Uganda Autos Report Q3 2015

  • May 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

The most recent data released by the Ugandan Motor Industry Association show that newly registeredvehicles were down 13.9% year-on-year in the first nine months of 2014.
This has occurred despite animproving inflation and private consumption outlook, growing public and private fixed investment andgovernment commitment to improve 'productive infrastructure'.BMI believes this is largely due to the supply shock effects stemming from the re-introduction of the Pre-Export Verification of Conformity (PVoC).
In light of this, we have downgraded our forecasts over the2015-2019 period.The government's re-introduction of PVoC import restrictions was recently imposed in an effort to improveUganda's ageing and poor-quality vehicle fleet.
The re-introduction of the Pre-Export Verification ofConformity means that traders who fail to comply may lose their trading licence, have their shipmentsdestroyed with the trader covering the costs and/or risk being closed down.

Table Of Contents

Uganda Autos Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View ....... 7
SWOT .... 9
Political ... 9
Economic ....... 11
Operational Risk ..... 12
Industry Forecast ...... 14
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Uganda 2013-2019) . . . . 14
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Uganda 2013-2019) 14
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Uganda 2013-2019) . . 14
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Uganda 2013-2019) . . . . 15
Sales .... 15
Production .... 19
Macroeconomic Forecast 23
Economic Analysis ... 23
Table: Economic Activity (Uganda 2010-2019) 28
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .. 29
Africa - Risk/Reward Index 29
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Risk/Reward Index . . 31
Competitive Landscape .... 33
Table: Uganda - New Passenger Car Sales, Units . . . . . 34
Table: Uganda - New Light Commercial Vehicle Sales, Units . 35
Table: Uganda - New Bus Sales By Brand, Units . . . . . . 36
Table: Uganda - New Truck Sales By Brand, Units . . . . 37
Table: Uganda - New Motorcycle Sales By Brand, Units . . . . . . 38
Company Profile 43
Company Monitor .... 43
MEA A Good Starting Point ..... 44
Key Markets Also Bring Challenges ... 45
Regional Overview .... 48
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Production Investment . . . . . . 48
Global Industry Overview .. 50
Table: Passenger Car Sales March (CBUs) . . . . 50
US Slowdown A Temporary Glitch? ... 50
Europe Recovery Will Be Steady ....... 52
Asia Carries The BRIC States ... 53
Demographic Forecast ..... 55
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Uganda 1990-2025) . . 56
Table: Key Population Ratios (Uganda 1990-2025) . . . 56
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Uganda 1990-2025) . . . . . 57
Table: Population By Age Group (Uganda 1990-2025) 57
Table: Population By Age Group % (Uganda 1990-2025) . . . . . 58
Methodology ...... 60
Industry Forecasts .. 60
Sector-Specific Methodology .... 61
Sources 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ....... 62
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators . . . . . . 63

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