European Aluminium Market Analysis

European Aluminium Market Analysis

The European aluminium industry was ranked the biggest aluminium producer worldwide in 2007, making it a vital region for the global aluminium industry, says “European Aluminium Market Analysis”, a market research report by RNCOS. The report reviews Europe’s aluminium industry in context of the global aluminium industry. The analysis of the European aluminium industry is done by taking five countries into consideration based on their production and consumption level, economic stability, and future growth prospects.

As per the report, the European aluminium industry, after experiencing a slump in 2006, bounced back in 2007. Western Europe was the leading primary aluminium producing region in 2006, but the trend reversed in 2007 and Central & Eastern Europe emerged as the top primary aluminium producer. This region is expected to dominate the future primary aluminium production and export, while Western Europe is projected to take the shape of major consumer.

Key Findings

• Primary aluminium consumption of Germany is likely to cross 2 Million Metric Tons by the end of 2011 at a CAGR of around 2%.
  
  
• Expansion of new bauxite mines is expected to drive the primary aluminium production in France at a CAGR of around 1.55% during the forecasted period (2008-2011).
  
  
• Increasing income is likely to boost the European home building industry, which in turn will be a reason for high aluminium consumption during 2008-2011.
  
  
• Container and packaging industry, which is an aluminium consuming industry, is projected to surge at a CAGR of over 2% during the period 2008-2012 in Europe.
  
  
• Russia is anticipated to be a major aluminium exporter in coming years with exports of around 3.7 Million Metric Tons by 2012 end.

Key Issues & Facts Analyzed

• What are the trends in the European aluminium market with respect to production, consumption, and production capacity etc?
  
  
• What are the trends followed in different European countries?
  
  
• What are the success factors of the aluminium industry in Europe?

Key Players

This section provides the overview, key facts, and financials of major players in the European aluminium industry, including Alcoa Inc., Rio Tinto Alcan, BHP Billiton, Rusal and Norsk Hydro.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources
Information has been sourced from books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to over 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Methods
The analysis methods include ratio analysis, historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis. 
 

1. Analyst View

2. Global Aluminium Industry

2.1 Production

2.2 Consumption

2.2.1 By End-use

2.3 Supply & Demand Side Developments

2.4 Future Outlook (2008-2012)

3. European Aluminium Industry in Global Context

4. Factors Fuelling Growth

4.1 Increasing Per Capita Aluminium Use

4.2 Efficiency of Aluminium Industry

4.3 Consumer Durable Market

4.4 Aerospace & Defence Industry

4.5 Automobile Industry

4.6 Home Building Industry

4.7 Container & Packaging Industry

5. European Aluminium Industry Performance

5.1 Primary Aluminium Production

5.2 Secondary Aluminium Production

5.3 Production Capacity

5.4 Aluminium Consumption - By End-use

6. European Aluminium Industry - By Country

6.1 Germany

6.1.1 Market Overview

6.1.2 Competitive Landscape

6.1.3 International Trade

6.1.4 Future Outlook (2008-2012)

6.2 France

6.2.1 Market Overview

6.2.2 Competitive Landscape

6.2.3 International Trade

6.2.4 Future Outlook (2008-2011)

6.3 UK

6.3.1 Market Overview

6.3.2 Competitive Landscape

6.3.3 International Trade

6.3.4 Future Outlook (2008-2011)

6.4 Italy

6.4.1 Market Overview

6.4.2 International Trade

6.4.3 Future Outlook (2008-2011)

6.5 Russia

6.5.1 Market Overview

6.5.2 International Trade

6.5.3 Future Outlook (2008-2012)

7. Prospects for Aluminium Industry

7.1 Home Building Industry

7.2 Container & Packaging Industry

7.2.1 Healthcare Industry

7.2.2 Confectionary Industry

7.3 Aerospace & Defence Industry

7.4 Automobile Industry

8. Key Players

8.1 Alcoa Inc.

8.2 Rio Tinto Alcan

8.3 Rusal

8.4 Norsk Hydro

8.5 BHP Billiton

List of Figures:

Figure 2-1: Global - Production of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2003-2007

Figure 2-2: Global - Consumption of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2007E

Figure 2-3: Global - Consumption of Aluminium by End-use (%), 2006

Figure 2-4: Global - Forecast for Consumption of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2008-2012

Figure 3-1: Global - Production of Primary Aluminium by Region (%), 2007

Figure 3-2: Global - Consumption of Primary Aluminium by Top Market (%), 2006

Figure 4-1: Europe - Per Capita Aluminium Use (in Kg/Person), 1997, 2002 & 2005

Figure 4-2: Europe* - Consumer Durable Product Sales (in Million Units), 2002-2007E

Figure 4-3: Europe - Aerospace & Defence Industry (in Billion US$), 2003-2007

Figure 4-4: Europe - Production of Vehicles (in Million Units), 2005 & 2006

Figure 4-5: Europe - Home Building Industry (in Billion US$), 2002-2006

Figure 4-6: Europe - Container & Packaging Industry (in Billion US$), 2003-2007E

Figure 4-7: Europe - Delivery of Aluminium Foils (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2000-2007

Figure 5-1: Europe - Production of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2007

Figure 5-2: Europe - Production of Secondary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2006

Figure 5-3: Europe - Aluminium Capacity Utilization w.r.t. World (%), 2001-2007

Figure 5-4: Europe - Consumption of Aluminium by End-Use (%), 2005

Figure 6-1: Germany - Primary Aluminium Industry (in Million US$), 2002-2006

Figure 6-2: Germany - Production of Primary & Secondary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2007E

Figure 6-3: Germany - Production of Semi-aluminium Products (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2006

Figure 6-4: Germany - Production of Semi-aluminium Products by Segment (%), 2006

Figure 6-5: Germany - Production of Shaped Casting Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006

Figure 6-6: Germany - Production of Shaped Casting Aluminium by Process (%), 2006

Figure 6-7: Germany - Production of Processed Aluminium Products (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006

Figure 6-8: Germany - Demand of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2003-2006

Figure 6-9: Germany - Demand of Secondary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2003-2006

Figure 6-10: Germany - Consumption of Aluminium by End-use (%), 2006

Figure 6-11: Germany - Share of Top Players in Aluminium Industry (%), 2006

Figure 6-12: Germany - Import* of Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2004-2006

Figure 6-13: Germany - Export* of Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2004-2006

Figure 6-14: Germany - Forecast for Production of Primary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2008-2011

Figure 6-15: Germany - Forecast for Consumption of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2008-2012

Figure 6-16: Germany - Forecast for Production of Secondary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2008-2012

Figure 6-17: Germany - Production of Rolled Aluminium Products (in Million Metric Tons), 2007*-2012F

Figure 6-18: Germany - Production of Aluminium Foil (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2007*-2012F

Figure 6-19: France - Primary Aluminium Industry (in Million US$), 2002-2006

Figure 6-20: France - Production of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2007E

Figure 6-21: France - Consumption of Primary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2001-2005

Figure 6-22: France - Import of Primary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006

Figure 6-23: France - Forecast for Production of Primary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2008-2011

Figure 6-24: UK - Primary Aluminium Industry (in Million US$), 2002-2006

Figure 6-25: UK - Production of Primary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2007

Figure 6-26: UK - Production of Secondary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006*

Figure 6-27: UK - Export of Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006

Figure 6-28: UK - Import of Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006

Figure 6-29: UK - Forecast for Production of Primary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2008-2011

Figure 6-30: UK - Export of Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2007E & 2011F

Figure 6-31: Italy - Production of Primary & Secondary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2000-2004

Figure 6-32: Italy - Consumption of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2006

Figure 6-33: Italy - Import of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2007E

Figure 6-34: Italy - Forecast for Import of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2008-2011

Figure 6-35: Russia - Production of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2007E

Figure 6-36: Russia - Consumption of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2006

Figure 6-37: Russia - Aluminium Consumption by End-use (%), 2005

Figure 6-38: Russia - Consumption of Aluminium Foil by Industry (%), 2005

Figure 6-39: Russia - Production of Passenger Cars (in ‘000 Units), 2001-2006

Figure 6-40: Russia - Production of Soft Drink Cans (in Million Units), 2001-2005

Figure 6-41: Russia - Export of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2007E

Figure 6-42: Russia - Forecast for Production & Export of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2008-2012

Figure 6-43: Russia - Forecast for Aluminium Foil Market (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2008-2011

Figure 7-1: Europe - Forecast for Home Building Industry (in Billion US$), 2008-2011

Figure 7-2: Europe - Forecast for Container & Packaging Industry (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 7-3: Europe - Forecast for Pharmaceutical Sales by Country (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 7-4: Europe* - Forecast for Confectionary Sales (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2008-2012

Figure 7-5: Europe - Forecast for Aerospace & Defence Industry (in Billion US$), 2008-2012

Figure 7-6: Europe - Forecast for New Car Sales (in Million Units), 2008-2012

List of Tables:

Table 8-1: Alcoa Inc. - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2005-2007

Table 8-2: Rio Tinto Alcan - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2004-2006

Table 8-3: Norsk Hydro - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2004-2006

Table 8-4: BHP Billiton - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2005-2007