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Kenya Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 37 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Kenya's construction industry will record robust growth over our forecast period, driven byinvestment into transport networks, expansion in the power sector and the growth of Nairobi's real estatesector. Foreign direct investment, particularly from China, will spur growth, although we highlightpressure on the government budget will weigh on the potential of the market.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We maintaining our forecast for 9.7% real growth in 2016, 8.6% over the next five years and 6.8% overour full forecast period up to 2025. Expansion will be driven by investment into power and transportinfrastructure and as well as Nairobi's growing real estate sector. The nominal industry value is expectedto rise from an estimated USD3.1bn in 2015 to USD9.8bn in 2025.

- The ambitious Lamu Port South Sudan Ethiopia Transport (LAPSSET) Corridor project is gainingtraction, with construction on the first phase of the Standard Gauge Railway from Mombasa to Nairobiprogressing well and the building of three berths under way at Lamu Port.

- Kenya will entrench its position as a regional leader in non-hydro renewable energy over our 10-yearforecast period as it continues to capitalise on its geothermal and wind potential.

- While these forecasts are buoyant, we note allegations of corruption at a national level and in theconstruction market are denting investor confidence in Kenya and weighing on the potential of theindustry.

Table Of Contents

Kenya Infrastructure Report Q3 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: 5-Year Forecast Data (Kenya 2016-2020) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Kenya 2016) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Kenya 2015-2025) 9
Table: NCA - Key Areas Of Focus 17
Industry Risk Reward Index 19
Kenya - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 19
Rewards 19
Risks 20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 20
Table: SSA RRI 28
Methodology 30
Industry Forecast Methodology 30
Sector-Specific Methodology 31
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 35
Sector-Specific Methodology 36
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 36
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 37

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