Table of Contents
With at least moderate volume and transaction growth assured over the next several years, we estimate that debit interchange could pass the $20 billion threshold as soon as 2015, making up all of the ground lost to major legislation that the payments industry has only begin to digest. While new legal developments may throw through debit card a new curveball, Packaged Facts nevertheless expects debit volume and value to grow more than 7% in 2014 and 2015, as it continues to chip away at the more than $3 trillion of cash and check expenditures that remain ripe for electronic conversion. And with traditional banks are losing customers to upstart direct banking operations and alternative banking concepts, now is not the time for bricks and mortar operations to migrate their customers away from a strong debit option.
Debit Cards in the U.S., 5th Edition gives industry participants needed guidance on trends shaping the U.S. debit card market. The report does the following:
Provides a debit card market size and forecast through 2015, with supporting analysis of debit transaction and value growth within the context of card payments; debit transaction and volume by exempt and non-exempt issuers and by PIN versus signature debit network; and debit interchange revenue broken out in the same manner.
Presents an overview of regulations affecting debit interchange, debit card routing, and overdraft protection that continue to shape the debit card and consumer banking competitive landscape. We also examine a recent court ruling that could upend the current debit framework, providing explanation and potential outcomes.
Assesses issues and trends challenging debit card and consumer banking revenue growth, along with possible solutions. Themes covered included safety and security, checking accounts, overdrafts and hi-to-low-balancing; and simplicity and transparency, with related analysis of checking accounts entering the market.
Assesses 2008-2013 debit card, credit card and prepaid card usage trends, including degrees of debit purchase engagement and credit card usage engagement; 2008-2013 checking account trends, including the degree to which checking account holders have investments and loan products over time; 2008-2013 debit card/credit card trends that explore the influence of debit card usage and engagement on credit card use and engagement; and 2008-2013 bill payment methods and payment instrument choices, comparing choices of checking account holders and debit cards holders to the average adult.
Assesses 2010-2103 debit card usage and usage frequency trends, by card association brand, as well as credit card, debit card, checking and prepaid trends by key demographic groups: 18-24s, <$50K HH income consumers, and $100K+ HH income consumers.
Relying on consumer survey data, Packaged Facts assesses various debit card usage rationale and influences, including consumer perceptions about debit convenience and safety in relation to cash and check, as well as spending control; bank account opening motivators, framed around the following themes: account costs, account maintenance thresholds, convenience, transparency and education, mobile capabilities, and prepaid options; checking account fee reduction incentives; and consumer attitudes toward debit card usage fees, pay-per-use fees, and inactivity fees. Most chapter analysis is performed according to a variety of demographics, and filtered by whether or not the respondent has a checking account/debit card.
Analyzes Discover, MasterCard and Visa, three industry participants increasingly vying for debit network share. To assess the effects of regulatory change, we assess MasterCard and Visa quarterly debit volume and transition metrics; to assess consumer usage, we use survey data to trend MasterCard and Visa debit usage, purchase frequency, and cash back frequency during 2010-2013; and to provide associated demographic analysis for 2013
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