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  4. > West Africa Mining Report Q4 2016

West Africa Mining Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 106 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: West Africa's growth outlook will remain weak due to both low mineral prices and countries'inadequate infrastructure over the coming quarters. The region's long-term growth outlook remainspromising due to countries' vast untapped mineral reserves, positive foreign investment outlook andinfrastructure developments.

Latest Developments & Structural Trends

- With ongoing bauxite production and export bans in Malaysia and Indonesia, respectively, Guinea willremain well-positioned to gain market share in China. In November 2015 Guinea began exporting bauxiteto China, ramping up monthly shipments from 1.6mnt to 9.9mnt in May 2016.

- Major aluminium producers such as Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA), Alcoa, Dadco and Rio TintoAlcan (the latter three through joint-venture Compagnie des Bauxites de Guinée-CBG) will continue toinvest in projects in the country. EGA will invest USD1.0bn to develop a bauxite mine expected to beginproduction in 2018. On June 19, CBG announced an agreement with lenders, including the InternationalFinance Corp and the US government's Overseas Private Investment Corp, to finance a USD1.0bnexpansion at the bauxite plant in Kamsar.

Table Of Contents

West Africa Mining Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Select Countries - Mining Industry Forecast 7
Latest Developments and Structural Trends 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Guinea Bauxite: Pipeline To Support Growth 11
Latest Developments 11
Table: Guinea - Bauxite Production and Growth 12
Table: Guinea - New Projects 12
Structural Trends 14
Political Risks To Outlook 15
Guinea Iron Ore: Simandou Shelving To Dent Growth In The Long Term 17
Latest Developments 17
Table: Guinea - Iron Ore Production and Growth 17
Table: Guinea - New Iron Ore Projects 18
Structural Trends 18
Sierra Leone: Growth To Slowly Pick Up Steam 22
Latest Developments 22
Table: Sierra Leone - Iron Ore Mine Production 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Sierra Leone - Key Infrastructure Projects 26
Mauritania: Muted Growth Ahead 28
Latest Developments 28
Table: Mauritania - Mine Production and Growth 29
Table: Mauritania - New Iron Ore Mining Projects 30
Structural Trends 31
Price Weakness To Subdue Investment Outlook 32
Infrastructure Weakness To Dampen Growth Outlook 33
Côte d'Ivoire Gold: New Projects To Support Growth 35
Latest Developments 35
Table: Cote d'Ivoire - Gold Production Forecast 35
Table: Côte d'Ivoire - Largest Gold Projects 35
Structural Trends 36
Liberia Iron Ore: Low Prices And Inadequate Infrastructure To Curb Growth 39
Latest Developments 39
Table: Liberia - Iron Ore Production Forecast and Growth 39
Table: Liberia - New Iron Ore Projects 40
Structural Trends 41
Business Environment To Remain Relatively Stable 43
Mali Gold: Growth To Pick Up 44
Latest Developments 44
Table: Mali - Gold Production Forecast 44
Table: Mali - Mining Ministry Gold Production Forecast 44
Structural Trends 45
Ghana Gold: Modest Growth In Coming Years 49
Latest Developments 49
Table: Ghana - Gold Production and Growth 49
Structural Trends 50
Government Shows No Sign of Easing Taxes 53
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 56
Guinea - Mining Risk/Reward Index 56
Rewards 56
Industry Rewards 56
Country Rewards 56
Risks 56
Industry Risks 56
Country Risks 56
Liberia Risk/Reward Index 57
Rewards 57
Industry Rewards 57
Country Rewards 57
Risks 57
Industry Risks 57
Country Risks 58
Africa - Risk/Reward Index 58
Key Takeaways 58
Latest Revisions 59
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Indices 60
Regulatory Development 61
Commodities Forecast 64
Commodities Outlook 64
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 64
Competitive Landscape 66
Table: West Africa: Key Mining Companies' Financial Metrics 67
Structural Trends: 67
Company Profile 68
Global Company Strategy - AngloGold Ashanti - Q4 2016 68
Table: Gold Price Forecast 70
Company Strategy 72
Table: AngloGold Ashanti - Key Financial Data 74
Global Company Strategy - Randgold Resources - Q4 2016 75
Table: Gold Price Forecast 77
Company Analysis 77
Table: Select Gold Companies Data 79
Latest Financial Results 81
Table: Randgold Resources - Key Financial Data 83
Global Company Strategy - Rio Tinto 84
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 86
Company Analysis 86
Table: Select Companies - Key Data 90
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Projects 93
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data 94
Regional Overview 95
Sub-Saharan Africa Overview 95
Table: SSA - Government Involvement In Mining Sector 101
Methodology 103
Industry Forecast Methodology 103
Sources 104
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 105
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 106

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