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  4. > East Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2015

East Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2015

  • June 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 148 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
Our Q315 East Africa report analyses latest industry, regulatory and macroeconomic developments in the telecoms markets of Burundi, Ethiopia, Malawi, Rwanda, South Sudan and Sudan. The six markets present challenging business environments, including the low spending power of the majority of consumers, high cost of network deployment in rural areas and political instability in some countries. The lack of competition and in some cases unfavourable fiscal regimes will also pose a downside to market growth; as a result penetration and the share of 3G/4G of the mobile market will remain among the lowest
in the world.


Key Data
- Average mobile market growth in the six countries in FY14 was 9.3%. Malawi recorded the highest growth rate, estimated at 16.8%, while Sudan recorded the largest contraction of 5.6%.
- Average mobile penetration among the six countries was 41.8% at the end of December 2014. Sudan had the highest penetration rate at 71.5% and Ethiopia the lowest at 24%.
- Average monthly ARPU remained below USD3 in 2014. Only South Sudan recorded ARPU of more than USD5, while Burundi, Malawi and Rwanda reported sub-USD3.5 ARPUs.

Table Of Contents

East Africa Telecommunications Report Q3 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast .. 12
Burundi . 12
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Burundi 2012-2019) . 12
Ethiopia . 15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ethiopia 2012-2019) 15
Malawi .. 18
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Malawi 2012-2019) . 18
Rwanda . 21
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Rwanda 2012-2019) . 21
South Sudan . 25
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (South Sudan 2012-2019) . . 25
Sudan . 27
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Sudan 2012-2019) 27
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings .. 30
Industry Risk Reward Index .. 30
Table: SSA Risk/Reward Index - Q315 . . 34
Market Overview 36
Burundi . 36
Mobile . 36
Table: Burundi Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 36
Fixed Line And Internet 41
Ethiopia . 42
Mobile . 42
Table: Ethiopia Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 . . 42
Fixed Line and Internet 48
Malawi .. 49
Mobile . 49
Table: Malawi Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 . 49
Fixed Line And Internet 55
Rwanda . 57
Mobile . 57
Table: Rwanda Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 57
Fixed Line And Internet 66
South Sudan . 69
Mobile . 69
Table: Sudan Mobile Regional Comparison 2014 69
Fixed Line And Internet 74
Sudan . 76
Mobile . 76
Table: Sudan Mobile Regional Comparison, 2014 . . 76
Fixed-Line And Internet .. 81
Mobile Content 83
Table: Selected Value-Added Services Developments, October 2014-January 2015 86
Regulatory Development .. 88
Regulatory Overview .. 88
Table: East Africa Regulatory Environment . . 88
Burundi . 88
Ethiopia . 89
Malawi .. 90
Rwanda . 91
South Sudan . 92
Sudan .. 93
Company Profile . 94
Zain Sudan 94
Sudatel .. 98
MTN 102
Table: MTN Indicators, 2013-2014 . . 105
Airtel Africa .. 107
Table: Selected Key Developments . . 110
Regional Overview . 113
Demographic Forecast 117
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Burundi 1990-2025) . 118
Table: Key Population Ratios (Burundi 1990-2025) . . 118
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Burundi 1990-2025) 119
Table: Population By Age Group (Burundi 1990-2025) . . 119
Table: Population By Age Group % (Burundi 1990-2025) . . 120
Demographic Forecast 122
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ethiopia 1990-2025) . 123
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ethiopia 1990-2025) . . 123
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Ethiopia 1990-2025) 124
Table: Population By Age Group (Ethiopia 1990-2025) . 124
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ethiopia 1990-2025) . 125
Demographic Forecast 127
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malawi 1990-2025) . . 128
Table: Key Population Ratios (Malawi 1990-2025) 128
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Malawi 1990-2025) . 129
Table: Population By Age Group (Malawi 1990-2025) . . 129
Table: Population By Age Group % (Malawi 1990-2025) . . 130
Demographic Forecast 132
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Rwanda 1990-2025) . 133
Table: Key Population Ratios (Rwanda 1990-2025) . . 133
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Rwanda 1990-2025) 134
Table: Population By Age Group (Rwanda 1990-2025) . . 134
Table: Population By Age Group % (Rwanda 1990-2025) . . 135
Sudan Demographic Forecast 137
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Sudan 1990-2025) 138
Table: Key Population Ratios (Sudan 1990-2025) . 138
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Sudan 1990-2025) 139
Table: Population By Age Group (Sudan 1990-2025) . 139
Table: Population By Age Group % (Sudan 1990-2025) . 140
Glossary 142
Table: Glossary Of Terms . . 142
Methodology .. 144
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 144
Sources . 146
Risk/Reward Index Methodology . 146
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 147
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 148

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