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  4. > Mozambique Power Report Q3 2016

Mozambique Power Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 51 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Mozambican power generation will remain subdued, owing to a lack of progress on plannedpower plants throughout our 10-year forecast period. Gas and coal reserves provide opportunities forgrowth in thermal power generation, while investments into grid infrastructure will be required to boostelectrification rates.

Latest Updates and Structural Trends

- A gas-fired power plant is being planned for the city of Maputo, to be completed in 2018. With agenerating capacity of 110 megawatts (MW), we expect the power plant will be able to add 0.42 terawatthours (TWh) a year. Japanese firm, Sumitomo Corporation, has been awarded the contract. We do notinclude it in our forecasts as of yet, but we will as soon as we see concrete evidence of progress.

- Our forecasts for hydropower generation in Mozambique remain unchanged since last quarter. We do notcurrently factor in any new hydropower plants, due to delays across the board.

- Swaziland has ceased importing electricity from Mozambique, stating that electricity import charges arehigher than that of South Africa's ESKOM

- A 100 megawatt (MW) floating power station, owned by Turkish group Karadeniz Holding, is currentlydocked in Nacala. The power station will supply electricity to both Mozambique and Zambia.

Table Of Contents

Mozambique Power Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Mozambique 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Mozambique Snapshot 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Mozambique 2014-2019) 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Mozambique 2020-2025) 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 9
Mozambique Power Forecast Scenario 10
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 10
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecasts 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2019) 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020-2025) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2019) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020-2025) 15
Electricity Consumption 16
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2019) 16
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020-2025) 16
Transmission and Distribution 16
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2019) 18
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020-2025) 18
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2019) 18
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020-2025) 18
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 19
SSA Power RRI: Shifting Scores Amid A Deteriorating Outlook 19
Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100) 25
Mozambique Power Risk/Reward Index 26
Rewards 26
Risks 26
Market Overview 28
Key Policies And Market Structure 28
Regulation And Competition 28
Pricing 28
SSA Key Policies/Market Structure 29
Competitive Landscape 32
Competitive Landscape 32
Competitive Landscape 32
Regional Overview 37
Middle East And Africa - Regional Overview 37
Glossary 45
Table: Glossary Of Terms 45
Methodology 46
Methodology And Sources 46
Industry Forecast Methodology 46
Sources 49
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 49
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 50
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 51

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