The Future of Retailing in Europe to 2017

  • August 2013
  • -
  • Canadean Ltd
  • -
  • 151 pages

Product Synopsis
- Future forecasts and historic market data can improve market and strategic planning.
- Understand which channels and products will be the major winners and losers in the coming years.
- Know the share of sales between different products in your key channels and how this will develop.
- Assess the impact of economic recession and recovery on market growth.

Introduction and Landscape
Why was the report written?
"The Future of Retailing in Europe to 2017" is based upon an extensive, cross-country, industry research program which brings together Canadean's research, modelling and analysis expertise in order to develop uniquely detailed market data. It provides detailed quantitative analysis of past and future trends, crucially providing retail sales data not just by channel and by product, but showing product sales through different channels. This allows marketers interested in retailing to determine how to account for the development of the retail trade overall and to know which channels are showing growth for which products in the coming years. It aims to capture the shift to new channels depending on the country, the effects of recession, and shifting consumer behaviour thereby providing timely, highly comparable analysis of the retail markets. Data sets are provided for 2007 through to 2017, with actuals being provided for 2012. All initial market sizing and analysis is conducted in local currency in order to ensure that local trends are reflected in the data before conversion into other currencies.

What are the key drivers behind recent market changes?
Consumers have been reacting to the effects of the global recession including the following recovery period on their discretionary spending and retail markets have been no exception. While the country by country market changes have varied, nowhere has been left totally untouched. This report quantitatively examines the components of change in the market by looking at historic and future growth patterns including how changes in consumers' behaviour have affected the retail sector for different product categories and channels.

What makes this report unique and essential to read?
This report provides detailed data on the size and development of retail sales of individual product types through specific retail channels and formats in Europe. It provides a detailed and comprehensive quantitative analysis of the trends affecting market development through both historic and forecast data.

Key Features and Benefits
Category coverage is provided to cover 25 products, across eight product groups that include: Apparel, Accessories and Luxury Goods, Books, News and Stationery, Electricals and Electronics, Food and Grocery, Furniture and Floor Coverings, Home and Garden Products, Music, Video and Entertainment Software, and Sports and Leisure Equipment.

Channel coverage is provided to cover 17 channels, across four channel groups that include: General Retailers, Specialist Retailers, Value Retailers, and Online Retailers.

Forecasts allow marketers to understand the future pattern of market trends, from winners and losers to category and channel dynamics, and thereby quickly and easily identify the key areas in which they want to compete in the future.

Key Highlights
The Top five EU countries (France, Germany, Russia, Italy, and the UK) continue to dominate European retail sales, but their combined share is expected to decline from over 62% in 2007 to over 61% 2017.

Czech Republic, Austria, and Denmark occupy the top three ranks in terms of per-capita retail spend, respectively, in the region in 2012

Table Of Contents

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1 What is this Report About?
1.2 Definitions
1.2.1 This report provides 2012 actual sales; while forecasts are provided for 2013 - 2017
1.2.2 Product and Channel Definitions
1.2.3 Country Coverage
1.3 Summary Methodology
1.3.1 Overview
1.3.2 The triangulated market sizing method
1.3.3 Industry surveys in the creation of retail market data
1.3.4 Quality control and standardized processes
2 Europe: Retail Sales Overview
2.1 Retail Channels Overview
2.2 Retail Categories Overview
2.3 Europe: Country Overview
2.3.1 Channel Share by Country
2.3.2 Retail Sales by Country
2.3.3 Per-Capita spend
3 Europe: Channel Analysis
3.1 General Retailers Group Overall
3.1.1 Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations Sales by Country
3.1.2 Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations by per capita spend by Country
3.1.3 Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations by product sales
3.1.4 Department stores Sales by Country
3.1.5 Department stores by per capita spend by Country
3.1.6 Department stores by product sales
3.1.7 Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters Sales by Country
3.1.8 Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters by per capita spend by Country
3.1.9 Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters by product sales
3.1.10 Other general and non-specialist direct retailers Sales by Country
3.1.11 Other general and non-specialist direct retailers by per capita spend by Country
3.1.12 Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers by product sales
3.1.13 Vending machines Sales by Country
3.1.14 Vending machines by per capita spend by Country
3.1.15 Vending machines by product sales
3.2 Specialist Retailers Group Overall
3.2.1 Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists Sales by Country
3.2.2 Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists by per capita spend by Country
3.2.3 Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists by product sales
3.2.4 Drug stores and health and beauty stores Sales by Country
3.2.5 Drug stores and health and beauty stores by per capita spend by Country
3.2.6 Drug stores and health and beauty stores by product sales
3.2.7 Duty free retailers Sales by Country
3.2.8 Duty free retailers by per capita spend by Country
3.2.9 Duty free retailers by product sales
3.2.10 Electrical and electronics specialists Sales by Country
3.2.11 Electrical and electronics specialists by per capita spend by Country
3.2.12 Electricals and electronics specialists by product sales
3.2.13 Food and drinks specialists Sales by Country
3.2.14 Food and drinks specialists by per capita spend by Country
3.2.15 Food and drinks specialists by product sales
3.2.16 Home furniture and homewares retailers Sales by Country
3.2.17 Home furniture and homewares retailers by per capita spend by Country
3.2.18 Home furniture and homewares retailers by product sales
3.2.19 Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers Sales by Country
3.2.20 Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers by per capita spend by Country
3.2.21 Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers by product sales
3.2.22 Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists Sales by Country
3.2.23 Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists by per capita spend by Country
3.2.24 Music, video, book, stationery, and entertainment software specialists by product sales
3.2.25 Other specialist retailers Sales by Country
3.2.26 Other specialist retailers by per capita spend by Country
3.2.27 Other specialist retailers by product sales
3.3 Online Retailing Overall
3.3.1 Online Retailing Sales by Country
3.3.2 Online Retailing by per capita spend by Country
3.3.3 Online Retailing by product sales
3.4 Value Retailers Group Overall
3.4.1 Cash and carries and warehouse clubs Sales by Country
3.4.2 Cash and carries and warehouse clubs by per capita spend by Country
3.4.3 Cash and carries and warehouse clubs by product sales
3.4.4 Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers Sales by Country
3.4.5 Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers by per capita spend by Country
3.4.6 Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers by product sales
4 Appendix
4.1 About Canadean
4.2 Disclaimer



List of Tables

Table 1: Exchange Rate (Annual Average) 2007-2012
Table 2: Exchange Rate (Annual Average), 2013-2017 (Forecasts)
Table 3: Canadean Retail Channel Definitions
Table 4: Canadean Retail Category Definitions
Table 5: Canadean Retail Country Coverage
Table 6: Europe: Overall Retail Sales (US$ bn), by Channel Group, 2007-2012
Table 7: Europe: Overall Retail Sales Forecast (US$ bn), by Channel Group, 2012-2017
Table 8: Europe: Overall Retail Segmentation (% value), by Channel Group, 2007-2017
Table 9: Europe: Overall Retail Sales (US$ bn), by Category Group, 2007-2012
Table 10: Europe: Overall Retail Sales Forecast (US$ bn), by Category Group, 2012-2017
Table 11: Europe: Overall Retail Segmentation (% value), by Category Group, 2007-2017
Table 12: Europe: Channel Share (%), By Country (1 of 3), 2012
Table 13: Europe: Channel Share (%), By Country (2 of 3), 2012
Table 14: Europe: Channel Share (%), By Country ( 3 of 3), 2012
Table 15: Europe: Retail Sales (US$ billion), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 16: Europe: Retail Sales Forecasts (US$ billion), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 17: Europe: Retail Sales (% Share), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 18: Europe: Retail Sales (% Share), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 19: Europe: Per Capita Retail Spending (US$), by Country, 2007-2012
Table 20: Europe: Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending (US$), by Country, 2012-2017
Table 21: Europe: Retail Sales through General Retailers Group (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 22: Europe: Retail Sales through General Retailers Group Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 23: Europe: Per Capita Retail Spending through General Retailers Group (US$), by Country, 2007-2012
Table 24: Europe: Per Capita Retail Spending through General Retailers Group Forecasts (US$), by Country, 2012-2017
Table 25: Europe: Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 26: Europe: Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 27: Europe: Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 28: Europe: Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 29: Europe: Retail Sales through Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 30: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 31: Europe: Department stores Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 32: Europe: Department stores Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 33: Europe: Department stores by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 34: Europe: Department stores by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 35: Europe: Retail Sales through Department Stores (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 36: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Department Stores (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 37: Europe: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 38: Europe: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 39: Europe: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 40: Europe: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 41: Europe: Retail Sales through Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 42: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 43: Europe: Other general and non-specialist direct retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, By 2007-2012
Table 44: Europe: Other general and non-specialist direct retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 45: Europe: Other general and non-specialist direct retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 46: Europe: Other general and non-specialist direct retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 47: Europe: Retail Sales through Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 48: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Other General and Non-Specialist Direct Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 49: Europe: Vending machines Sales (US$ million),, By Country, 2007-2012
Table 50: Europe: Vending machines Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 51: Europe: Vending machines by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 52: Europe: Vending machines by per capita spend (US$), By Country,2012-2017
Table 53: Europe: Retail Sales through Vending Machines (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 54: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Vending Machines (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 55: Europe: Retail Sales through Specialist Retailers Group (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 56: Europe: Retail Sales through Specialist Retailers Group Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 57: Europe: Per Capita Retail Spending through Specialist Retailers Group (US$), by Country, 2007-2012
Table 58: Europe: Per Capita Retail Spending through Specialist Retailers Group Forecasts (US$), by Country, 2012-2017
Table 59: Europe: Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 60: Europe: Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 61: Europe: Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 62: Europe: Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 63: Europe: Retail Sales through Clothing, Footwear, Accessories and Luxury Goods Specialists (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 64: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Clothing, Footwear, Accessories and Luxury Goods Specialists (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 65: Europe: Drug stores and health and beauty stores Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 66: Europe: Drug stores and health and beauty stores Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 67: Europe: Drug stores and health and beauty stores by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 68: Europe: Drug stores and health and beauty stores by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 69: Europe: Retail Sales through Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores (US$ million),, by Category, 2007-2012
Table 70: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 71: Europe: Duty free retailers Sales (US$ million),By Country, 2007-2012
Table 72: Europe: Duty free retailers Sales (US$ million),By Country, 2012-2017
Table 73: Europe: Duty free retailers by per Capita spend (US$ million),By Country, 2007-2012
Table 74: Europe: Duty free retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 75: : Europe: Retail Sales through Duty Free Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 76: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Duty Free Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 77: : Europe: Electrical and electronics specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 78: : Europe: Electrical and electronics specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 79: Europe: Electrical and electronics specialists by per Capita spend (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 80: : Europe: Electrical and electronics specialists by per capita spend (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 81: Europe: Retail Sales through Electricals and Electronics Specialists (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 82: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Electricals and Electronics Specialists (US$ million), by Category 2012-2017
Table 83: Europe: Food and drinks specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 84: : Europe: Food and drinks specialists Sales (US$ million), 2012-2017
Table 85: Europe: Food and drinks specialists by per Capita spend (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 86: : Europe: Food and drinks specialists by per capita spend (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 87: Europe: Retail Sales through Food and Drinks Specialists (US$ million), by Category,, 2007-2012
Table 88: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Food and Drinks Specialists (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 89: Europe: Home furniture and homewares retailers Sales (US$ million),, By Country, 2007-2012
Table 90: Europe: Home furniture and homewares retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 91: Europe: Home furniture and homewares retailers by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, By Country, 2007-2012
Table 92: Europe: Home furniture and homewares retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 93: Europe: Retail Sales through Home furniture and homewares retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 94: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Home furniture and homewares retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 95: Europe: Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 96: Europe: Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 97: Europe: Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers by per Capita spend (US$), By Country,, 2007-2012
Table 98: Europe: Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 99: Europe: Retail Sales through Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 100: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers (US$ million), by Category 2012-2017
Table 101: Europe: Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 102: Europe: Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists Sales (US$ million), By Country,2012-2017
Table 103: Europe: Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists by per Capita spend (US$), By Country,, 2007-2012
Table 104: Europe: Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 105: Europe: Retail Sales through Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 106: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 107: Europe: Other specialist retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 108: Europe: Other specialist retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 109: Europe: Other specialist retailers by per Capita spend (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 110: Europe: Other specialist retailers by per capita spend (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 111: Europe: Retail Sales through Other Specialist Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 112: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Other Specialist Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 113: Europe: Online Retailing Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 114: Europe: Online Retailing Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 115: Europe: Online Retailing by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 116: Europe: Online Retailing by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 117: Europe: Retail Sales through Online Retailing (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 118: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Online Retailing (US$ million), by Category,, 2012-2017
Table 119: Europe: Retail Sales through Value Retailers Group (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 120: Europe: Retail Sales through Value Retailers Group Forecasts (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 121: Europe: Per Capita Retail Spending through Value Retailers Group (US$), by Country 2007-2012
Table 122: Europe: Per Capita Retail Spending through Value Retailers Group Forecasts (US$), by Country 2012-2017
Table 123: Europe: Cash and carries and warehouse clubs Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 124: Europe: Cash and carries and warehouse clubs Sales (US$ million), By Country 2012-2017
Table 125: Europe: Cash and carries and warehouse clubs by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 126: Europe: Cash and carries and warehouse clubs by per capita spend (US$), By Country 2012-2017
Table 127: Europe: Retail Sales through Cash and carries and warehouse clubs (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 128: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Cash and carries and warehouse clubs (US$ Million), by Category 2012-2017
Table 129: Europe: Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 130: Europe: Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers Sales (US$ million), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 131: Europe: Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers by per Capita spend (US$), By Country, 2007-2012
Table 132: Europe: Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Country, 2012-2017
Table 133: Europe: Retail Sales through Value, Variety Stores and General Merchandise Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 134: Europe: Retail Sales Forecast through Value, Variety Stores and General Merchandise Retailers (US$ million), by Category, 2012-2017



List of Figures

Figure 1: The Triangulated Market Sizing Methodology
Figure 2: Europe: Overall Retail Sales and Forecast (US$ Billion), by Channel Group, 2007-2017
Figure 3: Europe: Overall Retail Market Dynamics, by Channel Group, 2007-2017
Figure 4: Europe: Overall Retail Sales (US$ Billion), by Category Group, 2007-2017
Figure 5: Europe: Overall Retail Market Dynamics, by Category Group, 2007-2017
Figure 6: Europe: General Retailers Sales and Forecast (US$ Million), by Channel, 2007-2017
Figure 7: Europe: General Retailers Market Dynamics, by Channel, 2007-2017
Figure 8: Europe: Specialist Retailers Sales and Forecast (US$ Million), by Channel, 2007-2017
Figure 9: Europe: Specialist Retailers Market Dynamics, by Channel, 2007-2017
Figure 10: Europe: Value Retailers Sales and Forecast (US$ Million), by Channel, 2007-2017
Figure 11: Europe: Value Retailers Market Dynamics, by Channel, 2007-2017

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