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Zimbabwe Power Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 55 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View:

Zimbabwe's power sector will continue to operate at a deficit over our 10-year forecast period due to a lack of sufficient capacity coming online. The majority of power generation growth will be sourced from hydropower due to the Kariba South expansion project coming online in 2018, with completion expected in 2019. Lack of investor agreement signings will hamper progress on planned thermal power plants.

Latest Updates and Structural Trends


- Work on the Kariba South hydropower expansion project is now reportedly 48% complete. The project will consist of two phases of 150 megawatts (MW) each. We expect generation of the first 150MW to start in 2018.

- According to a Zimbabwean government official, construction work on the Gwayi 600 megawatt (MW) thermal power plant will start at the end of 2016. The plant will be constructed by Chinese Africa Sunlight Energy, and is expected to cost USD2.1bn. The project is planned in two phases, the first being 300MW of coal-fired power while the second phase will involve 300MW of power generated from coal bed methane gas. We do not include the plant in our forecasts yet as delays have been prevalent and we await evidence of construction and progress to be made.

Table Of Contents

Zimbabwe Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Zimbabwe Snapshot 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Zimbabwe 2014-2019) 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Zimbabwe 2020-2025) 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 9
Zimbabwe Power Forecast Scenario 10
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 10
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2014-2019) 13
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2020-2025) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2014-2019) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2020-2025) 15
Electricity Consumption 15
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2014-2019) 16
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2020-2025) 16
Transmission and Distribution 16
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2014-2019) 17
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2020-2025) 18
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2014-2019) 18
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2020-2025) 18
Industry Risk Reward Index 19
SSA Power Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) 26
Zimbabwe Power Risk/Reward Index 27
Rewards 27
Risks 27
Market Overview 29
Key Policies/Market Structure 29
Regulation And Competition 29
Pricing 29
Sub-Saharan Africa Key Policies And Market Structure 30
Zimbabwe Power Projects Database 34
Competitive Landscape 36
Competitive Landscape 36
Sub-Saharan Africa Competitive Landscape 36
Regional Overview 41
MEA: Key Themes 41
Table: UAE - Huge Bid Reductions Cements Outperformer Status 46
Glossary 49
Table: Glossary Of Terms 49
Methodology 50
Methodology And Sources 50
Industry Forecast Methodology 50
Sources 53
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 53
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 54
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 55

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