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  4. > Mozambique Autos Report Q4 2016

Mozambique Autos Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 26 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: High interest rates coupled with a deteriorating economic outlook for Mozambique will drag ongrowth in the vehicle market as consumer and business confidence falls and borrowing costs rise. As aresult, we have downgraded our vehicle sales forecast to a contraction of 6.6% in 2016, down from ourprevious forecast of a 1.7% contraction for the year.

Key Views

- We forecast vehicle sales to contract 6.6% in 2016.

- A deteriorating economic outlook will weigh on consumer and business confidence and translate into lesswillingness to spend on big-ticket items.

- High interest rates will weigh on appetite for auto loans and debtors will struggle to meet repaymentobligations.

- A weak currency will continue to place upward pressure on imported vehicle prices.

Table Of Contents

Mozambique Autos Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Key Views 5
SWOT 6
Industry Forecast 7
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014-2020) 7
Latest Developments 7
Structural Trends 7
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 13
Industry Risk/Reward Index 13
Already Low Rewards Fall Further 13
Even The Leaders At Risk 14
The Few Positive Movers 14
Regional Overview 15
Sub-Saharan Africa 15
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Production Investment 15
Export Importance To South Africa Underlined 16
Nigeria Still Cause For Concern 16
Supplier Parks A Positive Move 16
Demographic Forecast 18
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025) 19
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025) 19
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025) 20
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025) 20
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025) 21
Methodology 23
Industry Forecasts 23
Sector-Specific Methodology 24
Sources 24
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 25
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 26

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