The global banking industry faces short-term uncertainty due to the debt crises that challenge
several major economies, but total industry assets are forecast to climb to an estimated US
$163,058 billion in 2017 with a CAGR of 8% over the next five years.

Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, has analyzed the
global banking industry and presents its findings in “Global Banking Industry Analysis 2012-
2017: Industry Trend, Profit and Forecast Analysis.”

The banking industry is highly fragmented and includes segments such as retail banking,
corporate and investment banking, and asset and wealth management. The retail banking
segment registered significant growth during 2006–2011 and has excellent potential to grow at an
even more rapid pace over the forecast period. Europe dominates the global banking industry
with 43% of total market share. The Asia Pacific banking industry, however, grew much faster
than both the European and North American regions during 2006–2011. Asia Pacific continues to
possess huge opportunity for industry growth. Rising per capita income in the region is expected
to drive consumer savings and investment in banking sector. The massive unbanked population
in India and China offers immense opportunity for banking companies. The North American
banking industry is anticipated to grow modestly in the near term. The Rest of World’s industry
growth trajectory offers opportunity for companies to expand their business in those nations.
Europe’s debt crisis and the large government budget deficit in the US are expected to reduce
government spending, resulting in sluggish short-term economic growth in both regions. Rising
middle class populations and escalating household incomes in emerging markets provide
substantial opportunity for global banks. Rapid technological advances are leading to dramatic
shifts in the banking industry as the processing cost per transaction is approaching zero while
simultaneously improving efficiency. These advantages are likely to increase trading volumes at
the institutional level.

Lucintel’s research indicates that despite the combination of margin pressure, sluggish growth in
new assets and declines in fee income, retail banking revenue should remain relatively more
stable. People will always need basic banking services, and the retail segment is traditionally less
volatile than the corporate and investment banking segments.

This study provides a concise overview of the global banking industry. The report tracks three
industry segments for four regions; thus, it tracks 12 segments of the global banking industry.
This report includes fee income earned by banks from bank assurance, but excludes the premium
income from insurance.

This comprehensive guide from Lucintel provides readers with valuable information and the tools
needed to successfully drive critical business decisions with a thorough understanding of the
market’s potential. This report can save Lucintel clients hundreds of hours in personal research
time on a global market. It also offers significant benefits in expanding business opportunities
throughout the global banking industry. In a fast-paced ever-changing world, business leaders
need every advantage available to them in a timely manner to drive change in the market and to
stay ahead of their competition. This report provides business leaders with a keen advantage in
this regard by making them aware of emerging trends and demand requirements on an annual
basis.

Table Of Contents

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary
2. Industry Definition and Scope
3. Industry Overview
4. Global Macroeconomic Overview
5. Industry Trends
6. Industry Forecasts
7. Emerging Trends
8. Conclusions


List of Figures
CHAPTER 3. Industry Overview
Figure 3.1: External forces shaping banking industry
CHAPTER 4. Global Macroeconomic Overview
Figure 4.1: Global GDP growth rate trend
Figure 4.2: Global inflation rate trend
Figure 4.3: Global population growth rate trend
Figure 4.4: Global unemployment rate trend
Figure 4.5: Regional GDP growth rate trend
Figure 4.6: Regional inflation rate trend
Figure 4.7: Regional population growth rate trend
Figure 4.8: Regional unemployment rate trend
CHAPTER 5. Industry Trends
Figure 5.1: Global banking industry total assets annual trend: 2006-2011 (US $B)
Figure 5.2: Global banking industry total revenue annual trend: 2006-2011(US$B)
Figure 5.3: Global banking industry regional trend 2006-2011 (US $B)
Figure 5.4: Global banking industry regional trend 2006-2011(%)
Figure 5.5: Global banking industry regional revenue trend 2006-2011($ B)
Figure 5.6: Global banking industry regional revenue Trend 2006-2011(%)
Figure 5.7: Global banking industry segment trend 2006-2011($ B)
Figure 5.8: Global banking industry segment trend 2006-2011(%)
Figure 5.9: Quarterly trend global banking industry: 2010-2011(US $B)
Figure 5.10: Global banking industry profitability trend 2006-2011
Figure 5.11: Global banking industry revenue per employee trend 2006-11
Figure 5.12: Cost structure trend in global banking industry 2006-2011
Figure 5.13: Cost structure in North American industry trend
Figure 5.14: Cost structure trend in European industry
Figure 5.15: Cost structure trend in Asia Pacific industry
Figure 5.16: Top 5 companies vs. global banking industry gross profit and net profit analysis
2011
Figure 5.17: Cash on hand for global banking 2006-2011($ B)
Figure 5.18: Cash on hand for global banking industry 2006-2011(%)
Figure 5.19: Debt for global banking industry 2006-2011 ($ B)
Figure 5.20: Debt for global banking industry 2006-2011 (%)
Figure 5.21: Industry shares of top players in global banking industry in 2006
Figure 5.22: Industry shares of top players in global banking industry in 2011
Figure 5.23: Global banking industry 2006 market share analysis
Figure 5.24: Global banking industry 2011 market share analysis
CHAPTER 6. Industry Forecasts
Figure 6.1: Global banking industry forecast total assets 2012-2017 ($ B)
Figure 6.2: Global banking industry forecast regional total assets ($ B)
Figure 6.3: Global banking industry annual forecast 2012-2017 ($ B)
Figure 6.4: Global banking industry quarterly forecast 2011-2012
Figure 6.5: Global GDP growth rate forecast
Figure 6.6: Global inflation rate forecast
Figure 6.7: Global population growth rate forecast
Figure 6.8: Global unemployment rate forecast
Figure 6.9: Regional GDP growth rate forecast
Figure 6.10: Regional inflation rate forecast
Figure 6.11: Regional population growth rate forecast
Figure 6.12: Regional unemployment rate forecast
Figure 6.13: Global banking industry regional forecast 2012-2017 ($ B)
Figure 6.14: Global banking industry regional forecast 2012-2017 (%)
Figure 6.15: Global banking industry segment forecast 2012-2017 ($ B)
Figure 6.16: Global banking industry segment forecast 2012-2017 (%)
CHAPTER 7. Emerging Trends
Figure 7.1: Global banking industry opportunity by region
Figure 7.2: Global banking industry opportunity by segment

List of Tables
CHAPTER 3. Industry Overview
Table 3.1: Industry parameters of global banking industry
Table 3.2: Relative market attractiveness by region
CHAPTER 5. Industry Trends
Table 5.1: Regional assets growth rate
Table 5.2: Regional revenue growth rate
Table 5.3: Segment revenue growth rate
Table 5.4: Percentage change in cost structure
Table 5.5: Percentage change in cash on hand
Table 5.6: Percentage change in total debt
Table 5.7: Key companies by revenue growth
Table 5.8: Key companies by revenue decline
CHAPTER 6. Industry Forecasts
Table 6.1: Regional banking forecast growth rate
Table 6.2: Global banking segment forecast growth rate

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