Development and Forecast on China's Power Industry 2007

Development and Forecast on China's Power Industry 2007

Jan-Aug 2007, the total amount of electricity consumption in China was 2,118,182 million kwh, which has increased 15.20 per cent year-on year. The major demands of electricity were from the iron and steel, cement, nonferrous metals contour energy industries.

According the national statistic’s report that Jan-Aug 2007, the total amount of electricity generation was 2,086,094 mrillion kwh, which were generated by the major above-scale power plants. The figure has increased 16.3 per cent year-on-year. The contributions of the figure were, hydropower 277.1 billion kwh, up 9.1 per cent year-on-year; thermal power 1.763858 trillion kwh, up 17.5 per cent year-on-year;

Jan-Aug 2007, the average utilization hours of electricity equipments were 3,358 hours which have decreased 136 hours year-on-year. The utilization hours of hydropower equipments were 2,338 hours, dropping 47 hours year-on-year; the utilization hours of thermal power equipments were 1,570 hours, dropping 173 hours year-on year.

Expecting 2008, the total amount of electricity demands will reach 3.7234 trillion, the additional capacity of 76.74 million kw.

1.Electricity supply and demand situation 2007
1.1 Demand
1.2 Supply

2. Analysis of Core Elements
2.1 Utilization hours: thermal power utilization decline stabilize expected 08 warmer
2.2 Coal prices and electricity price
2.2.1 Steam coal prices continued to rise, grabing electricity profits
2.2.2 Linkage of coal and electricity

3. The assets restructuring of power industry and M&A
3.1 Extensive expansion
3.2 Asset injection, hydropower Preference

4. In 2008 the power industry forecast
4.1 Demand Forecast
4.2 Supply Forecast
4.3 Utilization hours forecast


Charts
Figure: Electricity consumption growth and trend forecast by industries, 2005-2007
Figure : Proportion of Thermal power and hydropower 2005-2007
Figure: Tthermal power generating capacity and growth trends 2005-2007
Figure: Hydropower generating capacity and growth trends 2005-2007
Figure: Hydropower and thermal power generation capacity growth August 2006 –August 2007
Figure: 2004-2007 thermal power equipment use hours monthly changes
Figure: Coal price trend
Figure: China's hydropower installed capacity growth trend
Figure: 2005-2010 the whole society electricity consumption
Figure: Electricity consumption growth of high energy consumption industry in the first eight months of 2007
Figure: electricity demand growth of the provinces top ranking in the first eight months of 2007
Figure:2006 Three core equipment factories’ output
Figure: 2006-2010 scale of new additional unit
Figure:2006-2010 hydropower and thermal power installed capacity forecast
Figure:2008 utilization hours forecast

Table: 2007 January-August electricity consumption
Table: August 2006 - August 2007 generating capacity and growth
Table: 2007 January-August thermal power, hydropower and nuclear power supply situation
Table: August 2006 - August 2007, August thermal power and hydropower comparison
Table: 2007 January-August of hours changes
Table: Companies with acquisition potential