALYST CREDENTIALS 3
RELATED BCC RESEARCH REPORTS 3
BCC ONLINE SERVICES 4
DISCLAIMER 5
CHAPTER TWO: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 6
SUMMARY TABLE GLOBAL MARKET FOR ADVANCED
ELECTRONIC MATERIALS BY APPLICATION, THROUGH 2021 ($
MILLIONS) 6
SUMMARY FIGURE GLOBAL MARKET FOR ADVANCED
ELECTRONIC MATERIALS BY APPLICATION, 2010-2021 ($
MILLIONS) 7
CHAPTER THREE: OVERVIEW 8
DEFINITIONS AND KEY CONCEPTS 8
ELECTRONICS 8
ELECTRONIC MATERIALS 8
NEW ELECTRONIC MATERIALS 8
NEW MATERIALS 8
TABLE 1 NEW ELECTRONIC MATERIALS 9
GRAPHENE 10
QUANTUM DOTS 10
PHOTONIC CRYSTALS 10
CARBON NANOTUBES 11
SUPERCONDUCTING MATERIALS 11
NANOWIRES 11
CONDUCTIVE AND SEMICONDUCTIVE POLYMERS 11
PHASE-CHANGE MATERIALS 12
MOLYBDENITE 12
APPLICATIONS 12
MARKET SUMMARY 13
TABLE 2 GLOBAL MARKET FOR ADVANCED ELECTRONIC
MATERIALS BY MATERIAL TYPE, 2010-2021 ($ MILLIONS) 13
TABLE 3 GLOBAL MARKET FOR ADVANCED ELECTRONIC
MATERIALS BY MATERIAL TYPE, 2010-2021 (% OF TOTAL
MARKET) 14
CHAPTER FOUR: GRAPHENE 15
GENERAL DESCRIPTION 15
DEFINITION 15
OCCURRENCE AND PRODUCTION 15
Established Technologies 15
Scotch Tape Method 15
Epitaxial Method 16
Graphite Oxide Reduction Method 17
Experimental Approaches 17
Metal-Carbon Melt Method 18
Pyrolysis of Sodium Ethoxide Method 18
Production of Graphene from Carbon Nanotubes 18
Production of Graphene from Table Sugar 18
Dissolving Graphite in Chlorosulphonic Acid 19
Molecular Wedge Method 19
Radio Frequency Catalytic Chemical Vapor
Deposition 20
PROPERTIES 20
APPLICATIONS AND END USES 21
TABLE 4 POTENTIAL ELECTRONICS APPLICATIONS OF
GRAPHENE 21
TABLE 4 (CONTINUED) 22
COMPUTING 22
Transistors 22
Graphene Switches 23
Quantum Confinement in Graphene Nanoribbons 23
Field-Induced Modification of Graphene
Structure 23
Ballistic Transistors 24
Graphene Nanomesh 24
Integrated Circuits 25
Graphene Interconnections 25
All-Graphene Integrated Circuits 25
DATA STORAGE 26
Graphene Spin Valve 27
Graphene Nanocable Memory Device 27
Graphene Nanoribbon Memory 28
Graphene Oxide-Based Memory 28
DISPLAYS 28
Roll-to-Roll Production 29
Spray Coating 29
Transfer Printing 30
Electrophoretic Deposition 30
Hybrid Graphene-Carbon Nanotube Film 30
COMMUNICATIONS 30
High-Speed Photodetectors 31
Amplifiers 31
Frequency Multipliers 32
ENERGY 32
Photovoltaics 32
Flexible Organic Photovoltaic Cells 33
Polymer Photovoltaic Cells Based on Solution-
Processable Graphene and P3HT 33
Dye-Doped Graphite/Graphene Solar Cell 34
Capacitors 35
Capacitors (Continued) 36
SENSORS AND IMAGING EQUIPMENT 37
Sensors 37
Chemical and Gas Sensors 37
Electrochemical Sensors 37
Mass Sensors 38
Nanopore Sensors 38
Radiation Sensors 39
Biosensors 39
Imaging Equipment 40
Graphene Frequency Multipliers 40
Graphene-Based Plasmon Amplifiers 41
Other Technologies 41
OTHER APPLICATIONS 41
MARKETS 42
SUMMARY 42
FIGURE 1 TRENDS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET FOR GRAPHENE IN
ELECTRONICS APPLICATIONS, 2010-2021 ($ MILLIONS) 43
TABLE 5 GLOBAL MARKET FOR GRAPHENE ELECTRONICS BY
APPLICATION, 2010-2021 ($ MILLIONS) 44
FIGURE 2 GRAPHENE ELECTRONICS APPLICATION SEGMENTS (%
OF TOTAL MARKET) 45
COMPUTING 45
DATA STORAGE AND MEMORY 46
DISPLAYS 46
COMMUNICATIONS 46
ENERGY 47
TABLE 6 GLOBAL MARKET FOR GRAPHENE ELECTRONICS IN
ENERGY APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2021 ($ MILLIONS) 47
Photovoltaics 47
Capacitors 48
SENSORS AND IMAGING EQUIPMENT 48
TABLE 7 GLOBAL MARKET FOR GRAPHENE ELECTRONICS IN
SENSING AND IMAGING APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2021 ($
MILLIONS) 48
Sensors 48
IMAGING APPLICATIONS 49
OTHER APPLICATIONS 49
CHAPTER FIVE: QUANTUM DOTS 50
GENERAL DESCRIPTION 50
DEFINITION 50
PROPERTIES 50
OCCURRENCE AND PRODUCTION 51
Colloidal Synthesis 51
Epitaxy 51
Printed Quantum-Dot Films 52
APPLICATIONS AND END USES 52
COMPUTING 52
DATA STORAGE AND MEMORY 53
DISPLAYS 53
LIGHTING AND ILLUMINATION 54
COMMUNICATIONS 55
Optical Switches and Gates 55
Optical Amplifiers 56
Lasers 56
ENERGY 57
SENSORS AND IMAGING SYSTEMS 57
MARKETS 58
SUMMARY 58
FIGURE 3 TRENDS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET FOR QUANTUM-DOT
ELECTRONICS APPLICATIONS, 2010-2021 ($ MILLIONS) 58
TABLE 8 GLOBAL MARKET FOR QUANTUM-DOT ELECTRONICS BY
APPLICATION, THROUGH 2021 ($ MILLIONS) 59
FIGURE 4 QUANTUM-DOT ELECTRONICS APPLICATION
SEGMENTS, 2010-2021 (% OF TOTAL MARKET) 60
COMPUTING 60
DATA STORAGE AND MEMORY 61
DISPLAYS 61
COMMUNICATIONS 61
TABLE 9 GLOBAL MARKET FOR QUANTUM-DOT
COMMUNICATIONS APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2021 ($
MILLIONS) 61
Optical Switches 62
Optical Amplifiers 62
Lasers 62
LIGHTING AND ILLUMINATION 63
ENERGY 63
Photovoltaics 63
SENSORS AND IMAGING EQUIPMENT 63
TABLE 10 GLOBAL MARKET FOR QUANTUM-DOT LEDS, THROUGH
2021 ($ MILLIONS) 63
Biosensors 64
Image Sensors 64
CHAPTER SIX: PHOTONIC CRYSTALS 65
GENERAL DESCRIPTION 65
DEFINITION 65
PROPERTIES 65
Two-Dimensional Versus Three-Dimensional Crystals 66
Defects 66
Static Versus Tunable Crystals 66
OCCURRENCE AND PRODUCTION 67
Micromachining 67
Microlithographic Techniques 68
Layer-by-Layer Fabrication 68
Autocloning 68
Holographic Lithography 69
Multibeam Interference Lithography 69
Glancing Angle Deposition 69
Stack Methods 70
Low-Temperature Deposition 70
Self-Assembly 71
Opal Method 71
Other Self-Assembly Techniques 71
Drawing and Extruding 72
APPLICATIONS AND END USES 72
COMPUTING 73
DATA STORAGE AND MEMORY 73
PHOTONIC-INTEGRATED CIRCUITS 73
ADD/DROP FILTERS 74
MARKETS 75
SUMMARY 75
FIGURE 5 TRENDS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET FOR PHOTONIC
CRYSTALS IN ELECTRONICS APPLICATIONS, 2010-2021 ($
MILLIONS) 75
TABLE 11 GLOBAL MARKET FOR PHOTONIC CRYSTAL
ELECTRONICS BY APPLICATION, THROUGH 2021 ($ MILLIONS) 76
FIGURE 6 PHOTONIC CRYSTAL ELECTRONICS APPLICATION
SEGMENTS (% OF TOTAL MARKET) 76
FIGURE 6 (CONTINUED) 77
COMPUTING 77
DATA STORAGE AND MEMORY 77
COMMUNICATIONS 78
TABLE 12 GLOBAL MARKET FOR PHOTONIC CRYSTAL-BASED
COMMUNICATIONS DEVICES, THROUGH 2021 ($ MILLIONS) 78
Photonic Crystal Integrated Circuits 78
TABLE 13 GLOBAL PHOTONIC IC SALES, THROUGH 2021 79
Add/Drop Filters 79
TABLE 14 GLOBAL OPTICAL ADD/DROP FILTER SALES, 2010-2021 80
CHAPTER SEVEN: CARBON NANOTUBES 81
GENERAL DESCRIPTION 81
DEFINITION 81
OCCURRENCE AND PRODUCTION 81
Arc Discharge 81
Laser Ablation 81
Chemical Vapor Deposition 81
Flame Synthesis 82
PROPERTIES 82
APPLICATIONS AND END USES 83
COMPUTING 83
Interconnects 83
Transistors 84
DATA STORAGE AND MEMORY 85
DISPLAYS 85
OPTICAL COMMUNICATIONS 86
ENERGY 87
Photovoltaics 87
Carbon Nanotube Composite Photoactive Layer 87
Carbon Nanotube Transparent Electrode 87
Single-Nanotube Photovoltaics 87
Carbon Nanotube Concentrators 88
SENSORS AND IMAGING EQUIPMENT 88
Nanosensors 88
Imaging Equipment 89
OTHER APPLICATIONS 89
RFID Tags 89
MARKETS 90
SUMMARY 90
FIGURE 7 TRENDS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET FOR CARBON
NANOTUBE-BASED ELECTRONIC DEVICES, 2010-2021 ($
MILLIONS) 90
TABLE 15 GLOBAL MARKET FOR CARBON NANOTUBE-BASED
ELECTRONIC DEVICES BY APPLICATION, THROUGH 2021 ($
MILLIONS) 91
FIGURE 8 CARBON NANOTUBE-BASED ELECTRONIC DEVICE
APPLICATION SEGMENTS, 2010-2021 (% OF TOTAL MARKET) 91
FIGURE 8 (CONTINUED) 92
COMPUTING 92
ENERGY 92
SENSORS AND IMAGING EQUIPMENT 92
TABLE 16 GLOBAL MARKET FOR CARBON NANOTUBE-BASED
SENSORS AND IMAGING EQUIPMENT, THROUGH 2021 ($
MILLIONS) 93
Sensors 93
Imaging Equipment 93
OTHER APPLICATIONS 94
RFID Tags 94
CHAPTER EIGHT: SUPERCONDUCTING MATERIALS 95
GENERAL DESCRIPTION 95
DEFINITION 95
PROPERTIES 95
Conductivity 95
Tunneling 96
OCCURRENCE AND PRODUCTION 96
APPLICATIONS AND END USES 97
COMPUTING 97
Computing (Continued) 98
COMMUNICATIONS 99
Filters 99
Filters (Continued) 100
Antennas 101
SENSORS AND IMAGING EQUIPMENT 101
Superconducting Quantum-Interference Devices 101
TABLE 17 SQUID END USES 102
MARKETS 102
SUMMARY 102
FIGURE 9 TRENDS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET FOR
SUPERCONDUCTING ELECTRONIC DEVICES, 2010-2021 ($
MILLIONS) 102
FIGURE 9 (CONTINUED) 103
TABLE 18 GLOBAL MARKET FOR SUPERCONDUCTING
ELECTRONIC DEVICES BY APPLICATION, THROUGH 2021 ($
MILLIONS) 103
FIGURE 10 SUPERCONDUCTING ELECTRONIC DEVICE
APPLICATION SEGMENTS (% OF TOTAL MARKET) 104
COMPUTING 104
COMMUNICATIONS 105
RF Filters 105
SENSORS AND IMAGING EQUIPMENT 105
SQUIDs 105
CHAPTER NINE: NANOWIRES 106
GENERAL DESCRIPTION 106
DEFINITION 106
PROPERTIES 106
OCCURRENCE AND PRODUCTION 106
APPLICATIONS AND END USES 107
COMPUTING 107
DATA STORAGE AND MEMORY 107
DISPLAYS 108
Field Emission Displays 108
Transparent Conductive Panels 108
ENERGY 109
Nanowire Photoactive Layer 109
Nanowire Transparent Electrode 110
COMMUNICATIONS 110
SENSORS AND IMAGING EQUIPMENT 110
MARKETS 111
SUMMARY 111
FIGURE 11 TRENDS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET FOR NANOWIRE
ELECTRONIC DEVICES, 2010-2021 ($ MILLIONS) 111
FIGURE 11 (CONTINUED) 112
TABLE 19 GLOBAL MARKET FOR NANOWIRE ELECTRONIC
DEVICES BY APPLICATION, THROUGH 2021 ($ MILLIONS) 112
FIGURE 12 NANOWIRE ELECTRONIC DEVICE APPLICATION
SEGMENTS (% OF TOTAL MARKET) 113
MEMORY 113
DISPLAYS 114
ENERGY 114
TABLE 20 GLOBAL MARKET FOR NANOWIRE-BASED
PHOTOVOLTAIC MATERIALS, THROUGH 2021 ($ MILLIONS) 115
Photovoltaic Materials 115
Transparent Electrodes 115
SENSORS AND IMAGING EQUIPMENT 116
CHAPTER TEN: CONDUCTIVE AND SEMICONDUCTIVE POLYMERS 117
GENERAL DESCRIPTION 117
DEFINITION 117
PROPERTIES 117
OCCURRENCE AND PRODUCTION 117
Ink-Jet Printing 118
Screen Printing 118
Roll-To-Roll (Web) Printing 119
APPLICATIONS AND END USES 119
COMPUTING 119
MEMORY 119
DISPLAYS 120
LIGHTING AND ILLUMINATION 121
ENERGY 122
Organic Solar Cells 122
OTHER APPLICATIONS 123
MARKETS 124
SUMMARY 124
FIGURE 13 TRENDS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET FOR POLYMER
ELECTRONIC DEVICES, 2010-2021 ($ MILLIONS) 124
TABLE 21 GLOBAL MARKET FOR POLYMER ELECTRONICS BY
APPLICATION, THROUGH 2021 ($ MILLIONS) 125
FIGURE 14 POLYMER ELECTRONIC DEVICE APPLICATION
SEGMENTS (% OF TOTAL MARKET) 126
MEMORY 126
DISPLAYS 127
LIGHTING 127
ENERGY 127
OTHER 128
CHAPTER ELEVEN: PHASE-CHANGE MATERIALS 129
GENERAL DESCRIPTION 129
DEFINITION 129
PROPERTIES 129
OCCURRENCE AND PRODUCTION 130
APPLICATIONS AND END USES 130
DATA STORAGE AND MEMORY 131
MARKETS 132
FIGURE 15 TRENDS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET FOR PHASE-
CHANGE MEMORY, 2010-2021 ($ MILLIONS) 133
TABLE 22 GLOBAL MARKET FOR PHASE-CHANGE MEMORY,
THROUGH 2021 ($ MILLIONS) 133
CHAPTER TWELVE: MOLYBDENITE 134
GENERAL DESCRIPTION 134
DEFINITION 134
PROPERTIES 134
OCCURRENCE AND PRODUCTION 134
APPLICATIONS AND END USES 135
COMPUTING 135
MARKETS 135
TABLE 23 GLOBAL MARKET FOR MOLYBDENITE ELECTRONICS
APPLICATIONS, THROUGH 2021 ($ MILLIONS) 135
CHAPTER THIRTEEN: COMPANY PROFILES 136
GRAPHENE 136
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES 136
ANGEWANDTE MIKRO- UND OPTOELEKTRONIK GMBH 136
BASF SE 136
GLOBAL FOUNDRIES, INC 137
GRAPHENE DEVICES LTD 137
GRAPHENE SOLUTIONS LLC 138
GRAPHENE WORKS INC 138
GRAPHENEA 138
HRL LABORATORIES LLC 138
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP 139
NUPGA 139
SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO LTD 140
SANDISK CORP 140
TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC 140
QUANTUM DOTS 141
BIOCRYSTAL LTD 141
CYRIUM TECHNOLOGIES INC 141
EVIDENT TECHNOLOGIES 142
INNOLUME GMBH 143
INVISAGE TECHNOLOGIES 143
NANOCO TECHNOLOGIES LTD 143
NANOCRYSTALS TECHNOLOGY LTD 144
NANOSYS INC 144
OMNIPV INC 145
QD VISION INC 145
QUANTUM DOT CORP 145
PHOTONIC CRYSTALS 146
COLOSSAL STORAGE CORP 146
LUXTERA INC 146
OMNIGUIDE INC 146
CARBON NANOTUBES 147
CARBON NANOTECHNOLOGIES INC 147
CARBON NANOTECH RESEARCH INSTITUTE INC 147
NANOCYL SA 147
NANOLAB INC 148
NANOSTRUCTURED and AMORPHOUS MATERIALS INC 148
NANTERO INC 148
SOUTHWEST NANOTECHNOLOGIES INC 149
UNIDYM 149
SUPERCONDUCTORS 150
CRYOELECTRA GMBH 150
CRYOTON LTD 150
D-WAVE SYSTEMS INC 151
HYPRES INC 151
ISCO INTERNATIONAL LLC 152
NEOCERA INC 152
QUANTUM DESIGN INC 153
SUPERCONDUCTOR TECHNOLOGIES INC 153
NANOWIRES 154
CAMBRIOS TECHNOLOGIES CORP 154
CARESTREAM ADVANCED MATERIALS 154
CIMA NANOTECH 155
POLYMERS 155
ADD-VISION INC 155
E I DU PONT DE NEMOURS AND COMPANY 155
MERCK OLED MATERIALS GMBH 156
OSRAM OPTO SEMICONDUCTORS GMBH 156
POLYIC GMBH and CO 156
RITDISPLAY CORP 157
THIN FILM ELECTRONICS ASA 157
UNIVERSAL DISPLAY CORP 157
PHASE-CHANGE MEMORY 158
MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC 158
MISCELLANEOUS 158
NEOPHOTONICS 158
CHAPTER FOURTEEN: PATENTS 159
TABLE 24 U S PATENTS ISSUED FOR NEW ELECTRONIC
MATERIALS (NUMBER OF PATENTS) 159
REFERENCES 160
REFERENCES 160
REFERENCES (CONTINUED) 161
REFERENCES (CONTINUED) 162

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