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Namibia Autos Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 24 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View:
High interest rates and increasing inflationary pressures are translating into weaker thanexpected growth in auto sales in Namibia. As a result, we are revising down our vehicle sales forecast to acontraction of 16.0% in 2016, down from our previous forecast of a 3.5% decline.

Key Views


- Vehicle sales will contract by 16.0% in 2016.

- Elevated interest rates will continue constrain growth in the credit market and reduce demand for autoloans.

- High inflation levels will erode consumer pushing power, putting pressure on buyers' disposable incomeand thus keeping budgets tight.

- Robust growth in the construction industry will help drive growth in the commercial vehicle segmentover the next three years.

Table Of Contents

Namibia Autos Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Key Views 5
SWOT 6
Industry Forecast 7
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2014-2020) 7
Latest Developments 7
Structural Trends 7
Industry Risk/Reward Index 11
Already Low Rewards Fall Further 11
Even The Leaders At Risk 12
The Few Positive Movers 12
Regional Overview 13
Sub-Saharan Africa 13
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Production Investment 13
Export Importance To South Africa Underlined 14
Nigeria Still Cause For Concern 14
Supplier Parks A Positive Move 14
Demographic Forecast 16
Demographic Outlook 16
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Namibia 1990-2025) 17
Table: Key Population Ratios (Namibia 1990-2025) 17
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Namibia 1990-2025) 18
Table: Population By Age Group (Namibia 1990-2025) 18
Table: Population By Age Group % (Namibia 1990-2025) 19
Methodology 21
Industry Forecasts 21
Sector-Specific Methodology 22
Sources 22
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 23
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 24

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