The Future of Global Retailing to 2017

  • August 2013
  • -
  • Canadean Ltd
  • -
  • 121 pages

Product Synopsis
- Future forecasts and historic market data can improve market and strategic planning.
- Understand which channels and products will be the major winners and losers in the coming years.
- Know the share of sales between different products in your key channels and how this will develop.
- Assess the impact of economic recession and recovery on market growth.

Introduction and Landscape
Why was the report written?
"The Future of Global Retailing to 2017" is based upon an extensive, cross-country, industry research program which brings together Canadean's research, modelling and analysis expertise in order to develop uniquely detailed market data. It provides detailed quantitative analysis of past and future trends, crucially providing retail sales data not just by channel and by product, but showing product sales through different channels. This allows marketers interested in retailing to determine how to account for the development of the retail trade overall and to know which channels are showing growth for which products in the coming years. It aims to capture the shift to new channels depending on the country, the effects of recession, and shifting consumer behaviour thereby providing timely, highly comparable analysis of the retail markets. Data sets are provided for 2007 through to 2017, with actuals being provided for 2012. All initial market sizing and analysis is conducted in local currency in order to ensure that local trends are reflected in the data before conversion into other currencies. The data presentation covers five regions of the world

What are the key drivers behind recent market changes?
Consumers have been reacting to the effects of the global recession including the following recovery period on their discretionary spending and retail markets have been no exception. While the region by region market changes have varied, nowhere has been left totally untouched. This report quantitatively examines the components of change in the market by looking at historic and future growth patterns including how changes in consumers' behaviour have affected the retail sector for different product categories and channels.

What makes this report unique and essential to read?
This report provides detailed data on the size and development of retail sales of individual product types through specific retail channels and formats in the Americas. It provides a detailed and comprehensive quantitative analysis of the trends affecting market development through both historic and forecast data.

Key Features and Benefits
Category coverage is provided to cover 25 products, across eight product groups that include: Apparel, Accessories and Luxury Goods, Books, News and Stationery, Electricals and Electronics, Food and Grocery, Furniture and Floor Coverings, Home and Garden Products, Music, Video and Entertainment Software, and Sports and Leisure Equipment.

Channel coverage is provided to cover 17 channels, across four channel groups that include: General Retailers, Specialist Retailers, Value Retailers, and Online Retailers.

Forecasts allow marketers to understand the future pattern of market trends, from winners and losers to category and channel dynamics, and thereby quickly and easily identify the key areas in which they want to compete in the future.

Key Highlights
Asia-Pacific continues to dominate global retail sales. The contribution from the region is expected to increase from over 25% in 2007 to just over 40% by 2017. Asia-Pacific is expected to continue to grow by over 9% every year through 2017.

All the five regions are expected to see a rise in their share towards global retail sales.

North America dominates the per-capita retail spend among all five regions, followed by Europe and Latin America.

Table Of Contents

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1 What is this Report About?
1.2 Definitions
1.2.1 This report provides 2012 actual sales; while forecasts are provided for 2013 - 2017
1.2.2 Product and Channel Definitions
1.2.3 Region Coverage
1.3 Summary Methodology
1.3.1 Overview
1.3.2 The triangulated market sizing method
1.3.3 Industry surveys in the creation of retail market data
1.3.4 Quality control and standardized processes
2 Global: Retail Sales Overview
2.1 Retail Channels Overview
2.2 Retail Categories Overview
2.3 Global: Region Overview
2.3.1 Channel Share by Region
2.3.2 Retail Sales by Region
2.3.3 Per-Capita spend
3 Global: Channel Analysis
3.1 General Retailers Group Overall
3.1.1 Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations Sales by Region
3.1.2 Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations by per capita spend by Region
3.1.3 Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations by product sales
3.1.4 Department stores Sales by Region
3.1.5 Department stores by per capita spend by Region
3.1.6 Department stores by product sales
3.1.7 Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters Sales by Region
3.1.8 Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters by per capita spend by Region
3.1.9 Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters by product sales
3.1.10 Other general and non-specialist direct retailers Sales by Region
3.1.11 Other general and non-specialist direct retailers by per capita spend by Region
3.1.12 Other general and non-specialist direct retailers by product sales
3.1.13 Vending machines Sales by Region
3.1.14 Vending machines by per capita spend by Region
3.1.15 Vending machines by product sales
3.2 Specialist Retailers Group Overall
3.2.1 Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists Sales by Region
3.2.2 Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists by per capita spend by Region
3.2.3 Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists by product sales
3.2.4 Drug stores and health and beauty stores Sales by Region
3.2.5 Drug stores and health and beauty stores by per capita spend by Region
3.2.6 Drug stores and health and beauty stores by product sales
3.2.7 Duty free retailers Sales by Region
3.2.8 Duty free retailers by per capita spend by Region
3.2.9 Duty free retailers by product sales
3.2.10 Electrical and electronics specialists Sales by Region
3.2.11 Electrical and electronics specialists by per capita spend by Region
3.2.12 Electricals and electronics specialists by product sales
3.2.13 Food and drinks specialists Sales by Region
3.2.14 Food and drinks specialists by per capita spend by Region
3.2.15 Food and drinks specialists by product sales
3.2.16 Home furniture and homewares retailers Sales by Region
3.2.17 Home furniture and homewares retailers by per capita spend by Region
3.2.18 Home furniture and homewares retailers by product sales
3.2.19 Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers Sales by Region
3.2.20 Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers by per capita spend by Region
3.2.21 Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers by product sales
3.2.22 Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists Sales by Region
3.2.23 Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists by per capita spend by Region
3.2.24 Music, video, book, stationery, and entertainment software specialists by product sales
3.2.25 Other specialist retailers Sales by Region
3.2.26 Other specialist retailers by per capita spend by Region
3.2.27 Other specialist retailers by product sales
3.3 Online Retailing Overall
3.3.1 Online Retailing Sales by Region
3.3.2 Online Retailing by per capita spend by Region
3.3.3 Online retailing by product sales
3.4 Value Retailers Group Overall
3.4.1 Cash and carries and warehouse clubs Sales by Region
3.4.2 Cash and carries and warehouse clubs by per capita spend by Region
3.4.3 Cash and carries and warehouse clubs by product sales
3.4.4 Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers Sales by Region
3.4.5 Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers by per capita spend by Region
3.4.6 Value, variety stores, and general merchandise retailers by product sales
4 Appendix
4.1 About Canadean
4.2 Disclaimer



List of Tables

Table 1: Exchange Rate (Annual Average)2007-2012
Table 2: Exchange Rate (Annual Average), 2013-2017 (Forecasts)
Table 3: Canadean Retail Channel Definitions
Table 4: Canadean Retail Category Definitions
Table 5: Canadean Retail Region Coverage
Table 6: Global: Overall Retail Sales (US$ bn), by Channel Group, 2007-2012
Table 7: Global: Overall Retail Sales Forecast (US$ bn), by Channel Group, 2012-2017
Table 8: Global: Overall Retail Segmentation (% value), by Channel Group, 2007-2017
Table 9: Global: Overall Retail Sales (US$ bn), by Category Group, 2007-2012
Table 10: Global: Overall Retail Sales (US$ bn), by Category Group, 2012-2017
Table 11: Global: Overall Retail Segmentation (% value), by Category Group, 2007-2017
Table 12 Global: Retail Sales (US$ billion), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 13: Global: Retail Sales Forecasts (US$ billion), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 14: Global: Retail Sales (% Share), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 15: Global: Retail Sales (% Share), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 16 Global: Per Capita Retail Spending (US$), by Region, 2007-2012
Table 17: Global: Forecast Per Capita Retail Spending (US$), by Region, 2012-2017
Table 18: Global: Retail Sales through General Retailers Group (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 19: Global: Retail Sales through General Retailers Group Forecasts (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 20: Global: Per Capita Retail Spending through General Retailers Group (US$), by Region, 2007-2012
Table 21: Global: Per Capita Retail Spending through General Retailers Group Forecasts (US$), by Region, 2012-2017
Table 22: Global: Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 23: Global: Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 24: Global: Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations by per Capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 25: Global: Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 26: Global: Retail Sales through Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations (US$ million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 27: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 28: Global: Department stores Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 29: Global: Department stores Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 30: Global: Department stores by per Capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 31: Global: Department stores by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 32: Global: Retail Sales through Department Stores (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 33: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Department Stores (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 34: Global: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 35: Global: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 36: Global: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters by per Capita spend (US$), By 2007-2012
Table 37: Global: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 38: Global: Retail Sales through Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 39: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Hypermarkets, Supermarkets and Hard-Discounters (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 40: Global: Other general and non-specialist direct retailers Sales (US$ million), By Region, By 2007-2012
Table 41: Global: Other general and non-specialist direct retailers Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 42: Global: Other general and non-specialist direct retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 43: Global: Other general and non-specialist direct retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 44: Global: Retail Sales through other general and non-specialist direct retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 45: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through other general and non-specialist direct retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 46: Global: Vending machines Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 47: Global: Vending machines Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 48: Global: Vending machines by per Capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 49: Global: Vending machines by per capita spend (US$), By Region,2012-2017
Table 50: Global: Retail Sales through Vending Machines (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 51: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Vending Machines (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 52: Global: Retail Sales through Specialist Retailers Group (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 53: Global: Retail Sales through Specialist Retailers Group Forecasts (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 54 Global: Per Capita Retail Spending through Specialist Retailers Group (US$), by Region, 2007-2012
Table 55: Global: Per Capita Retail Spending through Specialist Retailers Group Forecasts (US$), by Region, 2012-2017
Table 56 Global: Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 57: Global: Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 58 Global: Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists by per Capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 59: Global: Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 60: Global: Retail Sales through Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 61: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Clothing, footwear, accessories and luxury goods specialists (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 62: Global: Drug stores and health and beauty stores Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 63: Global: Drug stores and health and beauty stores Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 64: Global: Drug stores and health and beauty stores by per Capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 65: Global: Drug stores and health and beauty stores by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 66: Global: Retail Sales through Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 67: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Drug Stores and Health and Beauty Stores (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 68 Global: Duty free retailers Sales (US$ million),By Region, 2007-2012
Table 69: Global: Duty free retailers Sales (US$ million),By Region, 2012-2017
Table 70 Global: Duty free retailers by per Capita spend (US$),By Region, 2007-2012
Table 71: Global: Duty free retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 72 Global: Retail Sales through Duty Free Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 73: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Duty Free Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 74 Global: Electrical and electronics specialists Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 75 Global: Electrical and electronics specialists Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 76 Global: Electrical and electronics specialists by per Capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 77 Global: Electrical and electronics specialists by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 78: Global: Retail Sales through Electricals and Electronics Specialists (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 79: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Electricals and Electronics Specialists (US$ Million), by Category 2012-2017
Table 80: Global: Food and drinks specialists Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 81 Global: Food and drinks specialists Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 82: Global: Food and drinks specialists by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 83 Global: Food and drinks specialists by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 84: Global: Retail Sales through Food and Drinks Specialists (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 85 : Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Food and Drinks Specialists (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 86: Global: Home Furniture and Homewares Retailers Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 87: Global: Home Furniture and Homewares Retailers Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 88: Global: Home Furniture and Homewares Retailers by per Capita spend (US$), By Region, By Region, 2007-2012
Table 89: Global: Home Furniture and Homewares Retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 90: Global: Retail Sales through Home Furniture and Homewares Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 91: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Home Furniture and Homewares Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 92: Global: Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 93: Global: Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 94: Global: Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers by per Capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 95: Global: Home improvement and gardening supplies retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 96: Global: Retail Sales through Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 97: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Home Improvement and Gardening Supplies Retailers (US$ Million), by Category 2012-2017
Table 98: Global: Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 99: Global: Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 100: Global: Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists by per Capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 101: Global: Music, video, book, stationery and entertainment software specialists by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 102: Global: Retail Sales through Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 103: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Music, Video, Book, Stationery, and Entertainment Software Specialists (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 104: Global: Other specialist retailers Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 105: Global: Other specialist retailers Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 106: Global: Other specialist retailers by per Capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 107: Global: Other specialist retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 108: Global: Retail Sales through Other Specialist Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 109: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Other Specialist Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 110: Global: Online Retailing Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 111: Global: Online Retailing Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 112: Global: Online Retailing by per Capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 113: Global: Online Retailing by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 114: Global: Retail Sales through Online Retailing (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 115: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Online Retailing (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017
Table 116: Global: Retail Sales through Value Retailers Group (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 117: Global: Retail Sales through Value Retailers Group Forecasts (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 118: Global: Per Capita Retail Spending through Value Retailers Group (US$), by Region 2007-2012
Table 119: Global: Per Capita Retail Spending through Value Retailers Group Forecasts (US$), by Region 2012-2017
Table 120: Global: Cash and carries and warehouse clubs Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 121: Global: Cash and carries and warehouse clubs Sales (US$ million), By Region 2012-2017
Table 122: Global: Cash and carries and warehouse clubs by per Capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 123: Global: Cash and carries and warehouse clubs by per capita spend (US$), By Region 2012-2017
Table 124: Global: Retail Sales through Cash and Carries and Warehouse Clubs (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 125: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Cash and Carries and Warehouse Clubs (US$ Million), by Category 2012-2017
Table 126: Global: Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 127: Global: Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers Sales (US$ million), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 128: Global: Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers by per Capita spend (US$), By Region, 2007-2012
Table 129: Global: Value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers by per capita spend (US$), By Region, 2012-2017
Table 130: Global: Retail Sales through Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2007-2012
Table 131: Global: Retail Sales Forecast through Value, Variety Stores, and General Merchandise Retailers (US$ Million), by Category, 2012-2017



List of Figures

Figure 1: The Triangulated Market Sizing Methodology
Figure 2: Global: Overall Retail Sales and Forecast (US$ Bn), by Channel Group, 2007-2017
Figure 3: Global: Overall Retail Market Dynamics, by Channel Group, 2007-2017
Figure 4: Global: Overall Retail Sales (US$ Bn), by Category Group, 2007-2017
Figure 5: Global: Overall Retail Market Dynamics, by Category Group, 2007-2017
Figure 6: Global: General Retailers Sales and Forecast (US$ Mn), by Channel, 2007-2017
Figure 7: Global: General Retailers Market Dynamics, by Channel, 2007-2017
Figure 8 Global: Specialist Retailers Sales and Forecast (US$ Mn), by Channel, 2007-2017
Figure 9: Global: Specialist Retailers Market Dynamics, by Channel, 2007-2017
Figure 10: Global: Value Retailers Sales and Forecast (US$ Mn), by Channel, 2007-2017
Figure 11: Global: Value Retailers Market Dynamics, by Channel, 2007-2017

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