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United States Mining Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View: The United States' mining industry value will continue to contract through 2017, as mutedproduction growth in the gold and copper sectors fails to offset sharp declines in coal output.Latest Updates & Structural Trends

- The US' mining industry value will decline through 2017, as elevated costs and structurally lower mineralprices weigh on growth. In particular, the declining coal sector, which accounts for nearly two thirds ofthe US mining industry value, will drag down mining industry value, which we forecast to contract by anaverage of 2.7% annually over 2016-2020. In absolute terms, we expect the US mining industry value tostagnate, totalling USD98.1bn in 2016 and USD98.2bn in 2020.

- We forecast US coal production to continue to plummet, averaging a 20.0% contraction in 2016 and asteady rate of 2.5% over 2017-2020. In terms of volume, we expect the US to produce 653 million tonnes(mnt) of coal in 2016 and only 590mnt by 2020, compared to a peak of 1.1bn tonnes in 2008. The UScoal industry will continue to see divestment, closures, bankruptcy and layoffs over the coming years.

- We have revised up 2016 production growth forecasts for both gold and copper, on the back of improvinggold prices and stronger-than-expected H116 results, respectively. US miner Newmont Mining willdrive gold production growth in the country with expansions at two major mines expected to come onlineover the coming quarters.

Table Of Contents

United States Mining Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: United States Mining Industry Value Forecast (2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Coal: Steep Contraction In 2016 Followed By Steady Decline 10
Table: Coal Production Forecast (US 2012-2020) 10
Table: United States - Key Coal Projects 11
Table: US Coal Bankruptcies 13
Copper: Major Miners To Eke Out Growth 16
Table: Copper Production Forecast (United States 2012-2020) 16
Table: United States - Copper Projects 17
Gold: Improving Prices To Boost Outlook 21
Table: Gold Production Forecast (US 2012-2020) 21
Table: US - Select Gold Mine Projects 21
Lead: Bleak Future Ahead 25
Table: Lead Production Forecast (United States 2012-2020) 25
Industry Risk/Reward Index 29
United States Risk/Reward Index 29
Americas: Risk/Reward Index 30
Key Takeaways 30
Latest Revisions 31
Table: Americas - Mining Risk/Reward Index 31
Regulatory Development 33
Commodities Forecast 37
Commodities Outlook 37
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 37
Competitive Landscape 39
Table: United States - Largest Listed Mining Companies' Financial Data, 2015 40
Company Profile 41
Global Company Strategy - Newmont Mining - Q4 2016 41
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 43
Table: Newmont Mining - Key Projects 47
Table: Newmont Mining - Key Financial Data 47
Table: Gold - Operational Highlights, 2015 48
Freeport-McMoRan - Q4 2016 49
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts 51
Table: Freeport McMoRan - Key Financial Data 55
Table: Copper Operational Highlights, 2015 56
Company Profile - Peabody Energy - Q4 2016 57
Table: Peabody Energy - Key Financial Data 60
Regional Overview 61
Methodology 66
Industry Forecast Methodology 66
Sources 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 69

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