Mobile payment market forecasts

Mobile payment market forecasts

This report provides a quantitative analysis of the mobile payment market for the 2007–2012 period. Despite great uncertainties, Ovum has tried to provide a realistic picture of future developments for mobile payments. It follows a recent piece entitled ‘Mobile payments: progressing towards large-scale deployments’ which detailed the market trends and key case studies of players and projects in this space.

Ovum forecasts three mobile payment market segments – mobile contactless payments, online shopping and money transfers – and has excluded three types of transactions: mobile content payments, prepaid airtime purchase and international remittances.

Table of contents

Key messages

Introduction

Definitions
Consumer payment market trends
M-payment market segmentation
Scope of our m-payment forecasts
Uncertainties of forecasts
Other relevant Ovum reports

Market development scenarios

Mobile contactless payments
Money transfers
Online shopping

M-payment forecasts

M-payment market overview
Mobile contactless payments
Money transfers
Online shopping

Table of figures

Figure 1 Forecasts of NFC-enabled phone shipments by region 2008–2012
Table 1 Contactless payment groups
Figure 2 Adoption of mobile contactless payments
Table 2 Estimated rollout dates for commercial NFC payment services
Figure 3 Japan: mobile contactless payment market 2007–2012 ($ billion)
Figure 4 The global market opportunity for contactless payments
Figure 6 Annual amount spent by users of mobile contactless payments ($)
Figure 7 Percentage of the adult population with access to financial services
Table 3 Country classification for banking status
Figure 8 Correlation between mobile penetration and access to financial services
Figure 9 Average adoption of mobile wallet services by unbanked mobile subscribers
Figure 9 Global B2C e-commerce market
Table 4 Share of online shopping originating from mobile devices
Figure 11 M-payment market forecasts – by application
Table 5 M-payment mobile forecasts – by application ($ billion)
Figure 12 M-payment market forecasts – by region
Table 6 M-payment market forecasts – by region ($ billion)
Figure 13 Mobile contactless payments revenues forecasts – by region
Table 7 Mobile contactless payments revenues forecasts – by region ($ billion)
Figure 14 Mobile contactless payments user forecast – by region
Table 8 Mobile contactless payments user forecast – by region (millions)
Figure 15 Money transfers volumes forecasts – by region
Table 9 Money transfers volumes forecasts – by region ($ billion)
Figure 16 Money transfers user forecasts – by region
Table 10 Money transfers user forecasts – by region (million)
Figure 17 Online shopping revenues forecasts – by region
Table 11 Online shopping revenues forecasts – by region ($ billion)
Figure 18 Online shopping user forecast – by region
Table 12 Online shopping user forecast – by region (million)