Uganda Autos Report Q3 2014

  • May 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

The most recent data released by the Ugandan Motor Industry Association show that newly registered vehicles are up 30.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the first 11 months of 2013. In light of this, an improving inflation and private consumption outlook, government commitment to improving 'productive infrastructure' and the development of Uganda's substantial oil reserves, we have upgraded our forecasts over the 2014-2018 period. However, based on the re-introduction of the Pre-Export Verification of Conformity, which is likely to raise prices for consumers, we expect growth for 2014-2015 to be lower.

The government has recently taken steps towards improving Uganda's ageing and poor-quality vehicle fleet. The re-introduction of the Pre-Export Verification of Conformity will mean that traders who fail to comply may lose their trading licence and or risk being closed down.

Table Of Contents

BMI Industry View 5
SWOT 7
Political 7
Economic 9
Business Environment 11
Industry Forecast 12
Table: Autos Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (2012-2018) 12
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (2012-2018) 12
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (2012-2018) 12
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (2012-2018) 13
Macroeconomic Forecasts 19
Table: Uganda - Economic Activity 24
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 25
Table: Autos Risk/Reward Ratings - Sub-Saharan Africa 28
Competitive Landscape 29
Company Profile 35
Company Monitor 35
Regional Overview 38
Global Industry Overview 46
Table: Passenger Car Sales March 2014 46
European Growth Gathers Momentum 46
Japan Prepares For Tax Fallout 48
China Wobble Adds To BRIC Weakness 49
Demographic Forecast 52
Table: Uganda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 53
Table: Uganda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 54
Table: Uganda's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 55
Table: Uganda's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 55
Methodology 56
Industry Forecasts 56
Sector-Specific Methodology 57
Sources 57
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 58
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 59

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