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  4. > Tanzania Power Report Q4 2016

Tanzania Power Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 55 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
Increased investment into thermal power will enable the government to diversify the Tanzanian power sector away from high hydropower reliance. Thermal power generation will grow at an annual average rate of 20.3% over our 10-year forecast period, driven by large domestic gas reserves and increased coal mining. Electrification rates will increase on the back of government-driven efforts to improve and extend the electricity grid.
Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- We have revised the forecasted date for when we expect the 600 megawatt (MW) Mchuchuma coal-fired power plant to come online. This is due to some project delays and the start of construction being pushed back to 2017. We now expect the plant to come online in 2021.

- We have increased our thermal power generation forecasts slightly to reach 9.4 terawatt hours (TWh) by 2025, as opposed to 8.8TWh last quarter. This is because we expect that the Kinyerezi I gas-fired power plant will operate at increased efficiency over our 10-year forecast period.

Table Of Contents

Tanzania Power Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Tanzania 2015-2021) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Tanzania Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Tanzania 2014-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Tanzania 2020-2025) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
Tanzania Power Forecast Scenario 11
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast 11
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast 13
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 14
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2014-2019) 14
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2020-2025) 15
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2014-2019) 16
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2020-2025) 16
Electricity Consumption 17
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2014-2019) 17
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2020-2025) 17
Transmission and Distribution 18
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2014-2019) 19
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2020-2025) 19
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2014-2019) 20
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Tanzania 2020-2025) 20
Industry Risk Reward Index 21
SSA Power Risk/Reward Index 21
Table: SSA Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) 28
Tanzania Power Risk/Reward Index 29
Rewards 29
Risks 29
Market Overview 31
SSA Key Policies And Market Structure 31
Tanzania Power Projects Database 34
Competitive Landscape 37
SSA Competitive Landscape 37
Regional Overview 41
MEA: Key Themes 41
Table: UAE - Huge Bid Reductions Cements Outperformer Status 46
Glossary 49
Table: Glossary Of Terms 49
Methodology 50
Methodology And Sources 50
Industry Forecast Methodology 50
Sources 53
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 53
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 54
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 55

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