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Namibia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 50 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Namibia's weak domestic manufacturing capabilities and strong colonial ties with South Africa will ensure the country continues to import the majority of its pharmaceutical needs over the coming years. Despite a relatively attractive business environment, multinational drugmakers will continue to use South Africa as the main channel trough which medicines are imported into the country, and will be unlikely to establish a direct manufacturing presence. Local production of antiretroviral medicines will give a small boost to the country's limited export potential. Headline Expenditure Forecasts

- Pharmaceuticals: NAD2.34bn (USD183mn) in 2015 to NAD2.54bn (USD165mn) in 2016; +8.6% in local currency and -10.0% in US dollar terms. Forecast virtually unchanged from last quarter.

- Healthcare: NAD14.3bn (USD1.12bn) in 2015 to NAD15.7bn (USD1.0bn) in 2016; +9.8% in local currency and -9.0% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms revised slightly upwards from last quarter.

Table Of Contents

Namibia Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Forecasts (Namibia 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 10
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020) 12
Healthcare Market Forecast 13
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020) 14
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020) 15
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Namibia 2012-2020) 15
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Middle East and Africa Risk/Reward Index - Q4 2016 16
Namibia Risk/Reward Index 24
Rewards 24
Risks 24
Regulatory Review 26
Pharmaceutical Distribution 28
Market Overview 29
Healthcare Sector 30
Research and Development 33
Epidemiology 34
Competitive Landscape 36
Demographic Forecast 39
Demographic Outlook 39
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Namibia 1990-2025) 40
Table: Key Population Ratios (Namibia 1990-2025) 40
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Namibia 1990-2025) 41
Table: Population By Age Group (Namibia 1990-2025) 41
Table: Population By Age Group % (Namibia 1990-2025) 42
Glossary 44
Methodology 46
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model 46
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model 46
Notes On Methodology 47
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 48
Index Overview 49
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators 49
Indicator Weightings 50

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ref:plp2016

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