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Chile Renewables Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 38 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

We have revised upward our forecasts for Chile's non-hydro renewables sector through to2025, in light of the results of the country's biggest ever electricity supply auction, where renewables -particularly wind - emerged as the biggest winners. The recent developments reaffirm our view that Chile isthe most attractive market for non-hydro renewables development in Latin America. It is supported byattractive regulations, high electricity prices, favourable natural conditions and stable businessenvironment.




Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- Following the Chile's largest ever electricity supply, we have upgraded our 10-years forecasts for thecountry's non-hydro renewables industry. We now expected the renewables capacity to grow by anannual average of 19.7% during 2016-2025, reaching 10,020MW in 2025. This compares to our previousprojection of 9,188MW in 2025 before the auction.

- Taking into consideration strong performance of wind sector in the auction, we have revised upward ourforecasts for wind capacity growth, which we now see expanding at an annual rate of 18.1% over thecoming decade, reaching almost 4.4GW by 2025.

- Conversely, we have downgraded our near-term outlook for the solar sector. We believe solar capacitywill rise by an average of 30.1% per annum during 2016-2025, with the total figure slightly exceeding5.0GW by the end of our forecast period.

Table Of Contents

Chile Renewables Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Chile 2015-2021) 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Chile Renewables Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Chile - Renewables Policy Overview 14
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Chile 2014-2019) 19
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Chile 2020-2025) 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Chile 2014-2019) 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Chile 2020-2025) 22
Chile Renewables Projects Database 23
Table: Chile - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity 23
Industry Risk/Reward Index 24
Chile Renewables Risk/Reward Index 24
Rewards 24
Risks 24
Market Overview 26
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure 26
Targets (Renewables And Emissions) 26
Subsidies 26
Infrastructure 27
Competitive Landscape 29
Enersis/Endesa 29
Mainstream Renewable Power 29
Enel Green Power 30
Pacific Hydro 31
Xinjiang Goldwind 31
Glossary 32
Table: Glossary Of Terms 32
Methodology 33
Methodology And Sources 33
Industry Forecast Methodology 33
Sources 35
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 35
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 37
Table: Weighting Indicators 38

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