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Ghana Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • June 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 39 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Ghana's construction industry is forecasted to expand over our 10-year forecast period asinvestment flows into developing energy infrastructure, transport logistics and the real estate sector.

The narrowing budget deficit will support industry growth by allowing the government to direct increasedspending towards key infrastructure projects.

- We continue to forecast a recovery in Ghana's construction industry growth in 2016, following anestimated contraction of 2% in 2015 as the country battled severe macroeconomic and operationalheadwinds. We project the industry will expand 2.1% in real terms in 2016 and 6.2% over our 10-yearforecast period.

- Our Country Risk team expects Ghana's delayed 2016 eurobond issuance will make an appearance laterin 2016 as part of the government's fiscal consolidation programme, which will provide some relief forthe budget balance despite decreased revenue from oil exports. This is a positive sign for infrastructuredevelopment because as the budget deficit narrows the government will be able to direct increasedexpenditure towards the construction industry.

- While the government is harnessing renewable energy to ease the power shortage, we do not expect thisto start a trend in the country's power sector, anticipating major developments to be focused on increasinggas-fired capacity.

- Upgrades to port and airport infrastructure are enhancing trade flows in Ghana and across West Africa.Key projects continue to attract private investment and support from international financial institutions.

- We forecast the country's real estate sector will continue to provide opportunities for constructionindustry growth as demand for formal retail space grows and industrial projects progress.

Table Of Contents

Ghana Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: 5-Year Forecast Scenario (Ghana 2016-2020) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Ghana 2016) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: 10 Year Forecast Scenario (Ghana 2015-2025) 9
Table: Major Power Projects By Value, USDmn 14
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 21
Ghana - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 21
Rewards 21
Risks 21
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index 22
Table: SSA RRI 31
Methodology 32
Industry Forecast Methodology 32
Sector-Specific Methodology 33
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 37
Sector-Specific Methodology 38
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 38
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 39

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