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Canada Mining Report Q4 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 68 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Canada's mining industry value will continue on a multi-year downtrend, as miners remainfocused on cutting costs and curbing output in a structurally lower commodity price environment.Nonetheless, the country will remain a major global mining industry, supported by vast reserves and astable operating environment.

Latest Updates & Structural Trends

- Canada, a leading country in the mineral extractive industry, will continue to see a decline in miningindustry value growth over the next few years due to subdued mineral prices. We forecast Canada'smining industry value to contract by 9.4% in 2016 and 1.0% in 2017, respectively, returning to growth asprices stabilise and averaging 4.3% annual growth over 2018-2020.

- We revised up Canada's gold production growth forecast based on the improving gold priceenvironment. We now expect Canada's gold production growth to average 3.0% in 2016 and 3.5% in2017, up from previous forecasts of 2.0% and 1.6%, respectively. In terms of volume, we forecastCanada's gold output to climb from 5.3 million ounces (moz) in 2016 to 5.7moz by 2020, averaging 2.2%annual growth.

- Iron ore and zinc will remain the growth weak spots, due to weak prices and limited project pipelines. Weforecast muted production growth for iron ore and a sharper-than-expected production decline for zincover the next few years.

- The country's mining sector will be hurt by slowing demand growth in Asia, with iron ore exports toChina falling in 2015. On the other hand, the country's refined metal exports will fare better, supported bythe Indonesian ban on nickel ore exports and a tightening zinc market. For instance, both refined nickeland zinc exports increased in 2015.

Table Of Contents

Canada Mining Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Canada Mining Industry Value Forecast (2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Gold: Outlook To Brighten Up 10
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Canada 2014-2020) 10
Table: Canada - Key Gold Projects 10
Table: Canada - Key Gold Mining Deals 13
Iron Ore: Sluggish Growth To Continue 15
Table: Iron Ore Production Forecast (Canada 2014-2020) 15
Table: Canada - Key Iron Ore Projects 15
Structural Trends 17
Nickel: Solid Growth Ahead 20
Table: Nickel Production Forecast (Canada 2014-2020) 20
Table: Canada - Key Nickel Projects 20
Zinc: Farther To Fall 25
Table: Zinc Production Forecast (Canada 2014-2020) 25
Industry Risk/Reward Index 28
Canada: Risk/Reward Index 28
Rewards 28
Risks 28
Americas: Risk/Reward Index 29
Key Takeaways 29
Latest Revisions 30
Table: Title: Americas - Mining Risk/Reward Index 31
Regulatory Development 32
Commodities Forecast 36
Commodities Outlook 36
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 36
Competitive Landscape 38
Table: Canada - Select Companies Financial Data, 2015 39
Company Profile 40
Company Profile - Teck Resources - Q4 2016 40
Table: Teck Resources - Key Financial Data 42
Goldcorp - Q4 2016 43
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 45
Table: Goldcorp - Key Projects 50
Table: Goldcorp - Key Financial Data 51
Table: Gold - Operational Highlights, 2015 51
Barrick Gold - Q4 2016 52
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 54
Company Strategy 56
Table: Barrick Gold - Key Projects 57
Table: Barrick Gold - Key Financial Data 58
Table: Gold - Operational Highlights, 2015 59
Regional Overview 60
Methodology 65
Industry Forecast Methodology 65
Sources 66
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 67
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 68

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